SolidGold16 said:
michael hagerty said:
No, Mike Phillips broadened the current playlist to 30-35 songs, beefed up the recurrents to about 150 and took the gold to roughly 600 tracks. And they were all arguably hits. But Mike tinkered with something that was working because his gut told him it shouldn't be. And it killed KFRC, because Mike misjudged how the listeners actually behaved. They heard their favorite songs less after he made his changes. And other stations in the market were more than willing to tighten up and become the new station that played those people's songs.
I don't know how they conducted research back then, I'm assuming they used diaries? I guess a lot of this in my mind comes down to my innate suspicion of "research". I once got one of those diaries, back around 1997 or so. I was lazy and just filled out whatever I felt like, mostly writing in KOLA and KRTH at random times on different days. I wasn't trying to be dishonest, I was just lazy. If I did that, I have to think many others did the same thing. Easy enough for me to skew results, without trying. Who knows how many listeners I represented? I have no idea, but I wasn't trying to make/break a station. It just wasn't that important to me at that age to make sure my report was accurate. Today, if I had such an opportunity, I would attempt to be more accurate and fair.
First, we're confusing research and ratings again.
Research is conducted by bringing a few hundred people together and playing them snippets of songs which they then rate electronically. This is done several times a year.
What you're describing is ratings, and yes, they used diaries then. The trouble with diaries was that most people did what you did...most often waiting until the diary was due back and then filling it in by memory. As a result, a lot of what you listened to may not have been credited at all (let's just say that you forgot the 15 minutes listening to a news station six days before), and what you did write in may have been credited with more time than you actually spent listening.
The largest several dozen markets now use PPM...Portable People Meter...technology. The participant wears the device, about the size of a small cell phone. It detects a code embedded in the signal of every radio station and accurately logs what you hear...not what you actively seek out...giving a much more realistic view of what you're exposed to.
For example, let's say that you listen to KOLA on the drive to work and the drive home, and that you have a 25-minute commute. At the office, they play KOST, and at the sandwich shop you grab lunch in most days, they play KFRG. With a diary, you'd probably only write down what you chose to listen to, round the 50 minutes up and just say you spend an hour a day listening to KOLA.
But the meter records what actually happens. You're hearing KOLA for 50 minutes, KFRG for 60 and KOST for 480.
SolidGold16 said:
All this comes back to the one thing I mentioned, I don't believe the research is as accurate as it's represented to be. For an advertiser like Coke, for example, how could they measure if their ad had any measurable impact on their sales? How can they know that their ad on KOLA (no pun intended) make me go out and buy a six-pack of Coca-Cola? They can't. There's simply no proof that exists that the ad I heard today made me want to go out and buy some.
There's no doubt that advertising works, but measuring the impact in different mediums is not completely provable.
This goes back to numbers of exposures required. Coke doesn't determine whether a single station is moving the needle on sales. They have a strategy that includes buying many different stations and kinds of media that have high exposure levels in the desired demographic. As long as sales perform to expectation, then the ad strategy itself is deemed successful. Stations that fall below the threshold in terms of numbers within the demo get dropped from the buys. It's down to enough of a science that a statistically sound ad buy rarely fails to deliver the desired results, absent some outside disruption (sudden drop in the economy, adverse publicity for the brand like a health or safety scare, etc.).
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