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WJKR's jump doesn't look right...

For April, Nabco's Class A Country 103.9 The Maverick's 6+ share leapt from 3.2 (which was already a good performance for that signal) to 4.7. Not impossible, but it doesn't look right. Their cume barely budged...actually down marginally. So that means TSL would have gone up almost 50%. Meanwhile Country leader iheart's WCOL-FM was essentially flat, going 7.5-7.4, so they didn't lose anything. Possibly an outlier or two with a PPM?
 
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So I wonder if Johnboy is popping champaign or doing a wait & see. It frankly is an amazing number for a peanut whistle.

On the downside, the Blitz was in the pits.
 
Maybe they gained listeners from T-100, WCLT-FM in Newark? Good to see those stations in Newark still going on locally owned (WCLT and WNKO), but hard to tell how they are doing ratings-wise. Another note, isn't that two former WCOL jocks on WJKR with Johnboy and Woody Johnson?? Also, WNKO has a former Clear Channel/iHeart host with Joel Riley. Those established names in the Columbus market probably bring some people who listened to them on their previous stations. On a third note, never thought I would see 103.9 over 99.7 in the ratings. Wonder if WJKR would give WCOL a real battle if they swapped frequencies with The Blitz? On a fourth note, can't believe Star 94.1 had a 1.8 share with their signal!
 
When was the transmitter move? Not that I'm suggesting that alone could have been the sole factor in the rise regardless. I'm still betting on an outlier or two since the size of their listener base was unchanged.
 
When was the transmitter move? Not that I'm suggesting that alone could have been the sole factor in the rise regardless. I'm still betting on an outlier or two since the size of their listener base was unchanged.
Looking at FCCdata.org I couldn't find a recent CP since 2020. But you look at either radio-locator or FCCdata coverage maps the 60 dbm covers a huge percentage of Columbus thanks to the relative flatness of the market. Not a class B with a lot of coverage of farm land but still not too shabby.
 
Or quite simply, a new PPM panel has taken a hold, and one or 2 new panelists love that station. I have a friend in a 20+ rated market that saw his TSL jump 720% with the addition of 3 new PPM people--one being in their late 60's--for his Hot AC station. Not actually in the demo, but all it takes is one or 2 people to jump those numbers up dramatically...
 
Will it hold? not sure but it's not too surprising... WJKR has well known local talent with a rich history in Columbus, OH Radio...

WCOL might have a monster signal but spends most of it's days on the Voice-Track (even if some of the talent is in Columbus). Also, last I listened 103.9 is not running 10+ minute spot blocks. iHeart sure loves to see how long breaks can be. Heck I have heard them REPEAT ads in the same spot block....

One would wonder if WCLT would do better (despite being locally owned) if they for example had a local morning show - I can't imagine the folks in Newark love to tune in and hear Big D and Bubba - generally locally owned stations do better when they are focused on their community. Same with The Wolf down in Lancaster - they give up their morning daypart to syndication. (but I get it - syndicated shows are cheap and easy to plug in these days - don't even need a satellite dish anymore).


Also 103.9's Classic Country and I assume that given Columbus has always had a solid Country Music fan base they have filled a niche there. If you want currents flip over to WCOL-FM or WCLT.
 
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When was the transmitter move? Not that I'm suggesting that alone could have been the sole factor in the rise regardless. I'm still betting on an outlier or two since the size of their listener base was unchanged.

Still on the west side where it has been for a few years now. For a Class A it has a pretty solid signal over Columbus. At least it does not "rim" the market like 103.5, 104.3 and 107.9.
 
Or quite simply, a new PPM panel has taken a hold,
Just to clarify, there has not been a "new" PPM panel since 2008/09. The panel refreshes every month as panelists either end their maximum tenure, get removed for non-compliance or resign. The average monthly turnover is different for each month (Christmas season has biggest voluntary drop-off followed by summer months) but the average is about 6% to 8% each month.
and one or 2 new panelists love that station. I have a friend in a 20+ rated market that saw his TSL jump 720% with the addition of 3 new PPM people--one being in their late 60's--for his Hot AC station. Not actually in the demo, but all it takes is one or 2 people to jump those numbers up dramatically...
The smaller the number of panelists that ever use your station, the bigger the potential for big wobbles.
 
Just to clarify, there has not been a "new" PPM panel since 2008/09. The panel refreshes every month as panelists either end their maximum tenure, get removed for non-compliance or resign. The average monthly turnover is different for each month (Christmas season has biggest voluntary drop-off followed by summer months) but the average is about 6% to 8% each month.

The smaller the number of panelists that ever use your station, the bigger the potential for big wobbles.
H David...Yes you are right there isnt a new "panel" just panelists moving in and out. In the case of my friend (DM me and i'll tell you who it is--you might know him) thats exactly what hapened. They had 3 new panelists who "helped" his station out dramatically. One, the late-60's-out -of-demo-for-his-Hot AC-station panelist, recorded 426 quarter hours in one month early this year, and 709 the next...just an example of how one or 2 new people can completly alter a stations trajectory...up or down.
 
When Nielsen notices one panelist obsessively listening to one station, either for one ratings period or book after book, does it drop that person from the panel? Or are such listeners treated the same way typical listeners are, and rotated out when their time comes? How about when two or three people exhibit the same listening behavior? Does Nielsen kick them out for suspected funny business?
 
When Nielsen notices one panelist obsessively listening to one station, either for one ratings period or book after book, does it drop that person from the panel? Or are such listeners treated the same way typical listeners are, and rotated out when their time comes? How about when two or three people exhibit the same listening behavior? Does Nielsen kick them out for suspected funny business?

Nielsen Audio does have an "Outlier Mitigation" policy, outlined in this document on page 8-3. Note that the outlier remains in the panel, but has its listening reduced as described:
Local Radio Syndicated Services Description of Methodology

"In some cases, a station may have an unusual increase in the ratings based on a single Panelist or home with very heavy listening. We call these situations “Outliers.”

For the purpose of our Outlier Mitigation methodology, we define an outlier as a Panelist that accounts for 50% or
more of the station’s total listening within the Metro, that ranks in the 99.5 th percentile of the Metro’s listeners,
and that exhibits no security risk. With Outlier Mitigation, panelists identified as Outliers will remain in the Panel,
but tuning that exceeds the specified threshold will be trimmed to the level of the next heaviest listener to the
station outside of the household...."

So, at least there, I don't see anything that specifically addresses the kind of multi-panelist "collusion" you ask about. I would think that a station suspecting something like that could bring it to Nielsen's attention.

This article from Barrett Media takes a somewhat deeper dive:
 
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