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103.9

inquisitor said:
Sean Gilbow said:
I am not poor.

You are also nowhere near upper middle income, upper income or rich, either.

From Business First: Average Columbus income was $38,129 in 2008.

http://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/stories/2009/08/03/daily37.html

Regular posters know I make more than that.

Your assertion, Inquisitor, of going after people with money flies in the face of many successful stations in this market. You cannot tell me the typical WNCI or Power 107.5 listener makes more than the average Columbus income.

And those who do have money can afford either HD or satellite radio, a good portion of the latter being commercial-free.

And whether you like it or not, Inquisitor, many of the nation's leading radio advertisers such as GEICO and Wal-Mart are not after audiences with deep pockets. It's the same with advertisers like Kroger and McDonald's locally.

Your argument still falls flat, Inquisitor.
 
author=Sean Gilbow link=topic=152216.msg1288712#msg1288712 date=1252283426]






And need I remind everyone of the signal problems and sound quality issues WVKO had, not to mention the infomercials. But the audience came anyway to score the station a 1.0 in the Fall 2008 Arbitrons, issued the last day it was a progressive talker.

You may now go back to your discussion on what specialized music format should go on such a poor signal.

This actually was something that was correctable. GR did not want to spend the additional funds to make
it right. I know of this via personal experience.

Also that format sucks. Any measure of cool was ruined long ago by those above mentioned tech problems among
other things

Many people on this forum appreciate opinions from the common man. But until you or Mr. Bigley have
had long term experience in this industry you will never truly understand what the truth is, how the
industry works and who is pulling wool over your eyes.
 
RF Man said:
This actually was something that was correctable. GR did not want to spend the additional funds to make
it right. I know of this via personal experience.

Also that format sucks. Any measure of cool was ruined long ago by those above mentioned tech problems among
other things

Many people on this forum appreciate opinions from the common man. But until you or Mr. Bigley have
had long term experience in this industry you will never truly understand what the truth is, how the
industry works and who is pulling wool over your eyes.

RF, I do know enough about the industry that I was able to go on another career path. In no way would I ever pursue a radio career, especially in this market. And while I may be among the "common man" crowd, in spite of my past experience with the medium, it is common people who make up the Arbitron numbers. Further, it may surprise both of us how many people posting here have less experience or insider knowledge than yours truly, who has advertised on both progressive talk stations in Columbus and one in Akron.

And just because a format sucked on a particular station does not mean it sucks everywhere. Clear Channel, believe it or not, has seen sufficient success with the format in a variety of markets (Denver, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Portland, Madison, Asheville) that the stations have had the format four or five years now.

However, I will not comment on anything involving GR.
 
Sean Gilbow said:
From Business First: Average Columbus income was $38,129 in 2008.

http://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/stories/2009/08/03/daily37.html

Regular posters know I make more than that.

Your assertion, Inquisitor, of going after people with money flies in the face of many successful stations in this market. You cannot tell me the typical WNCI or Power 107.5 listener makes more than the average Columbus income.

And those who do have money can afford either HD or satellite radio, a good portion of the latter being commercial-free.

And whether you like it or not, Inquisitor, many of the nation's leading radio advertisers such as GEICO and Wal-Mart are not after audiences with deep pockets. It's the same with advertisers like Kroger and McDonald's locally.

Your argument still falls flat, Inquisitor.

You may think you know about radio, but you know NOTHING about business.

Glad you mentioned Power 107.5 because neither WNCI nor WCKX are niche stations. Both go after a large chunk of audience. But back in the old days, urban was a hard sell to advertisers because of the low ratings and poor demographic.

