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Audacy bankruptcy is coming...

According to a reporter from the Wall Street Journal, Audacy will be filing Chapter 11 bankruptcy in the next few weeks, with lenders taking over.

Tsk tsk tsk. Never should've bought CBS.

What ch-ch-ch-changes do you think will be made in the market? Who is safe and who is not?
 
The Journal reports:
"Audacy is preparing to file for bankruptcy within weeks after declining advertising revenue made the radio network unable to service its nearly $2 billion debt load, according to people familiar with the matter. Philadelphia-based Audacy has reached an agreement with its senior lenders for a prepackaged bankruptcy plan, the people said. The lenders will provide financing for the proceedings and are expected to own the company following the restructuring, they said. Audacy’s revenue has decreased while net losses have widened due to lower advertising spending in the radio sector. The company last year raised doubt over its ability to continue as a going concern. It said its current revenue forecasts for 2024 indicated it will have difficulty satisfying its debt obligations. In October, Audacy missed interest payments on its senior loans and obtained consent from its lenders to provide a grace period as they worked on restructuring negotiations."


Changes? Having observed a few other companies' bankruptcies, things are pretty much locked-in a few months prior to the official bankruptcy filing, after which the bankruptcy court sorts things out, monitoring every pen stroke, with the largest burdens first to be examined, and perhaps, relieved. A good template for Buffalo would be the Citadel filing, wherein the court allowed Citadel to walk away from the Bills broadcast rights fees.

The rights fees agreements between Audacy and the Bills and Sabres are of concern. Does Audacy, in fact, pay a substantial fee to the Bills and Sabres for the rights, both professional teams owned by Pegula Sports? Is there a broader, shared inventory agreement between Audacy and Pegula that isn't as cumbersome as the agreement that was in force between the Bills and Citadel?

The court may view the Bills and Sabres contracts as assets not to be relieved given that both teams are critically important to the cash flow of WGR. Any changes might be more evident in Audacy's larger market holdings rather than what might be considered in Buffalo and Rochester. Then again...
 
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Then again, the court may determine that the value of the entire Buffalo cluster makes it ripe for a sale. I wonder if the Pegulas might be interested in a radio station or two. We already know that Buddy is.
 
I thought it was interesting that 2023 began with the announcement of Audacy Atlas, that led to the sale of WTSS to EMF, and set off all the speculation about other sales. But after the sale of WTSS and the Memphis station, I haven't heard anything more about sales. I think the Buffalo tower property is still in Atlas.


So perhaps the idea of selling properties was put on hold once bankruptcy became inevitable. Then they'll announce all of the sales in the bankruptcy release. But they've been heading in this direction for a while, and Buffalo has been mentioned previously.

Regarding sports rights fees, I seem to remember Cumulus canceling its contract with the Chicago White Sox during its bankruptcy. The decision was based on the fact that it was a money-losing deal. There are some detailed threads around RD about the Diamond Sports bankruptcy, and how those decisions were made. My sense is that so much of the value for WGR is based on its sports rights that its unlikely they'd cancel those contracts.
 
Will David Field "Walk The Plank"? Maybe he'll have to sell a few of his yachts...

How many does he have? How would you know?

The thing we know is that all of his stock, and that of his father, will become worthless, and if he's retained, he will report to his creditors who will tell him what to do.
 
Will David Field "Walk The Plank"? Maybe he'll have to sell a few of his yachts...
Somehow I don't think his finances will be that adversely impacted. Usually with 'publically traded family-run businesses' the principals end up with some sort of compensation package if they agree to part ways.
And I don't believe David has multiple yachts:
 
I think in spite of the It's Not So Bad spin the Audacy stock exchange mess has been generously given, we all saw this coming (you don't get delisted off the NYSE when things are going great.)

And if Audacy is having trouble paying it's bills because of declining ad revenue. Then realistically, everyone else is too. Or on their way there. I can't see this happening to just one group just for that reason (and if that's the case, there's probably somebody in corporate upper management getting a quiet dismissal and maybe a golden parachute. Must be nice.....)

And this is probably why the ownership caps weren't raised last review; If a leveraged radio company can barely keep five full power FM stations in each market going in a downturn, another billion dollar loan to make it ten stations sure as hell won't make it any better.

So EMF/VCY may be getting even bigger before this is over. They seem to be the only ones actively buying stations these days. And there's always a few underachiever stations in every portfolio that look ripe enough to offload. And while that may not be part of the deal now, the terms have and can be changed at any time. In places where iHeart, Hubbard, Alpha and others aren't maxed out, deals may be coming. In places where they are, you may have to prepare for more religious stations.

I shudder to think at the fate of once monolithic 50,000 watt AM news stations like KYW, WINS, WCBS-AM, KNX, WBBM, WWJ, etc. They may be among the first things to go in a bankrupt Audacy. And if you really wanna finish off the AM band, take all the heritage news stations off the air. We saw the Bell Media AM massacre in Canada last year. It's not beyond possibility.
 
And if Audacy is having trouble paying it's bills because of declining ad revenue. Then realistically, everyone else is too.

