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Radio's Financial Woes Grow

Audacy is trying to negotiate making late payments on its debt. Last week in Canada, Corus was granted relief by the CRTC from certain financial payments citing a 62% drop in revenue this year. Investors have shunned broadcast stocks believing there is not enough profit in the industry and companies are scrambling to acquire or diversify into streaming and on line businesses.

So what is going to happen to individual stations? Let us grant that the ad dollars that have left radio for other platforms are never coming back, so the current business model broadcasters are using is obviously obsolete. What is a workable alternative?
I see it first as a major reduction in the number of stations. Those 80-90 stations and allowed move ins have overloaded markets. Even owning six or eight signals and automating them all still costs to keep them going as those slivers of ad revenue diminish. Then an exit by mega groups from the industry. Radio was never supposed to be Exxon Mobile, it is an entertainment business and it is apparent that big business practices of huge debt and cutting operating costs aren't working. Maybe the Mom and Pop model, individual businesses not meant to support massive debt and produce large profits for many shareholders was the right way. But for that to happen now, station prices must fall dramatically. Today, cash-rich non-profits are keeping prices artificially high in many markets, but how long will that last?

Years ago, long before the internet and streaming, I was told that radio was like the buggy whip makers when the automobile came in...doomed to become small specialty operations for collectors and hobbyists. Maybe that prediction has come true.
 
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The bigger question, locally and nationally, is the future of advertising itself. Amazon has claimed so much of the retail space, but hardly advertises on old media like radio, television and newspapers. I don't think eBay does, either. Walmart controls much of what remains of box-and-mortar retail for a variety of products, but, like the internet retail giants, is so well known that it doesn't need to advertise except when it opens a new location -- and that advertising disappears after a few weeks. Is the entire advertising industry threatened in decades to come?
 
Audacy is trying to negotiate making late payments on its debt. Last week in Canada, Corus was granted relief by the CRTC from certain financial payments citing a 62% drop in revenue this year. Investors have shunned broadcast stocks believing there is not enough profit in the industry
That's a mostly incorrect theory. It is not that there is "not enough profit" but that there is no growth. Well managed groups are profitable, as are many local stations and regional groups. But investors want considerable growth and radio has none.
 
Corus's problems are heavily attributed to Global Television heavily importing content (mostly from CBS) and the actors and writers strikes have thrown a giant wrench in everything. What CBS can get away with this fall is flopping badly up north.

Bell, Corus and Rogers have a lot of AM signals, with Bell having shuttered or sold multiple AMs in recent months. Rogers just turned off CIWW in Ottawa after nearly a century because it was losing money and an FM simulcast didn't work after a year. There's probably a lot more streamlining and shuttering to come over there as media consumption changes further.
 
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Keep in mind that the advertising depression that is hitting broadcast radio is also hitting satellite, streaming, and the TV companies. Anything that is funded in part by advertising is being hit. It's just that radio is unique that its owners have no other revenue streams. Satellite & streaming have subscription revenues. Some of the streaming companies are owned by trillion dollar technology companies, so they can absorb a downturn. Radio can't. At one time radio stations were owned by companies that owned other things. Not any more. Even NPR laid off 10% of its staff because its podcasting unit is funded by advertisers.



 
Keep in mind that the advertising depression that is hitting broadcast radio is also hitting satellite, streaming, and the TV companies. Anything that is funded in part by advertising is being hit. It's just that radio is unique that its owners have no other revenue streams. Satellite & streaming have subscription revenues. Some of the streaming companies are owned by trillion dollar technology companies, so they can absorb a downturn. Radio can't. Even NPR laid off 10% of its staff because its podcasting unit is funded by advertisers.



You realize that that SiriusXM story is eight months old?
 
citing economic uncertainty and a need to operate with “greater agility and efficiency.

Read: We need to fire people faster and get the money/bonuses quicker to the top of the "food chain" before the stocks sinks like a stone and we have to file for bankruptcy
 
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