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Could Bay Area Radio Soon Meet Fate Due to Changing Demos?

U

Urbanbanga13

Guest
Urban radio presence in Los Angeles has declined sharply due to the fact it has become majority hispanic, and only 10% or less of the LA market is Black, resulting in certain stations tweaking formats and playlists, and dragging ratings (in the case of KDAY and KJLH). And Boston lost the only true Urban formatted station (WILD) when it was sold, and the overall demographics show that Boston market doesn't have a huge black population (tho I beg to differ since Boston city proper has a huge Black community).

I thought up this topic for the Bay Area radio market. It is very diverse, but the Black population is declining mainly due to the ongoing "Southern Exodus" and rising cost of housing. So could there be a possibility that Urban radio in the Bay Area may lose its presence 5-10 years down the line. Right now true urban stations KMEL and KBLX are among the top 10 Bay Area stations by Arbitron rankings (I'm not counting rhythmic (KYLD) or hispanic targeting Urban AC stations (KISQ)). How has the Bay Area been able to pull off maintaining an Urban radio presence? And these three markets have less than 10% Black population. ???
 
Urbanbanga13 said:
I thought up this topic for the Bay Area radio market. It is very diverse, but the Black population is declining mainly due to the ongoing "Southern Exodus" and rising cost of housing. So could there be a possibility that Urban radio in the Bay Area may lose its presence 5-10 years down the line. Right now true urban stations KMEL and KBLX are among the top 10 Bay Area stations by Arbitron rankings (I'm not counting rhythmic (KYLD) or hispanic targeting Urban AC stations (KISQ)). How has the Bay Area been able to pull off maintaining an Urban radio presence? And these three markets have less than 10% Black population. ???

While KBLX is a mostly Black cuming station, KMEL derves most of its listeners from non-Black listeners (53% average for last 4 books). If there are 7% Blacks in the market, there _are_ 7 Black shares... divided among all stations. KBLX can certainly retain a decent share, and KMEL which crosses color lines, can continue to get some Black listening. Population trends take years to change ratings apprecibly, and stations have generally anticipated and done course corrections.

KISQ is even more balanced... about a third each in Black, Hispanic and Other... so they can track the population trends and adjust accordingly in the future.

LA, by the way, is 41% Hispanic 12+, not 50%. And the rythmic / Hip Hop / r&b stations share, particularly in the 40% of Hispanics who are assimilated and enjoy such formats.
 
MOVED: The Term Hispanic

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[iurl=http://www.radio-info.com/smf/index.php?topic=82536.0]http://www.radio-info.com/smf/index.php?topic=82536.0[/iurl]
 
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