Bob, you present a well reasoned argument about the merits, or lack thereof, of HD radio, but I must respectfully disagree on a few of your points. If some posters on this board wish to call me an HD zealot, that fine. I just call it as I see it. With respect to hilly terrain, Cincinnati has several hills within 15 miles of the Ohio River which causes multipath distortion in some areas that are within 2 miles of the tower. Before HD radio came on the scene, I accepted the multipath as one of the problems associated with FM. On HD stations, the digital signal provides a clean signal in areas where the signals are strong but plagued with multipath. In areas where the signal is weaker, the digital signal fails under those circumstances. If fact, when the HD signal is off, I can readily tell the difference. Intuitively, a ten fold increase in power should nearly double the distance to where the signal is reliable, although reception will still be a challenge in some areas. All in all, the performance at the 1% injection level works fine for mobile devices in that most of the populated area is served. Indoor reception is where HD radio is problematic. I think a 10 db increase will fix this.
As far as HD radio succeeding, only time will tell, and I admit it doesn't look encouraging now. Allowing only a 1% injection will seal its fate- which I'm sure will make most of the posters here happy. There are many challenges facing radio in general, and the posters here that are both for and against IBOC are fighting over the crumbs.