• Get involved.
    We want your input!
    Apply for Membership and join the conversations about everything related to broadcasting.

    After we receive your registration, a moderator will review it. After your registration is approved, you will be permitted to post.
    If you use a disposable or false email address, your registration will be rejected.

    After your membership is approved, please take a minute to tell us a little bit about yourself.
    https://www.radiodiscussions.com/forums/introduce-yourself.1088/

    Thanks in advance and have fun!
    RadioDiscussions Administrators

2016 Media Predictions

The number of cable channels that is just taking up channel space will decrease due to dropping subscription numbers.
 
The number of cable channels that is just taking up channel space will decrease due to dropping subscription numbers.

I would like to think so but why do you? These are usually no value added channels which may or may not add insignificant revenue to the carrier and they don't take up much space so why get rid of them?

The only reason I can think of is that current cable subscribers might want their local cable carrier to carry the various diginets currently OTA in their market(s). I don't see that as a big possibility however.
 
My biggest prediction - Internet-based TV providers (IE Roku, Google, Sling, etc.) will finally become a formidable force which the cable & satellite carriers WILL have to reckon with - AND ADAPT TO - If they wanna remain relevant in the broader TV landscape

As far as networks go - MORE diginets (Like an old skool circa 1980s HLN for starters - CALLING CBS !!! CALLING ABC !!!). An extreme sports diginet would also be nice (But since has already been tried, I don't show much hope here)

Those are my predictions :)

Cheers & Happy Holidays :)
 
The number of cable channels that is just taking up channel space will decrease due to dropping subscription numbers.

Not so long as the majority of them are contractually locked-in with their parent channels' (e.g., you want to carry Discovery, you also carry Science, TLC, ID, etc.) carriage agreements.

The only reason I can think of is that current cable subscribers might want their local cable carrier to carry the various diginets currently OTA in their market(s). I don't see that as a big possibility however.

Generally speaking, the question of diginets getting cable carriage depends on the terms negotiated between the cable system and the broadcast station carrying the diginet. Just as ABC demands ESPN carriage as part of the retransmission agreement for their O&O's, NBC has been doing the same thing for Cozi and Tribune has gotten cable clearance for Antenna TV through that tactic.

In fact, now that I've been thinking while writing, I think diginet carriage would be dependent on the originating ".1" station at least giving their permission.

------

Sidebar to MarioMania: The cable companies raise their rates as retransmission rates go up, new carriage agreements are negotiated with broadcasters and cable networks, and the like. No, it doesn't help matters that the rates go up, but those are largely a consequence of practically every station and network wanting to be paid for their channel(s) to be carried. Please keep that in mind.
 
I'm going to go on a limb and predict that sometime this year one of the big cable companies (e.g., Comcast, TWC, Charter, etc.) will announce plans to convert most, if not all, of most of their systems to an all-HD lineup (with possible exceptions of local channels, public access and those cable channels only available in SD at this time) by 2020. Basically Part 2 of their all-digital conversion--but this time SD goes bye-bye for the most part. Perhaps announcing this year that channels available in both SD and HD above a certain cable package tier (e.g., Comcast's Digital Starter level) or channel level (e.g., everything channel 100+ on digital that's not repeated on channels 1-99) will only be offered in HD in some areas.
 
Last edited:
Like an old skool circa 1980s HLN for starters - CALLING CBS !!! CALLING ABC !!!

Only way this happens is if CBS makes CBSN a diginet instead of an online-only service. I would say it is more likely that CBS discontinues CBSN than tries to make it into a diginet.
 
Only way this happens is if CBS makes CBSN a diginet instead of an online-only service. I would say it is more likely that CBS discontinues CBSN than tries to make it into a diginet.
Rolling the Decades diginet is much more cheaper than having warm bodies in a newschair doing live/tape telecasts rolling in 4 hour blocks on a diginet to a questionable amount of eyeholes absorbing it.
It's a good idea in theory but with MSNBFOXNN in the mix there's no way it would change viewing habits to be profitable.

Just look to New York, Los Angeles and Philly and their attempts at doing the national/local news on a .2
None of them no longer exist anymore much like CNN Headline News (or CNN2 for the really retro viewers).
 
Whatever happened to the idea of A la carte cable? Is it dead?

Verizon FiOS is doing it in a limited fashion by offering packages of channels based on type of programming, not tiers.

For example, you can eliminate all the sports channels.
 
Last edited:


Verizon FiOS is doing it in a limited fashion by offering packages of channels based on type of programming, not tiers.

