Logical points, and I agree about the country format. I'm not sure if I'd be so quick to discount Alt Rock, as they're still running Alt on 96.5 HD2. Now, would it be a harder alternative like what was on 102.9 or a more current based pop-leaning format such as what they're doing in Philidelphia or on 96.5 HD2 now? I'm pretty sure that's just plugged in from Premium Choice.
AGAIN? That's the last thing either of those two stations need right now.Can't see either KBKS or KUBE flipping.
Today there's no reason for any of those stations to change. The Jet is doing okay in ratings, Jack is a balance sheet dream and IHM has been doing stout work of stripping KZOK of salary, its identity and having Portland do their music logs.I agree that three country stations would be too many. I'm not sure a second alt rock would fly. When KFOO was purchased they got rid of the format for something else instead of promoting it.
What do you mean Jack is a balance sheet? That they’re breaking even? Honest question.
EDIT: I didn’t see dream. I’m guessing Jack making money without paid on air staff. Correct?
That's correct.
Consider this for a moment: Jack has better 25-54 ratings than The Bull and has saved a ton of money in management and air staff costs.
If the salaries of a few live talents and a couple of voice trackers were a high percentage of operating costs, that might be an important observation.
However, the costs for sales and commissions, engineering, music licensing, management, insurance, rent, utilities, legal and all the other G&A costs are much more than those costs. And the Jack licensing fees reduce those small talent savings considerably.
Nice try. Those costs are shared amongst the entire cluster. Jack-specific operating costs are a computer, software licenses, the processing, the STL and the transmitter.
If the salaries of a few live talents and a couple of voice trackers were a high percentage of operating costs, that might be an important observation.
The huge missing here is revenue. When it comes to average rating these days 25-54 a couple stations are on top, then about 10 stations between a 0.2 and 0.4. and then a bunch under a 0.2. Programmers get caught up in shares, sales are done on average rating and Seattle is very compressed.
Advertisers tend to buy stations to break that tie by focusing on demo- content-talent-promotions. This is why KIRO-FM and KOMO are top ten in revenue while being in the 0.2-0.4 block. This is why KBKS, KPLZ, remain in the top ten in revenue while in the 0.2-0.4 block. Sports stations like KIRO-AM way out perform their rating. Highly Automated sounding stations like JACK are usually not in the top ten in revenue.
This is absolutely true. Those of you who focus on this forum on 12+ numbers as indicators of a horse race, should take note. I can't count how many time some of us have tried to explain to this forum that ratings (especially 12+) don't reflect revenue. A common misconception is about Sports Stations. Agencies wanting to reach a 18-54 male demo, will automatically buy a contract on the local sports station. Doesn't matter whether the station pulls a .5 share.
There are so many other factors being considered, such as groups that sell based on demographic spread among all their stations in that group.
I can't speak for anyone else here, but I'm sure I would provide more in-depth analysis if I had access to the information David, Kelly, or any of the other industry insiders do. It's not as big of an issue in this market as it is in some, but my issue with sports stations is you have so many of them that don't pull many listeners. For instance in Portland in a book I looked at back in April, the four sports stations combined for a four share, while the #1 station held something like an 8.3. Then again, from a discussion a couple months ago here, the rock stations are closer to the bottom rather than the top in revenue, yet nobody is worrying about them flipping any time soon.