When you are going to get (at best) a 1.0 share, the only way that works if if you have a high margin, high profit product. For example, Rolls Royce, Cadillac and Mercedes can afford to stay in business selling a small amount of cars, because each car they sell carries a HIGH PROFIT. However, when you are selling to average and below average income people, you cannot command a premium thus you have to do business on volume. Why do you think GM had to shut down Pontiac, that sells more cars than Buick, but kept Buick, which sells less cars? Buick (counting the U.S. only) is profitable selling 130,000 cars because they have an upper middle-income customer and Pontiac wasn't, selling 350,000 cars. This same lesson holds in retail where Nordstrom needs only one very profitable store versus 5 or 6 stores for Macy's and 10 or 12 stores for Walmart. In radio, this is why the jazz format can survive, because of the income level of its listening audience.

Comprende?

This is also why NewsTalk stations are (or were) extremely profitable. They get high ratings, and have good demographics.

Sorry, but radio is a business and not a local civic association meeting.
 
inquisitor said:
Sean Gilbow said:
From Business First: Average Columbus income was $38,129 in 2008.

http://www.bizjournals.com/columbus/stories/2009/08/03/daily37.html

Regular posters know I make more than that.

Your assertion, Inquisitor, of going after people with money flies in the face of many successful stations in this market. You cannot tell me the typical WNCI or Power 107.5 listener makes more than the average Columbus income.

And those who do have money can afford either HD or satellite radio, a good portion of the latter being commercial-free.

And whether you like it or not, Inquisitor, many of the nation's leading radio advertisers such as GEICO and Wal-Mart are not after audiences with deep pockets. It's the same with advertisers like Kroger and McDonald's locally.

Your argument still falls flat, Inquisitor.

You may think you know about radio, but you know NOTHING about business.

Glad you mentioned Power 107.5 because neither WNCI nor WCKX are niche stations. Both go after a large chunk of audience. But back in the old days, urban was a hard sell to advertisers because of the low ratings and poor demographic.

When you are going to get (at best) a 1.0 share, the only way that works if if you have a high margin, high profit product. For example, Rolls Royce, Cadillac and Mercedes can afford to stay in business selling a small amount of cars, because each car they sell carries a HIGH PROFIT. However, when you are selling to average and below average income people, you cannot command a premium thus you have to do business on volume. Why do you think GM had to shut down Pontiac, that sells more cars than Buick, but kept Buick, which sells less cars? Buick (counting the U.S. only) is profitable selling 130,000 cars because they have an upper middle-income customer and Pontiac wasn't, selling 350,000 cars.

Comprende?

This is also why NewsTalk stations are (or were) extremely profitable. They get high ratings, and have good demographics.

Sorry, but radio is a business and not a local civic association meeting.

Inquisitor, you may know something about business, but I can tell you know NOTHING about dealing with people, which is my job.
 
inquisitor said:
Oh my God, would you people hang it up! This format has failed I don't know how many times and has no upside. Who in their right mind would program a niche station that isn't likely to go above a 1.0 in the ratings with such a poor demographic? Niche programming works with sports or jazz or any format that caters to people with money in their pockets, because advertisers want to reach them. What advertiser in their right mind wants to reach people without any money?

The format failed how many times? In Columbus, that would be once, when Clear Channel dumped it after the election was over. The only reason they put it on in the first place is because they had a station they have never known what to do with, and with the 2004 election coming, they figured why not. It was succeeding at WVKO when the station was sold to the Catholics.

And why would you say it isn't likely to go over a 1.0 share? That's where it ended up after one year, with no advertising or promotion, and it went up every book. How do you know where it might have ended up? After all, Franklin County votes predominately Democratic. If you don't know that, you're not paying attention.

Oh, and Dems have no money? That's a good one.
 
EDIT -- oops, I see they've split the thread, so my reference here to "your last post" may be confusing. ("Your" refers to inquisitor, BTW.) I'm NOT referring to the short post that mentions Madison. Maybe this one will get moved, too...

---------

If there was more thoughtful discussion along the lines of your last post -- and a lot less of the shouting, epithet-throwing, indignation, pigeonholing, dis-resepect and my-way-or-the-highway that seems to dominate these days -- I think the country could become a lot less polarized.  I know the internet, unfortunately has a "fan the flames" effect, and it's a shame the interactivity has evolved in that direction.

I don't have time to respond in detail, but I agree with some of what you said in that last post (e.g., I kind of liked Perot, too), tend to disagree to varying extents with some other parts, and have to give further thought to yet other parts.

One thing I will respond to since it's a quickie and radio-focused is your last statement.  Yes, I agree entertainment value is very important.  I actually don't listen much to talk radio, but on TV I could name at least Rachel Maddow as someone who seems entertaining -- although a lot of that may be largely in the facial expressions..
 
inquisitor said:
Rusty Blades said:
The format failed how many times?

Lots, and lots, and lots ... and all over America. And even in such places as Madison, WI.

Madison's 92.1 The Mic is still on the air.
 
Gosh, I hate to get in an argument like this one. Too much passion on both sides.

But, here's my 2 cents: WVKO was a good try. Yes, it did grow. However, you're talking 1/2 of a rating point age 12 plus. It grew two-tenths of a rating point beyond the survey's statistical margin of error. Stations like WNCI bounce up and down by that kind of number in just one month. But, I acknowledge the growth. It was not, however, anything anyone could call a rousing success. (Sorry Sean, and that's not a shot at you.)

Look, guys...we can sit here all day and debate this, but the bottom line is: WVKO had nowhere near the operating capital required to even attempt to make a serious run at profitability. Enough to go on the air and run for awhile, yes. But, the station needed:

Some engineering assistance...a full-time, experienced program director who was committed to the cause...something beyond an almost volunteer staff...and a small local news operation.

Now, if GR reads this: I'm not picking on you. You did a decent job with what you had. But, it needed more.

My whole take on progressive talk is this: You need to build the station with mostly the cream of that syndicated field (Schultz, Stephanie, etc), do a live local news show in morning drive, and local news at least every 30 minutes 5A to 6 or 7P. And, you have to do it on FM!

Why? Most progressives (though not all, certainly) are under 50. AM, frankly reaches few under 50...and no one under 40. You cannot force listening to go from FM to AM. It only goes the other way. (Example: When conservative talker WHIO in Dayton added an FM signal, it actually lowered it's demos on the FM side, finding conservative audiences under 40...who had never listened to the AM station because, well, they won't listen to AM!) To go after a substantial amount of progressive listeners, you gotta be on FM.

It could be on a rimshot, but that rimshot would have to have a reasonably decent signal over Columbus proper...and you'd better have a good webstream and interactive website up from day one.

A couple of other thoughts:

Stop trying to "educate" people like an NPR station. Entertain them! Have some "attitude" ("Because every now and then...left...is right. Sorry Rush.") I'm sorry, but Al Franken lost me totally. He may know how to write a joke, but as a radio host he was just lame. Remember, the talk hosts are the "entertainment" just as songs are the "entertainment" on a music station. Some tend to forget that and are blinded by ideology.

Could this be 103.9? Don't know. That signal hasn't amounted to much since it came back on the air from its jazz days. But, if someone would commit the cash and promotional money for, say 2 to 3 years...it might work. But, promotional money isn't just a trade out ad in the Other Paper.
 
Completely agree with your praise for Kevin's post.

Whatever 103.9 does it can never take the market by storm with that signal.  OTOH, it's not the market's worst rimshot signal by any means, and has far more potential than it's realizing with Talk/Sports.
 
Trust me - all the talk of a music format will not happen.............sports. And Shark will be in mornings.
 
Al Timiter said:
Thank you, Kevin Fodor for being the voice of reason. Very thoughtful and in my view, very accurate.

