My question was, WHY doesn't it sell anymore? Is it JUST because the target demo has aged out, is it because the format has gone out of style,
Both. If you look at the once-viable formats, you see that ones like classical, smooth jazz, beautiful music, 60's oldies and soft AC aged out of the demographics advertisers want. And a good example of aging and "out of style" is Beautiful Music which reflected the declining interest in instrumental music which was also seen in the lack of new recordings.
or is it (as I am hypothesizing) there are now MANY more options for listening to those formats that appeal to marginally-profitable demos, perhaps pushing these marginally-profitable stations upside-down?
Those "marginally profitable" demos are actually "unprofitable demos" such as teens and 55 and over. It's not that the listeners went away, it's that revenue stopped being available after those listeners got above a certain age.
As an aside, smooth jazz went away because PPMs were not friendly to "environmental" formats, also including soft AC (and what was left of BM/EZ), which killed the ratings and thus the salability of that format. Doesn't change the end result but it's not a result of the demo aging out or any of the other usual suspects.
Beautiful Music died in the mid to late 80's. The issues, as I just said, were aging of the listeners and the passing from style of contemporary instrumental music.
Smooth Jazz was already aging before the 2008-2010 roll out of the PPM. Doing a straight line analysis, it would have been gone in just a few years without the PPM... just as diary market proponents of the format dropped it over the same time span. An example would be the Smooth Jazz station in Palm Springs, CA, a diary market where the station was declining until they switched a number of years ago. And that was a market where local accounts do value 55-64 but even then the stations numbers died, and so did response to ads.
The PPM did not kill environmental formats. All it did was show that some formats that had low cume and high TSL benefited from diarykeepers who wrote down long, interrupted listening spans. The truth is that such listening turned out to be much less, with lots of interruptions, in the PPM which only measures TSL and cume and not memory.
Softer AC died due to aging and the preference of under-55 listeners for brighter tempo music. It had nothing the do with the PPM. In fact, such stations like WDUV in the Tampa market moved into the PPM era with nearly identical shares... but the station aged so much over a period of years that they had to update it about year or so ago and make it much more contemporary: not the PPM, just the changing of tastes and the aging and death of listeners.
Last edited: