Why CBS Is Unlikely to Leave WGCL Anytime Soon
bpatrick said:
How long before CBS goes looking for a new
affiliate?
troone said:
Wouldnt you think WATL36 would be a no-brainer for CBS?
If the last twelve years of Atlanta TV history are any indication, it'll be a
very long time before CBS and WGCL part ways. Furthermore, I think it's
actually a no-brainer that CBS and WATL
do not want each other right now and, for all that I can tell, may have
never wanted each other.
In fact, since New World made the deal that switched WAGA to Fox, quite a few opportunities for WATL and CBS to come together, for CBS to desert WGNX/WGCL for another Atlanta UHF station, or even for CBS to buy Channel 46 have come and gone:
1994 -- Due to the New World deal, Fox put WATL up for sale. CBS could have tried to turn WATL into one of its O&Os; CBS could have lobbied any of the would-be non-network owners of WATL to make the station Atlanta's new home of the Eye network; or any of the bidders for WATL could have decided on its own to bring the Atlanta CBS affiliation to WATL. Apparently, none of those things happened.
(The Wikipedia article about WATL claims that, prior to CBS's aborted purchase of WVEU and eventual affiliation of WGNX, the Eye network offered its Atlanta affiliation to WATL, but WATL management refused to let CBS onto the station. That said, I have absolutely no idea how true this claim is, as I've never seen it anyplace else.)
1999 -- Tribune sold WGNX to Meredith and upgraded its control over WATL from an LMA to full-fledged ownership. CBS could have tried to pre-empt Meredith and buy WGNX itself, or CBS could have attempted to acquire WATL from its first post-Fox owner, Qwest Broadcasting, and then make a deal with Tribune to swap WATL's WB affiliation for WGNX's CBS affiliation. Neither of those things happened.
2000 -- Viacom, five or so years removed from turning independent WVEU into UPN O&O WUPA, merged with CBS. At this point, Viacom could have transformed WUPA into a CBS O&O station and forced WGCL and WHOT to fight for a "table scraps" affiliation with UPN. That did not happen, probably out of respect for Meredith and its seemingly warm relationship with CBS.
2006 -- This year, CBS has had at least three good chances to replace WGCL with WATL. When CBS and Warner Bros. agreed to replace UPN and The WB with The CW, CBS could have yanked its affiliation from WGCL and offered it to WATL as an "olive branch" to help Tribune be more comfortable with WUPA getting The CW. Then, when Tribune chose to sell WATL, CBS could have tried to beat out Gannett for ownership of the station. Finally, once WATL was firmly in Gannett's hands, CBS could have tried to convince Gannett to choose the Eye network over the Tribune-negotiatied MyNetworkTV affiliation for WATL, or Gannett could have independently decided to scuttle the MyNet deal and attempt to lure CBS to WATL. Obviously, none of those things happened.
troone said:
Gannett would support it.
How can we know for sure? Maybe I'm wrong, but it seems that Gannett has a much better relationship with NBC than with CBS. Besides, even if Gannett were willing to bring WATL into the CBS fold, CBS might be hesitant to get on Meredith's bad side and/or play second fiddle to NBC in Gannett's Atlanta duopoly.
Simply put, if the Atlanta CBS affiliation were to leave WGCL and/or move to WATL, it would've happened by now -- and frankly, IMO, the only way we'll ever see CBS switch stations in Atlanta again would be one of three
very unlikely scenarios:
1. WXIA has a nasty falling-out with NBC.
2. WSB has a nasty falling-out with ABC.
3. The FCC turns Fox into the next RKO General and forces it to sell WAGA.