Agree except for the last paragraph. You guys aren't thinking like business people. What's so accurate about it? Why would you spend promotional money and sit on an unsuccessful format for two years with limited upside potential, when you could throw promotional money on a proven roster of conservative B-list and C-list hosts? You grab maybe Imus in the morning, followed by Laura Ingraham, followed by maybe Neil Boortz, Dr. Laura and whoever else is on these B-list stations. You run them live and let the audience build. I'm not a fan of most of these B-list people, but they are a proven product in ever other market. 55-WKRC is the Number 2 station in Cincinnati with many of these same hosts. 1290-WHIO also seems to do well with Clark Howard and Neil Boortz. The numbers don't lie. The key, in my opinion, is that WTDA does not run them live.
 
inquisitor said:
Al Timiter said:
Thank you, Kevin Fodor for being the voice of reason. Very thoughtful and in my view, very accurate.

Agree except for the last paragraph. You guys aren't thinking like business people. What's so accurate about it? Why would you spend promotional money and sit on an unsuccessful format for two years with limited upside potential, when you could throw promotional money on a proven roster of conservative B-list and C-list hosts? You grab maybe Imus in the morning, followed by Laura Ingraham, followed by maybe Neil Boortz, Dr. Laura and whoever else is on these B-list stations. You run them live and let the audience build. I'm not a fan of most of these B-list people, but they are a proven product in ever other market. 55-WKRC is the Number 2 station in Cincinnati with many of these same hosts. 1290-WHIO also seems to do well with Clark Howard and Neil Boortz. The numbers don't lie. The key, in my opinion, is that WTDA does not run them live.

Well, one thing I can say for sure is that such an approach wouldn't make any less sense than sports. There aren't many options that do.
 
I agree with Kevin's comments 100 percent.

All of the hosts Inquisitor cites were or are on Columbus radio, the bulk of them (if not all) on 1230 at some point in time. That includes Ingraham, which moved from 1230 to 103.9 with 1230's sports flip and is scoring no ratings.

Dr. Laura was even on WTVN and was booted by Glenn Beck after 9/11.

The ratings consistently show WTVN owns the consevative talk crowd, and WBNS owns the sports crowd. That's not going to change.
 
Sean Gilbow said:
I agree with Kevin's comments 100 percent.

All of the hosts Inquisitor cites were or are on Columbus radio, the bulk of them (if not all) on 1230 at some point in time. That includes Ingraham, which moved from 1230 to 103.9 with 1230's sports flip and is scoring no ratings.

Dr. Laura was even on WTVN and was booted by Glenn Beck after 9/11.

The ratings consistently show WTVN owns the consevative talk crowd, and WBNS owns the sports crowd. That's not going to change.

Again, you have to look at this like a businessman would.

Historically, radio stations have sold for a cash flow multiple of 12 times or more. Let's say WTDA is worth $5 million as a viable property (I think that's what they paid for it). That means it needs to have a net income of just over $400,000 a year ($5,000,000 / 12). Can lib talk do that? Is it worth sitting on the signal for two years for such a shaky format? Remember, they probably also have debt service ... are you going to take losses for two years for something that isn't a sure thing?

$4,000,000 amortized over 20 years at 8% generates a $ 33,457.60 monthly payment (roughly $402,000 annually). That's before any of your other expenses. Are you going to roll the dice on lib talk if you have to generate $400,000 a year to pay off your debt, or are you going to go with something proven?
 
inquisitor said:
Sean Gilbow said:
I agree with Kevin's comments 100 percent.

All of the hosts Inquisitor cites were or are on Columbus radio, the bulk of them (if not all) on 1230 at some point in time.  That includes Ingraham, which moved from 1230 to 103.9 with 1230's sports flip and is scoring no ratings.

Dr. Laura was even on WTVN and was booted by Glenn Beck after 9/11.

The ratings consistently show WTVN owns the consevative talk crowd, and WBNS owns the sports crowd.  That's not going to change.

Again, you have to look at this like a businessman would.

Historically, radio stations have sold for a cash flow multiple of 12 times or more.  Let's say WTDA is worth $5 million as a viable property (I think that's what they paid for it).  That means it needs to have a net income of just over $400,000 a year ($5,000,000 / 12).  Can lib talk do that?  Is it worth sitting on the signal for two years for such a shaky format?  Remember, they probably also have debt service ... are you going to take losses for two years for something that isn't a sure thing?