Correct. In fact it appears that Salem is heading down the exact same path for the same reason.


And this is probably why the ownership caps weren't raised last review; If a leveraged radio company can barely keep five full power FM stations in each market going in a downturn, another billion dollar loan to make it ten stations sure as hell won't make it any better.

If you read the FCC's decision, the finances of it didn't play a part. If it did, they could simply say that radio companies aren't allowed to incur debt to buy stations. Or put limits on debt levels. But that's not their concern.

I shudder to think at the fate of once monolithic 50,000 watt AM news stations like KYW, WINS, WCBS-AM, KNX, WBBM, WWJ, etc.
Those stations don't appear to be where the problem is. Most of them are among the top billing stations in the country. The problem isn't station operations, but the payment schedule of the debt. Those are two different things.
 
I think in spite of the It's Not So Bad spin the Audacy stock exchange mess has been generously given, we all saw this coming (you don't get delisted off the NYSE when things are going great.)
Starting in 2008, all publicly traded traditional media stocks have taken a beating or stalled due to lack of a future. This situation isn't unique to Audacy.
And if Audacy is having trouble paying it's bills because of declining ad revenue.
It's more than that. Declining ad revenue along with crushing debt.
Then realistically, everyone else is too. Or on their way there. I can't see this happening to just one group just for that reason (and if that's the case, there's probably somebody in corporate upper management getting a quiet dismissal and maybe a golden parachute. Must be nice.....)
Generally, lower corporate officers/staff size is reduced before founding officers are. They call that hierarchy. It's everywhere and nothing new.
And this is probably why the ownership caps weren't raised last review; If a leveraged radio company can barely keep five full power FM stations in each market going in a downturn, another billion dollar loan to make it ten stations sure as hell won't make it any better.
The problem is lenders aren't lending to do traditional media deals because of valuations, or lack thereof. Just like any lending, the Lender wants collateral and revenue projections to cover the loan amount.
I shudder to think at the fate of once monolithic 50,000 watt AM news stations like KYW, WINS, WCBS-AM, KNX, WBBM, WWJ, etc.
Just listen to the SW band for a peek into the future.
 
Will David Field "Walk The Plank"? Maybe he'll have to sell a few of his yachts...
There are definitely CEO's or companies in general I have little regard for as far as how they treat their people. I have always held Entercom (now Audacy) in high regard. I dealt with fair managers/programmers in several of their markets, which is an indication of consistency in their corporate culture. Good people often hire good people. I have met David Field a number of times and Joe twice. Never met a more affable company head as Joe, and David always came off as genuinely concerned about their product and their people. Yes, many pay lip service, but the Fields followed through and built a great company. The CBS deal was just a bad gamble, especially in these times.

I do wonder, aside from financial concerns, how some of these old tiemrs who started these companies feel, seeing what has happeend to their once-great companies. In a business sense, it must be like outliving your children.
 
The CBS deal was just a bad gamble, especially in these times.
The word is Hubris. They should have known that this deal would go sour. David Field won't face any hardship. That cannot be said for the many long time Entercom employees (Past & Present). The old joke at Entercom was "If you still had your job after Thanksgiving, you were good for another year". I don't think Entercom was all that different from Cumulus or Clear Channel. You're part of the "Family" until you aren't anymore...
 
I don't think Entercom was all that different from Cumulus or Clear Channel. You're part of the "Family" until you aren't anymore...
This is standard operating procedure across the board. It's always been that way, whether you worked for Westinghouse, CapCities or NBC (way) back in the day. You're part of the team ... until you isn't. The difference being that when people got bounced from those legacy companies, they received a decent severance package. Those days are long gone. Long, long, lonnnng gone. These days, employees are shamed, frog-marched from the building and lucky to get compensation for their unused vacation and/or comp days.

I do wonder, aside from financial concerns, how some of these old tiemrs who started these companies feel, seeing what has happeend to their once-great companies. In a business sense, it must be like outliving your children.
As the story is told, Joe Field built Entercom from a single FM in Florida. He bailed out a friend who owned the station and turned the station into a winner. More gradual acquisitions followed. Entercom under "the Old Man" was profitable and highly respected ... also comparatively debt-stable. David Field, "The Kid," is an M&A (mergers and acquisitions) guy with a Wall Street background, bit off more than he could chew with the CBS deal. In stable financial times, a well-managed company can swim against that current, but the economy, technology and rapidly changing use of media conspired against Entercom/Audacy. It's said, "timing is everything." Entercom's timing in the CBS deal couldn't have been worse ... actually Farid's bone-headed move ("I should have been selling instead of buying" ... yeah, he said that) to buy ABC probably tops Entercom's purchase of CBS radio for poor timing, "boldness" and stupidity. The fact that both the CBS and ABC deals were Reverse Morris Trusts is somewhat ionic. The pandemic was the straw that broke the camel's back. The Old Man probably feels some disappointment, but he'd never admit it. Blood is thicker than water. Another chapter in the MBA "what not to do" handbook.
 
