Nostalgia said:
OK, obviously not clear. The fact that both had them in the same order is good. But its the variance in the numbers that is my issue. For WYKS a .1 difference is clearly within any survey margin of error. But a 3.5 difference for WSKY is pretty wide considering they call the Arbitron numbers "currency". WSKY would like the Eastlan numbers, WKTK would not! Perhaps I am way off base, that is why I asked for input from people who pour over ratings data for a living.
In the largest markets--NYC, LA, Chicago--sample sizes are so huge that variations of a point are a big deal, but not in smaller markets like G-O. It doesn't stop radio folks or advertisers from exaggerating the importance of it all, but wise people step back from ratings and ignore the decimal points and just try to grasp the general lay of the land. Look at the bigger picture, and look at it over time. When you do that, the stations you think should do well usually do well, and the stations you think are shit usually are tail-enders. And the ones you think should be somewhere in the middle are usually in the middle.
Keep in mind that even though non-subscribers are not listed in these public postings for general consumption--and don't get copies for themselves... and aren't supposed to use the ratings to sell advertising (get caught and pay huge fines)--the stations (WOGK, WRUF, et cetera) are still listed in the Arbitron reports received by ad agencies and subscribing stations.
And that is what K-93.7 is counting on. The advertisers can read. And they'll see that WOGK is still kicking ass, and they'll continue to buy advertising. So the money keeps rolling in, but they save bundles by not subscribing. Smart move, eh?
Yeah, smart move, as long as Arbitron continues to survey the market. The risk--and it is an enormous risk--is that the remaining subscribers will say "Shit, we're tired of underwriting these Arbitron surveys for all these damn freeloaders," and cancel their subscriptions, too--causing Arbitron to drop Gainesville-Ocala as a "market." So Alachua and Marion counties (and Levy and Dixie and Gilchrist?) return to just being wide spots in the road on the way from Orlando to Atlanta... or from Tampa to Jax... and G-O no longer shows up on ad agency radar.
And all that agency money goes away.
Trust me. I've seen it happen, it many markets already. For stations like WOGK it's a multi-million dollar roll of the dice. Hope they've got Lady Luck on their side...