> Whether WBCN-104.1 and/or WAAF-107.3 remain rock stations
> will depend on the state of rock music five years hence. I
> think the next five years overall will be a tough time for
> rock, but given that Boston is one of the strongest rock
> markets around, I think that at least one of them may still
> be a rock station five years hence.
I see the potential for WBCN to crumble after Howard moves to satellite. The airstaff just doesn't seem to be what it was a few years ago, and with the entire genre where it is, it's kind of unclear what will happen in the long run.
> I think Boston will get a Spanish-language FM station
> sometime between now and 2010. It should be now, but in
> reality, it may be closer to 2010.
>
> I also think that Boston will get a big-signal "pure" urban
> contemporary FM station in the next few years.
>
> I also think there will be more consolidation (unless the
> laws are changed to reduce the number of stations a single
> owner can have; if that happens, I expect a big court
> fight). If the ownership rules stay as they are, I could see
> Greater Media selling-off their five area FM stations,
> likely to Clear Channel. If CC were to buy the Greater Media
> stations, two of those stations would have to be spun-off (I
> can't see CC spinning-off "Kiss-108" or WJMN-94.5).
>
> I could see a scenario, if CC were to buy the local Greater
> Media stations, of one of those two stations being spun-off
> to Radio One (and become the new home of WBOT, now on 97.7;
> in turn, WILD would move from 1090 to 97.7, and a new Black
> Gospel format would replace WILD at 1090), and maybe the
> other to Univision Radio (which would flip their acquisition
> to Spanish).
>
> While Greater Media is a "big deal" locally, they are a
> small fish in a big pond (the overall industry), and that's
> why I think the company could exit the radio business. I
> would be quite surprised if Greater Media still has five FM
> stations in the Boston area come August, 2010.
The problem is, were Greater Media to sell it's radio stations, what would it be left with? A few newspapers in New Jersey? To boot, the company is headquartered around here, so it just doesn't seem like it would happen.
Were Clear Channel to buy Greater Media entirely, they would have to spin off almost all of their stations in Philadelphia and Detroit. They would gain stations in New Jersey, were they interested in that market. Plus, in Detroit, they would also have competing AC stations that would need to be dealt with.
Believe me, I'd love to see "Hot 92-9", "105.7 La Kalle", "97.7 WILD" and "Praise 1090", but I just don't see it happening. You never know, though.