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Audacy changes coming?

So do you think the EMF part is about this market and KLUV?
That’s the speculation that has been swirling for quite some time…Audacy sells the rights to the K-Love branding in DFW to EMF for a multi-million dollar payday. Audacy rebrands 98.7 but keeps essentially the same format. EMF finds another station to purchase and launches its national K-Love format on that signal.

I’ve started to wonder if EMF could pry KLTY away from Salem. Would allow the launch of K-Love in DFW with the least disruption.

There’s also the possibility of Estrella Media selling one of their DFW FMs. Estrella’s enthusiasm for the radio business has seemed to be on the wane recently while concentratIng on television.
 
i dont see Salem giving up the money KLTY makes. The attempt that moved KLTY to 100.7fm proved that it would suffer without a cedar hill stick. Its possible that 98.7 will be sold to K Love. IF EMF is will to spend millions for the right to use the name then its gonna be for a cedar hill stick
 
I don’t think Audacy sells JUST the K-Love naming rights to EMF… they’re going to sell them KLUV and the trademark.

There’s enough overlap between KLUV and Jack FM.
 
I predict KLUV rebrands as "Big 98.7."

EMF will then probably purchase one of the NW or northern rimshooters - or maybe perennial loser KLIF-FM - and launch K-Love there.

I could see the KLUV calls either stay or go. If they go, Audacy would probably require them to be used somewhere other than N. Texas.
 
That’s the speculation that has been swirling for quite some time…Audacy sells the rights to the K-Love branding in DFW to EMF for a multi-million dollar payday. Audacy rebrands 98.7 but keeps essentially the same format. EMF finds another station to purchase and launches its national K-Love format on that signal.

I think it looks like this... Audacy needs to find every hidden dollar they can and selling off a one market and dated brand for the selection of music modern KLUV plays makes a lot of sense espeically when we are likely talking about a couple of million bucks.

LUV as in the groovy kind, was a good brand name when they were playing 60s music, maybe not so much for for the 90s. The local Southwest Airlines connection notwithstanding.

As MarkW says later, a "Big 98.7" makes a lot of sense and would give them a lot of found money and actually position 98.7 better for the future.

It doesn't seem likely that Auadcy is going to unload a very profitable, full-market Class C in market five, but the KLUV IP seems like a lock eventually.

I’ve started to wonder if EMF could pry KLTY away from Salem. Would allow the launch of K-Love in DFW with the least disruption.

I don't think that is going to happen unless EMF is willing to very much overpay (although it would give them a tier 1 facility in perhaps the best and biggest Christian music market in the country) and Salem throws in the towel on music facilities.

KLTY (or "kelty" as the financial analysts who follow Salem's stock call it on the quarterly conference calls) has a big influence on Salem overall. A bad or good quarter for this one station can affect the overall balance sheet and has in recent years.

I don't see them selling off KLTY unless they unload their whole portfolio of music stations.

There’s also the possibility of Estrella Media selling one of their DFW FMs. Estrella’s enthusiasm for the radio business has seemed to be on the wane recently while concentratIng on television.

I suspect all of those stations are available right now.
 
I predict KLUV rebrands as "Big 98.7."

EMF will then probably purchase one of the NW or northern rimshooters - or maybe perennial loser KLIF-FM - and launch K-Love there.

I could see the KLUV calls either stay or go. If they go, Audacy would probably require them to be used somewhere other than N. Texas.

I think 93.3 is not likely, but a 98.3 or a 106.7 seems possible. Maybe even a 107.9 if Univision decides further divestments are in order.
 
Salem selling 94.9 is almost blasphemy. They maybe up and down ratings wise, but they still make money.
 
All his speculation is great reading. I appreciate how well thought out the scenarios are. Anything is possible.

I really don't think EMF is that interested in Dallas. Air One is their format leader. Air One is already in DFW. K-Love is only in certain markets. In other words, as far as cash cows go, Air One does lots of mooing...more than K-Love.

The Christian Radio market is about 8%. I'd say it might be a bit higher in the Bible Belt. Even so, you have the following stations doing some form on Christian programming in DFW (including full power Spanish Christian as we're talking Christian Radio as a whole): KJRN, KSQX, KAWA, KCBI, KDKR, KLTY, KWRD, KVDT, KDFT, KTNO, KAAM, KJON, KFJZ, KFCD, KHFX, KMNY, KEXB, KGGR, KATH, KTXG.

That's a bunch of stations after that 8% or let's say 10%. With your business mind working, would you pay what might by millions to get the rights to K-Luv in the market, then a few million more for a decent signal to put your secondary format on in such a crowded market where chances are you might scrape by if you're lucky. You say wait, this is a non-profit and it's not a business. I say a non-profit does well when they make wise business decisions, which EMF has made to have enough surplus cash to but stations in target markets at a low price.

I don't see K-Love coming to Dallas anytime soon because there are so many dividing the listener pie already. There are many other places they can reach more ears at less money.
 
I really don't think EMF is that interested in Dallas. Air One is their format leader. Air One is already in DFW. K-Love is only in certain markets. In other words, as far as cash cows go, Air One does lots of mooing...more than K-Love.

