Mike Walker said:
First of all, I doubt FM Stereo was "at the forefront of consumer's minds" when it began to take off. Technology, particularly broadcast technology, doesn't have to be "at the forefront of people's minds" in order to be successful. All it has to be is IN THE DEVICES THEY BUY, when it comes time to buy! At that, HD is succeeding.
That is what it will take, since there does not seem to be a pent up demand for the product. Eventually that could come to pass, but it isn’t here now. Your history is a little rusty though about FM stereo. Perhaps the fact that I'm about 10 years older than you are may explain that gap. At the time of its introduction, people really did want FM stereo. They wanted it enough that they were even willing to build kits for add on decoders. Knight, Heath, Lafayette Radio, Eico, and even Radio Shack offered outboard adapters in both kit and pre-wired versions. Magazines like Popular Electronics and Electronics Illustrated had articles about how to modify your existing tuner to accommodate a stereo adapter. There were a lot of hobbyists with soldering irons out there. For the most part, they are a vanished breed.
Back in the late 50’s and early 1960’s, there weren't a lot of other competing technologies, so the idea of radio in stereo was exciting. I can't say that's the case today. There are bazillions of other electronic distractions to choose from. Most people are more interested in watching movies on their ipod or cell phone. I can't say I'm one of them, but that is today’s reality. Comparing HD to early FM stereo isn't as valid a comparison as you make it out to be.
Mike Walker said:
And oh, the observation about "many of the links take you...." and "the public has never heard of Sangean (Sangean is a HUGE OEM for other companies, and has several BIG HIT PRODUCTS ON THEIR OWN, which you'd know if you investigated, rather than assumed!), Dice, Accurian, etc. Ok Chuck, ya' think the public has heard of Yamaha, Onkyo, Sony, Polk, Jensen, Kenwood, etc? Just a few of the names you MUST LEAVE OUT for your argument about obscure brands to make any damn sense.
Yeah, the Yamaha link shows one receiver. It is priced at $5499.95 (that price is not a misprint). I'm sure they well a couple of thousand of them. Do you have any idea how many products Yamaha makes? It is thousands and thousands. The Sony link shows one radio. You will note that even I like that radio and I've said so right here on this forum. But it is ONE radio out of a product line that once again is thousands of products. Polk makes two very similar looking HD radios. They are not a huge player in consumer electronics. There stuff is usually pretty good though. Jensen also shows one table radio, and they are very proud of its ability to dock with your ipod. Oh yeah, it does have an HD tuner. They also have one HD car radio. That's not a lot. Sangean is a great OEM suplier, but not exactly a household word. I doubt that many people can even pronounce it. And the Jensen of today is not even vaguely related to the one that built quality loudspeakers back in the 50’s 60’s and 70’s.
As for Kenwood, the link doesn't even go to a HD radio site. I have some of their communications equipment and it is very good.
Mike Walker said:
And don't be so quick to dismiss high-end home theater gear by companies like Rotel, etc. Been to a newsstand lately? It's EXPLODING with publications about HOME THEATER! Home theater is enormously popular, especially among those with high disposable income. Getting into the home theater products that people buy anyway is as important for the success of HD Radio as it was for XM and Sirius. And now HD is in many of the same damn products as XM and Sirius. Considering ALL OF THE EVIDENCE, rather than cherry-picking kind of sheds a different light on the situation, huh?
The newsstands are exploding with publications period. Name your topic, and there are several magazines aimed directly toward you. The ability to assemble a decent looking publication for cheap (thanks to a computer) has given us that. Most are hemorrhaging money and don't last long. Publishing makes radio look like a good way to make money.
The extreme high end of the consumer electronics industry has always been about very low numbers. What is exploding in the high end is home theater, video projectors and systems to integrate and control them all. Very few people actually listen to the radio through their home theater set up. They are much more likely to watch OTA TV, Satellite TV, DVD’s or play video games through them. If you want an “explosion” check out PlayStation III or Nintendo WII.
There will always be high end audiophiles who want to pay $150 for a six foot oxygen free silver plated cable with gold plated connectors that don’t mate very will with the jack on their equipment. You’re from the South, so you’ll know what I mean when I say “Bless their hearts….”
I can't blame you for thinking what you do, but I've worked in the high end consumer market, and also owned an audio company that had a retail division. There is no way I can educate you about how it works in a paragraph or two, so I will not attempt the exercise. It is a very tough business that’s all about volume and "turns." "Turns" are the frequency that your inventory rotates. Something that has a turn of less than six per year will end up costing you money unless there is a very large profit margin in it. Most high end equipment has that margin. “Consumer Electronics” does not. It is a fact of life that you have to stock some slow turning products to look like a real player, but the truth of the matter is anything that doesn't have to be restocked every month or so is a drain on your capital. Get enough boat anchors hanging around and you will go out of business.
Right now, HD has "Boat Anchor" written all over it. Because I've grown to consider you a friend, I won't go on, but a few new links on a web site is not indicative of how the retail market works.