"TV" in 3 Years

[kfbkfb]

What will TV look like in three years? These industry insiders share their predictions

CNBC asked media insiders, including Barry Diller, Bela Bajaria and Bill Simmons, for their predictions about the future of TV.

www.cnbc.com

^^^
Five years ago, you could have said radio would absolutely be dead soon, and nobody would have challenged you. But it’s still limping along even with much heavier competition from podcasts, streaming, TikTok and everyone else.


Maybe they'll use the ATSC 1.0 datacast mode to transmit encrypted content for people who don't have broadband Internet yet want to watch "pay" TV content (all that would be needed would be a special ATSC 1.0 STB decoder).

Although this was tried about 20 years ago w/USDTV concept, it might work better now:

https://www.tvtechnology.com/news/usdtv-markets-dtv-multicasting-as-cable-alternative

Kirk Bayne

 

[Mikey Radio]

Interesting article. I appreciated all the different questions asked, and that they polled a variety of executives who are involved with various media companies, both broadcast, streaming or otherwise. Most all the answers more or less gel with what's been discussed in various threads here on Radio Discussions. What I personally didn't realize is that a new NFL broadcast rights deal goes into effect next season and is about double the price of the current one. I'm sure it's probably been posted here, but I didn't recall seeing that. I do recall the big jump in the college sports carriage deal that was inked a few months ago, and one of the folks they spoke to for this article also explained the NBA will soon have a new broadcast rights deal and that may also jump in price, perhaps double, from the current one - which means Regional Sports Networks like Bally Sports which are already in trouble financially, could be squeezed even further or eliminated.

 

[kfbkfb]

Maybe broadcast (linear) TV will condense to just a few channels which show live sports, news and edited pay tv content (the edits will be muting the sound for certain words and blurring parts of some scenes - this was/is done for the Comet TV [DTV subchannel] network New Outer Limits TV show which was originally done for, IIRC, the Showtime pay cable channel).


Kirk Bayne

 

[PTBoardOp94]

Five years ago, you could have said radio would absolutely be dead soon, and nobody would have challenged you. But it’s still limping along even with much heavier competition from podcasts, streaming, TikTok and everyone else.

I certainly would have argued with you! Even now, I think radio has quite a few more years of commercial viability.

The decline of industries tends to go slowly, then all at once. Guessing where the avalanche point will be is usually futile.

 

[CaliRadioFan]

Maybe broadcast (linear) TV will condense to just a few channels which show live sports, news and edited pay tv content (the edits will be muting the sound for certain words and blurring parts of some scenes - this was/is done for the Comet TV [DTV subchannel] network New Outer Limits TV show which was originally done for, IIRC, the Showtime pay cable channel).


Kirk Bayne

The New Outer Limits went into broadcast syndication 6 months after it's Showtime debut. That's where the edits came from

 

[crainbebo]

I expect broadcast TV will show streaming programs (i.e. ABC, Disney+) 3-6 weeks after air...and non-reality/game/live-action shows will eventually fade away. I can't see college football or NFL going away on OTA TV...if anything, there will be more. I want The Bachelor (and its 3-4 spinoffs) canceled for once, but WHAT profitable show can replace it except for a Disney+ 'delayed' series or another run of Shark Tank, 20/20, etc. ?
I REALLY hope many of these garbage 'reality' or sitcom binge-watch marathon cable networks would go into the waste bin. Speeding up shows just to show Limu Emu and Doug one more time. Greed at its finest.

I bet TikTok finally gets banned in the United States in some way or another, so I doubt it will be a factor in a couple of years. Besides, as a newly-fledged educator, I think the platform is garbage and dangerous for children and teens. But that's for another time and definitely another thread (i.e., politics forum). But Netflix, Hulu, and other streaming services will probably continue to have success in the coming years.

 

[JayR]

Maybe broadcast (linear) TV will condense to just a few channels which show live sports, news and edited pay tv content (the edits will be muting the sound for certain words and blurring parts of some scenes - this was/is done for the Comet TV [DTV subchannel] network New Outer Limits TV show which was originally done for, IIRC, the Showtime pay cable channel).


Kirk Bayne

The New Outer Limits went into broadcast syndication 6 months after it's Showtime debut. That's where the edits came from

Correct. However, Sinclair went further with the series on Comet by blurring the butt of the naked guy (which was not done during broadcast syndication in the '90s from what I recall).