most likely that NPR will survive, though scaled back in terms of the number of reporters it has and the number of stations that it will serve.
As I've been saying, and has been documented for years, NPR receives only a fraction of its budget from CPB, and none of it for news coverage. So NPR will be largely unaffected. Large market NPR stations also only receive a fraction of their budget from CPB. However some receive CPB grants to do special projects. KQED received $5 million to do an education project with area high school students, and that grant will be cut. So any staff connected to that specific grant will be let go.
The places where this will have its greatest effect is in the rural states where federal funding is a higher percentage of the budget. These are states where the government owns the public radio and TV stations. Louisiana is one such state. Georgia is another. Any place that has a state public broadcasting authority will lose millions in CPB funding. Coupled with the loss of education funding, it will make it much harder for those local stations to serve their communities.
The thing is, Mr. Trump is impatient--he wants NPR gone now! What I think he's going to do towards making that a reality will be to put financial and political pressure (I'm hoping not troops) on the corporations who sponsor both the network and local stations. I would like this effort to be unsuccessful but we'll just have to wait and see.
Correct. Once he sees the results are not what he intended, he will move on to phase two. As I've been saying, this was not about saving taxpayers money. This is about shutting down the media. He said so in his EO. He will continue to attack NPR even though the company will no longer receive any taxpayer money. While he's doing this, he will increase pressure on commercial broadcasters as well.