One school of thought has taught all along that if there existed an actual hole, marketers would have filled it by now.
The school's renegade
students (and graduates) insist that what has been taught is outdated.I'm one of those dissidents.
It was you, Bob, who first sent up the flare about the increasing indifference to radio shown by youth. That had to be a good ten years ago. If I recall correctly, you pointed out that the teen 'shrug' factor had begun to be evident a few years before
that.
Given that you're correct -- since I've not read a single poster who disputed the claim -- it has to follow that the erosion at the younger end began well before most of today's alternate listening devices existed.
That places the blame on radio's inability to adapt.
For decades, youth had been replenishing radio listenership's universe in stride. Nowadays, a 16-year old's first car is likely to come equipped at least with a casette deck and maybe a CD player. A wealthier kid's car (or a peer-leader's car) will also have satellite radio and more computer ports than it has cylinders.
* * * * * * *
Anyway, if there's a hole in the radio market, NYC or anywhere else, it's for people in the 12-24 demo. Radio companies and radio stations who stalk the sweet spot -- that 30-40 money demo -- may be doing the right thing by their stockholders. But the more that supply of new blood dwindles, the bigger that hole in the market gets.
I don't feel I'm disappointing anyone by not having a format to cover that hole. After all, it's been over a decade since the revelation that radio management and programmers haven't had a clue, either, about how to rustproof their own industry.
If they
did have an idea, well, heck -- it would be on the air already, wouldn't it ?