David fell for the "this time is different" myth on Wall Street. Cumulus, Clear Channel, Citadel, etc., yeah, but "this time is different." If Entercom had not gotten involved with CBS, things would be different. Not that Entercom would have been immune from the economic reality that exists today, but without the huge debt load that the CBS deal saddled Entercom with, they could have found a way to continue as a going concern.
 
Let's not forget there were two big acquisitions before CBS. In 2014, they bought the Lincoln Financial Group radio stations for over $105 million. Almost immediately after that, one of the big moneymakers in that group, Star in Atlanta, started to falter. Then a year after that, Entercom purchased the legendary Philadelphia AC station WBEB for $55 million. That last deal involved assuming some of the station's debt. Once again, a few months after the sale, the station dropped in the ratings, and observers complained that Field fired the station's long-standing PD, and put it under the PD of another station in the cluster. So here are two very big deals, costing over $160 million, and then those new stations fall in the ratings. So one could say the bloom was already off the rose when the company took on the $2 billion from CBS.
 
Let's not forget there were two big acquisitions before CBS. In 2014, they bought the Lincoln Financial Group radio stations for over $105 million. Almost immediately after that, one of the big moneymakers in that group, Star in Atlanta, started to falter. Then a year after that, Entercom purchased the legendary Philadelphia AC station WBEB for $55 million. That last deal involved assuming some of the station's debt. Once again, a few months after the sale, the station dropped in the ratings, and observers complained that Field fired the station's long-standing PD, and put it under the PD of another station in the cluster. So here are two very big deals, costing over $160 million, and then those new stations fall in the ratings. So one could say the bloom was already off the rose when the company took on the $2 billion from CBS.
These are valid points, properly noted. The acquisitions noted compounded by the managerial changes made by Entercom, ostensibly David Field, added to the company's stress. The WBEB acquisition was stressful from the get go. Blowing out the legacy PD was just plain ... dumb. Penny wise and pound foolish. But that, without malice intended, is how some managers think. I sometimes wonder if powerful, moneyed owners/operators (in avariety of businesses) actually learn from their mistakes or simply rely on their mystique. Jack Welch was proven to be a fraud. Chainsaw Al Dunlap, the same. Wall Street loved 'em .. until the curtain was pulled back .. and then they didn't.
 
Penny wise and pound foolish. But that, without malice intended, is how some managers think.

Then again, it's their money. Field & his father stand to lose millions as well as the business the elder Field started over 50 years ago. No other radio company CEO has had as much of their own skin at stake as him.
 
These are valid points, properly noted. The acquisitions noted compounded by the managerial changes made by Entercom, ostensibly David Field, added to the company's stress.
Do you mean debt load?
The WBEB acquisition was stressful from the get go. Blowing out the legacy PD was just plain ... dumb.
Getting rid of individual staff in a group of 200 stations amounts to a drop of water in an Olympic-sized swimming pool. None of that has anything to do with where Audacy is today. It's the bad timing of the down-trending advertising climate, taking on excessive debt, and being publicly traded when Wall Street has completely disowned traditional media companies due to lack of a future.
Penny wise and pound foolish. But that, without malice intended, is how some managers think. I sometimes wonder if powerful, moneyed owners/operators (in avariety of businesses) actually learn from their mistakes or simply rely on their mystique. Jack Welch was proven to be a fraud. Chainsaw Al Dunlap, the same. Wall Street loved 'em .. until the curtain was pulled back .. and then they didn't.
Having been a GE stock owner back during the Jack Welch days; there are some parallels between what Audacy is facing and what happened at GE. Wall Street expects growth, so CEOs are always under pressure to grow and keep The Street happy. You grow through acquisitions and increased margins. When The Street falls out of love with your business because you aren't growing fast enough, you're not innovative enough, or profits and expenses flip (including debt), that's when companies start running into trouble. CEOs and corporate officers are paid the big bucks to be right and increase shareholder value. When stormy weather hits and it's found you made the wrong call after all, they allow for legal reorganization in an effort to salvage the company.
 
Kelly A said:
Getting rid of individual staff in a group of 200 stations amounts to a drop of water in an Olympic-sized swimming pool. None of that has anything to do with where Audacy is today.
This analogy brought back a college bio-chemistry class wherein the professor was adamant about protecting the reagent, and the precision required of all students taking part in the lab assignments. It was an imperative. The prof conducted an experiment wherein he did an A-B comparison of a compound. The "A" was done to protocol; in the "B" the professor added a drop ... one measured drop ... of a substance. It dramatically altered the outcome. A non-science major asked "but how much does that really matter?" Chem majors rightfully snickered. The professor calmly replied, "If it was a matter of drinking water, we just polluted the entire water supply of Lancaster (a Western New York suburb) for the next 24 hours."

Your point about firing a PD "in the grand scheme of things" is understood, but it sure didn't help matters at WBEB, especially as it may have critically impacted the performance of one major radio station on which ratings and billing were critically important.

Kelly A said:
It's the bad timing of the down-trending advertising climate, taking on excessive debt, and being publicly traded when Wall Street has completely disowned traditional media companies due to lack of a future.[/qoute] Indeed ... components to which I alluded.
 
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