My view is the Audacy layoffs aren't related to the rumors in this thread, but more to the new management and the end of the bankruptcy process.
100% agreed.
In terms of Cumulus, I suspect the Board is evaluating strategic options. Some possibilities:
- San Francisco: I think Cumulus wants out. The fact they are now roommates, so to speak, with Bonneville suggests to me something is brewing there. Perhaps Bonneville wants KSAN and KFOG and is willing to unload either KUFX or KBLX?
- Houston: Audacy is an obvious candidate to purchase KRBE.
- Atlanta: A mixed bag of Audacy, Urban One and religious broadcasters, perhaps?
- Minneapolis: Audacy only owns 2 full power FMs there right now. I could see them acquiring KQRS and KXXR plus the 105.7 FM portion of what is currently the Love FM trimulcast. (105.7 could then be repurposed to simulcast AM 830 WCCO full-time.)
- Detroit: Audacy owns 4 full power FMs here. Cumulus' lone remaining FM is 96.3 WDVD, and it also owns 760 WJR. I could see Audacy acquiring WDVD and dumping it to give Newsradio WWJ an FM home. I would be surprised if Audacy would have any interest in WJR, though.
- Boston (Worcester): Audacy acquires WXLO and changes it to either a simulcast of Mix 104.1 or a simulcast of WEEI-FM. 100.1 The Pike and the crappy WORC-FM signals are sold to someone else or yanked off the air.
- Chicago: Hubbard would be the most likely suitor here but I would not rule out Good Karma.
- Nashville: Audacy acquires all of Cumulus' Nashville properties.
- Washington, DC: Either Audacy, Hubbard or the newly de-levered Salem acquire WMAL-FM. I think Salem could be the most likely buyer of those three.
- Dallas: No idea. Perhaps some bartering with Urban One that would result in Cumulus acquiring Urban One properties elsewhere, which in turn could be flipped for re-sale? Both Audacy and iHM are maxed out.
- Kansas City: Maybe iHeartRadio or Hubbard might want to enter this market? Summit is another possibility perhaps.
- Salt Lake City: An existing owner looking to trade rimshooters for in-market blowtorches perhaps would be interested. Broadway Media, for example? (I assume Bonneville is already maxed out here since this is its home market.)
- Oklahoma City: No idea.
- Buffalo: No idea.
- Cincinnati: Urban One, Hubbard, EMF, and Randy Michaels are the names that come to mind for me. WGRR is the prize of the local Cumulus cluster.
- Indianapolis: Federated Media, Midwest Communications and Hubbard would be the most likely candidates, in my opinion.
- The plethora of small & medium market stations owned by Cumulus: it is very possible Cumulus will continue to operate most of these stations long-term and look for one-off opportunities to make deals over a long period of time.
- Westwood One: No idea. My guess is a joint venture is more likely here than an outright sale.
I could see a scenario where Cumulus and Audacy execute a multi-market deal where Audacy acquires the stations it is able to acquire pursuant to existing ownership regulations, and then receives a right of first refusal of the remaining large/major market stations that expires after some duration of time. (Audacy's ability to acquire those remaining stations would be subject to FCC ownership restrictions being loosened.)