For example, you can eliminate all the sports channels.

Those Fios packages are a joke. They have the channels strategically divided up so that you basically have to order multiple bundles to get the channels you want.i
 
Those Fios packages are a joke. They have the channels strategically divided up so that you basically have to order multiple bundles to get the channels you want.i

But it's still giving the suits at The Mickey Mouse Outfit ulcers. Those who aren't sports fans don't need ESPN, and don't have to subscribe. But depending on how it's structured (FIOS isn't available in my area), wouldn't they lose not only ESPN/2/U/News, but also the Disney Channel and the local ABC station if it's an O&O? I thought that's how Disney structured their deals.
 
From north of The Border: More Canadian TV stations will close or become satellites of larger stations as the ad market deteriorates.
 
But it's still giving the suits at The Mickey Mouse Outfit ulcers. Those who aren't sports fans don't need ESPN, and don't have to subscribe. But depending on how it's structured (FIOS isn't available in my area), wouldn't they lose not only ESPN/2/U/News, but also the Disney Channel and the local ABC station if it's an O&O? I thought that's how Disney structured their deals.

Nope. I have FiOS, complete with 500/500 internet. And I did not take the sports package, which eliminates being charged for ESPN and the other sports channels. But I get the other Disney offerings.

I also eliminated the "music and fluff" grouping with things like MTV.

None of the options are related by the corporate provider but, rather, by the genre.
 
Those Fios packages are a joke. They have the channels strategically divided up so that you basically have to order multiple bundles to get the channels you want.i

I disagree. I found several of the bundles to be of relatively low or no interest, and am saving about $30 a month by not getting them.
 


Nope. I have FiOS, complete with 500/500 internet. And I did not take the sports package, which eliminates being charged for ESPN and the other sports channels. But I get the other Disney offerings.

I also eliminated the "music and fluff" grouping with things like MTV.

None of the options are related by the corporate provider but, rather, by the genre.

Hopefully, Frontier will serve you as good or better than Verizon has.

http://arstechnica.com/business/201...l-part-of-fios-and-dsl-territory-to-frontier/
 
Whatever happened to the idea of A la carte cable? Is it dead?

Well, in a way a la carte cable is here, but not exactly in a sense that's a common thought amongst us. Every major premium service except Cinemax and The Movie Channel is now available without going directly through a traditional TV provider--we all know about HBO and Showtime by now, and most recently Amazon Prime is offering subscriptions to both Showtime (with the on-demand content and live feeds) and Starz (plus some of Encore's content and its East Coast feed), plus Hulu (Plus) subscribers having full access to Epix's library. The big thing about that is it's less expensive than going through a TV provider, plus you get a free one-month trial to start with.
 
BTIG, the global financial services firm, has published its top 16 predictions and events to watch for in media and tech stocks in 2016:

1. Media Companies Forced to Shorten Sports Rights Amortisation Accounting
2. Media Conglomerates Seek Acquisitions to Diversify Away from Cable Networks and Fix Mobile Problem
3. Government Launches Movie Exhibition Windowing Investigation
4. Communications Becoming Gatekeeper for Media Consumption and Commerce (aka Snapchat Envy)
5. Comcast Realises Wi-Fi is Not Enough and Makes Bid for T-Mobile
6. Amazon Creates Standalone Video Service Distinct from Prime to Re-Bundle Content
7. Activists Re-Enter Time Warner Seeking Breakup
8. Netflix Watch Time Per Subscriber/Household Exceeds 3 Hours
9. Charter Closes Time Warner Cable/Bright House, But It’s Painful
10. YouTube Significantly Increases Investment in Red
11. Organic TV Ad Spend Declines Accelerate as Ratings Fall Rapidly
12. Spotify and Apple Take Meaningful Share of Free Listening from Pandora
13. Twitter Domestic MAUs Fall for Full Year 2016 as Facebook, Instagram and Snapchat Encroach
14. Lionsgate Acquires Starz and Sells EPIX
15. Comcast Launches Nationwide vMVPD
16. Major Distributor Drops a Major Programmer

http://advanced-television.com/2016/01/04/btig-predicts-amazon-will-create-standalone-video-service/
 
What stations, if any, might be the ones most likely to go dark due to repacking or a duopoly situation in 2016 (similar to instances in recent years in central Nebraska with KHAS, Birmingham, Charleston, etc.)?
 
Status
This thread has been closed due to inactivity. You can create a new thread to discuss this topic.


Back
Top Bottom