stan said:
As I understand math, 30% is a minority; that is, 70% are not interested in the formats of which someone speaks. I still think all news, AAA, or some rock variant would be appropriate.
On the other hand, "majority" is not a useful word in format evaluation. In a market where a top-5 station is between a 4 and 7 share, 30% is a huge number and would sustain 6 to 8 top tier radio stations. There are about 21 fully viable commercial Houston signals per one of the industry's most respected sources, with that meaning full market signal day and night, so most of the 90 shares that go to commercial radio... so huge success is getting a 5 share!
All a station has to do is look for formats that can get the cume and TsL balance needed to get in that range, and they will be "successful" and able to sustain whatever it is that they do.
News should work in Houston. There is a big enough potential cume to make up for the low, low TSL... even though this is a hugely expensive format, it is usually immune from competion. Whoever does traditional N/T first there will also have the chance to build a franchise.
On the rock side, AAA is difficult. Few startups have made it, with LA and NYc as glaring examples of how badly they have not succeeded. The biggies in this format for the most part have decades-deep roots and have created familiarity and attachment to their unique blends of music. This is likely to be a low cume proposition in Houston, and with TSL compression in PPM, not a winner.
What else is there that could be explored? Many on the West Coast have raved about KDLD, Indie 103.1, a more eclectic alternative rock format than most "corporate" stations would present. It went away, mostly due to a bad signal, but the concept was widely hailed in music and on-line circles. Is that a possibility? Or is it "too cool for the room?"