That's actually backwards. K-Love is EMF's marquee (or flagship) format and has more or less been Christian AC from the beginning in Santa Rosa. Air1 has gone through multiple formats, starting with Christian Rock that was pretty hard, to something that was just a little more rockish and CHR in presentation than K-Love "The Positive Alternative" and then most recently a fresh praise and worship focus "Worship Now".

K-Love is typically on the best signal they own in each market, while Air1 is relegated to secondary signals or translators. Look at NYC, LA, Chicago, Philadelphia, DC, Atlanta, etc. for examples.

The big market exceptions to this are DFW and Houston (and Los Angeles before they worked out a deal with Univision). Both of which have had historical brand and trademark related issues as well as strong, established Christian ACs (KLTY and KSBJ respectively) already in the markets.

DFW is the biggest single market for Christian Music and has a long history of supporting those stations. Without question, if the trademark situation with Audacy can be resolved and their is a suitable signal to acquire, they would absolutely want to give K-Love a presence in North Texas.

The Christian Radio market is about 8%. I'd say it might be a bit higher in the Bible Belt. Even so, you have the following stations doing some form on Christian programming in DFW (including full power Spanish Christian as we're talking Christian Radio as a whole): KJRN, KSQX, KAWA, KCBI, KDKR, KLTY, KWRD, KVDT, KDFT, KTNO, KAAM, KJON, KFJZ, KFCD, KHFX, KMNY, KEXB, KGGR, KATH, KTXG.

But.... most many of those stations' formats have very little overlap with either K-Love or Air1. Many of them don't play any music at all or even share the same language. They aren't chasing the same dollars or ears.

The only ones that really matter for this exercise are KLTY, KAWA, KCBI (which also still has block programs in several day parts), and EMF's own KYDA (Air1).

KJRN has a similar format and is well done, but is a non-factor because the signal is effectively limited to suburban Johnson County. KAWA and KYDA are both rimshots. The only full market Christian music stations are KLTY (heritage and very successful commercial station in the format) and non-com KCBI.

I don't think the market is as cloudy for a K-Love entrance as you suggest.

That's a bunch of stations after that 8% or let's say 10%. With your business mind working, would you pay what might by millions to get the rights to K-Luv in the market, then a few million more for a decent signal to put your secondary format on in such a crowded market where chances are you might scrape by if you're lucky. You say wait, this is a non-profit and it's not a business. I say a non-profit does well when they make wise business decisions, which EMF has made to have enough surplus cash to but stations in target markets at a low price.

EMF plays a long game has a capacity to subsidize money-losing markets for a long time. DFW is a huge missing piece to their national footprint and is an ideal market for their audience. The addition would be a huge win for their platform.

That said, i can't imagine them paying millions of dollars for the brand in DFW and putting it on some marginal rimshot like 92.1 or 107.1. They are likely waiting until they can get a decent rimshot or a Cedar Hill signal.

Since we are wildly speculating... what if First Dallas decides to get out of radio ownership and sells off 90.9?
 
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Why so?

Cumulus has already sold stations in NYC, Washington, Atlanta and San Jose to EMF.

Cumulus is out of NYC and is down to just an AM/FM in DC. The Atlanta deal was surprising though.

DFW is different. It is by far Cumulus' strongest and most profitable cluster. They seem to be more autonomous than the rest of the company (maybe some of that is left over from the Susquehanna days).

I don't think it is impossible that they sell off 93.3, but I do think it is unlikely. 96.7 is deficient in the areas 93.3 is good.

They also have a heritage AM newstalker that has no FM lifeboat at the moment.

If KGSR in Austin is ever downgraded as was previously planned, KLIF-FM can be upgraded further.

Finally, 93.3 doesn't cover enough of the areas well that EMF would target for K-Love. It's only a C2.

But it is possible. More likely than Audacy selling one of their five FMs.
 
Besides EMF, Hope Media could look to expand their footprint in DFW. They might pick up a station for their Vida Unida Spanish CCM format.
 
Hope Media expanding with Vida Unida makes sense. Most Spanish language Christian stations are Church stations or denominational whereas Vida Unida can pick up listeners from all including those not served.
 
Ryan Williams points out my list of stations and correctly how there would be little if no overlap on all but a couple of stations. I included all the stations because that 8% includes all Christian stations regardless of language or format. The last figures I saw, 52% chose music formats. Between you and me, I felt that was very low. One point is that stations like Way FM, Air One and K-Love actually gain listeners from outside Christian radio and tend to be families with young children.
 
EMF plays a long game has a capacity to subsidize money-losing markets for a long time. DFW is a huge missing piece to their national footprint and is an ideal market for their audience. The addition would be a huge win for their platform.
In addition, EMF wants to be in each market so it can extend its outreach program that includes things like counseling.

If any sale of a station takes place, it is most likely and even probable to be to EMF.
 
If KGSR in Austin is ever downgraded as was previously planned, KLIF-FM can be upgraded further.
I concur with most everything else you and b-turner have stated here, but KIKT in Greenville would also have to be addressed in your scenario, and with KNOR now a rimshot to the Metroplex, I'm fairly certain that it would also stand in the way of a worthwhile signal upgrade to Hot 93.3.
 
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