$4,000,000 amortized over 20 years at 8% generates a $ 33,457.60 monthly payment (roughly $402,000 annually).  That's before any of your other expenses.  Are you going to roll the dice on lib talk if you have to generate $400,000 a year to pay off your debt, or are you going to go with something proven?

Once again, Inquisitor, you've shown another card in your conservative stack by using hypotheticals.

You're also showing a lack of knowledge of North American Broadcasting's history with this signal, which has been the bafflement of many of the regular posters on the Columbus board.

There is no way any station in this market can take listeners away from WTVN.  It still has the largest news department in the market, in addition to a combination of local talkers and the nation's leading conservative talkers.  When Glenn Beck went back to WTVN, WTDA's ratings went poof.

Your prejudices, which resulted in a number of your posts being deleted, contradict what you originally said about targeting a niche audience.  In spite of all the problems with sound quality, among other things, WVKO still climbed in audience numbers over the course of a year.

Like WVKO, WTDA has a poor signal.  But there is an audience who would ignore the signal problems and tune in.

Does this mean the station can just put any talker on the air?  No.  But there are five progressive talkers which, according to Talkers magazine, have national audiences in excess of one million.  Three of them are from one syndicator, Dial Global:  Ed Schultz, Thom Hartmann and Stephanie Miller.  Progressive talker Bill Press is also syndicated by Dial Global with the likes of Neal Boortz, Clark Howard and Michael Smerconish.  The other two progressives with audiences of a million plus are Lionel, syndicated by Air America Media, and Alan Colmes, syndicated by (get ready for this) Fox News Radio.  Since there are only around 40 talkers with national audiences in excess of a million, and there are significantly more conservative talkers than liberal ones, that should tell you something.

Meanwhile, some of the talkers with huge audiences are getting no ratings on WTDA, including Laura Ingraham, Dennis Miller and Michael Savage--zero, zip, nada.  When Ingraham and Savage were on 1230, their audience was also lower than the progressive talkers.

Beck was the only talker that could take audience numbers away from WTVN, and now he's back on 610.

With NABCO's track record, the station is better off switching to Radio Disney.

----------

Now, having said that...since you say you have a small business, Inquisitor, are you advertising on the radio? I advertised on both 1230 and WVKO as well as a progressive station in Akron over the last five years. I put my money where my mouth is. If you want more conservatives on WTDA, you should be on the phone with NABCO tomorrow saying you want to advertise your business.
 
RF Man said:
This actually was something that was correctable. GR did not want to spend the additional funds to make
it right. I know of this via personal experience.

Also that format sucks. Any measure of cool was ruined long ago by those above mentioned tech problems among
other things

Many people on this forum appreciate opinions from the common man. But until you or Mr. Bigley have
had long term experience in this industry you will never truly understand what the truth is, how the
industry works and who is pulling wool over your eyes.

I agree with everything you say here but I would like to see the progressive talk format tried on the FM radio band here in Columbus. The format dose NOT suck as you say but seems to work in just a few markets and Columbus may be one of them if it is placed on FM. It may work on 103.9 and/or 102.5 like I mentioned a few weeks ago on the 102.5/WHIZ move in thread.

No, I'm Not a radio professional. I'm a radio buff. I've run across a couple of people that post here who aren't in the radio business and have never been in the biz. Also, you have seasoned radio professions who occasional post on the board and yes that really mixes things up here.
 
gabigley1 said:
No, I'm Not a radio professional. I'm a radio buff. I've run across a couple of people that post here who aren't in the radio business and have never been in the biz.

I was hanging with you there...

gabigley1 said:
Also, you have seasoned radio professions who occasional post on the board and yes that really mixes things up here.

There's the part where I say "HUH?" out loud.
 
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