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Tokyo has no 'Plan B' for Games despite coronavirus (Note this affects NBC Sports)

https://www.wafb.com/2020/03/21/usa-track-joins-swimming-pushing-olympic-postponement/

Update on the Olympic teams response to COVID-19

DENVER (AP) — U.S. Olympic leaders face a growing rebellion after the USA Track and Field chief added to the call for a postponement of the Tokyo Games because of the mushrooming coronavirus crisis.

CEO Max Siegel sent a two-page note to his counterpart at the U.S. Olympic and Paralympic Committee, Sarah Hirshland, asking the federation to advocate for a delay. It came late Friday, only a few hours after USA Swimming's CEO sent a similar letter.

Now, the sports that accounted for 65 of America's 121 medals and 175 of its 554 athletes at the last Summer Games are on record in urging, in Siegel's words, “the USOPC, as a leader within the Olympic Movement, to use its voice and speak up for the athletes.”

Other national committees are already doing that. The federations in Norway and Brazil each went public with requests to postpone.

“Our clear recommendation is that the Olympic Games in Tokyo shall not take place before the COVID-19 situation is under firm control on a global scale," Norway's federation wrote in a letter to IOC President Thomas Bach.

The U.S. brings the largest contingent to every Summer Games and wins the most medals — both factors that lead have led NBC to pay billions to televise the games through 2032. It would seem to give the USOPC leverage in talks about almost any subject with the IOC, but the federation has been reluctant to use its power. It spent years, in fact, trying to smooth over tense relations with its international partners.
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https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...mid-growing-opposition-to-games-idUSKBN2190HK


Here is an update on the IOC's response to COVID-19 concerns.

ATHENS (Reuters) - The International Olympic Committee faced mounting opposition on Sunday to the current schedule for the Tokyo 2020 Games as athletes, teams and federations called for a delay because of the coronavirus pandemic.

IOC President Thomas Bach, who has insisted the Games will go ahead as planned, said any decision to change an Olympic Games was not a simple matter like rescheduling a soccer match and would need careful planning and information.

“The Olympic Games cannot be moved like a football game next Saturday,” he told Germany’s SWR broadcaster. “It is a complex undertaking and you can only act responsibly when you have a clear decision-making foundation.”

He also ruled out cancelling the July 24-Aug. 9 Games.

“A cancellation of the Games would be the least fair solution. A cancellation would destroy the Olympic dream of 11,000 athletes of 206 Olympic committees.”

Sources told Reuters on Sunday, however, that Tokyo Games organizers had started drafting possible alternatives to holding the Olympics this summer.

“Finally, we have been asked to make a simulation in case of a postponement,” a source close to the organizing committee who is involved in drafting the scenarios said.
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Here's another story, where the IOC is setting a 4-week deadline for a decision about delaying the games:

https://www.si.com/olympics/video/2020/03/22/ioc-sets-4-week-deadline

Tokyo 2020 organizers have set a four-week deadline in which to decide on a potential postponement of the Games, as the Covid-19 outbreak continues to threaten the event. In a statement on Sunday, International Olympic Committee (IOC) officials said that key stakeholders, including in Japan, would take the next four weeks before making a definitive decision.
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TheBigA said:
<...>where the IOC is setting a 4-week deadline for a decision about delaying the games
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Yup...waiting to see if that 'curve' happens as a result of warmer temperatures in the northern hemisphere, and if that has any substantial change in rates of transmission.

I'm betting on 'no', personally.
 
kwthom said:
Yup...waiting to see if that 'curve' happens as a result of warmer temperatures in the northern hemisphere, and if that has any substantial change in rates of transmission.

I'm betting on 'no', personally.
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Looking at the data from Latin America I see support for your opinion.

It is Summer in much of that continent. And it is eternal summer in the rest. Yet there is apparently no statistical difference between the Northern Hemisphere and the tropics and the Southern Hemisphere. Any variances in cases seems to have more to do with each nation's degree of control of crowds, etc., than on the disease itself.

Even more interesting is that cases in the Ecuadorian Andean zone, which has cooler "eternal springtime" climates, and the coastal region, which is near-the-Equator tropical, have the same rates (in proportion to the population, of course).
 
kwthom said:
Yup...waiting to see if that 'curve' happens as a result of warmer temperatures in the northern hemisphere, and if that has any substantial change in rates of transmission.
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The main problem for the Olympics in my view is we're missing a lot of trials and preliminary events that determine the rankings and teams. Those should be happening now, so even if they hold the games at the appointed time, how do they decide who makes the teams?
 
TheBigA said:
The main problem for the Olympics in my view is we're missing a lot of trials and preliminary events that determine the rankings and teams. Those should be happening now, so even if they hold the games at the appointed time, how do they decide who makes the teams?
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The Asia/Oceania boxing qualifiers were on YouTube (from Amman, Jordan -- transferred from Wuhan, of all places) and got cut short before the finals.
 
TheBigA said:
Those should be happening now, so even if they hold the games at the appointed time, how do they decide who makes the teams?
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Yep.

Certainly doesn't seem likely this is going to happen - and now, Japan's PM seems to think that 2021 might also be good.
 
Well it was inevitable. The virus isn't stopping anytime soon, maybe not until summer or later.
 
crainbebo said:
Well it was inevitable. The virus isn't stopping anytime soon, maybe not until summer or later.
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Don CT said:
They had no choice. It was just a matter of them admitting it.
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Probably a 'duh' moment for the IOC to admit that, as soon as this hit pandemic status, they didn't hit the 'postpone' button at that point in time.

Good on them for actually seeing what's going on in the world!
 
Two questions for the IOC to answer in the next few weeks:
1. Does Beijing lose its right to host the 2022 Winter Olympics? If so, who could step in, even if it meant pushing the Winter Games to 2023?
2. Does China get banned from the Tokyo Games?
 
Huh? Where did that come from? Let’s deal with one thing at a time, and “the next few weeks” is frankly ludicrous to be making pronouncements about 2022. Absent an issue such as this one—and let’s hope that’s the case—why would the games not be in Beijing, and why on earth would China be barred from the next summer games?
 
ftballfan said:
Two questions for the IOC to answer in the next few weeks:
1. Does Beijing lose its right to host the 2022 Winter Olympics? If so, who could step in, even if it meant pushing the Winter Games to 2023?
2. Does China get banned from the Tokyo Games?
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China will not get punished for the pandemic unless it's revealed that they indeed released the virus on purpose to control the population (which is one of the recently debunked conspiracy theories of the pandemic).
 
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