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Boston Radio In Five Years

C

Cabbage_Patch

Guest
Do you see any changes by then?
Who will still be here?
Who will be gone?

Thoughts...
 
> Do you see any changes by then?
> Who will still be here?
> Who will be gone?
>
> Thoughts...

I don't know about personality-wise but I would guess that format wise it may be much the same. But...

--Mike 93.7 might be a 2 year flash in the pan and become a simulcast of WEEI
(somehow they may get the WEEI-FM call letters on there and get different calls
for the Westerly station). One other possibility is they keep the variety hits format and add DJs, at least maybe in morning & evening drive

--Air America may wind up on 1510 or 1060, or even 890 if ESPN tanks. Though
it's possible 890 will get so-so ratings but would be kept because it's
cheap to run (mostly syndie hosts)

--dare we envision a Spanish/Latin station on FM? but who...

--Oldies 103.3 may move its focus to 70s and 80s and dump the oldies monikker.
Can they use Big Hits like 102.9 in Hartford?
 
Raccoon: I agree with you on everything but AirAmerica. I think ClearChannel will hold onto it until no one wants it anymore.

Otherwise, 'EEI especially, right on the money.


> > Do you see any changes by then?
> > Who will still be here?
> > Who will be gone?
> >
> > Thoughts...
>
> I don't know about personality-wise but I would guess that
> format wise it may be much the same. But...
>
> --Mike 93.7 might be a 2 year flash in the pan and become a
> simulcast of WEEI
> (somehow they may get the WEEI-FM call letters on there and
> get different calls
> for the Westerly station). One other possibility is they
> keep the variety hits format and add DJs, at least maybe in
> morning & evening drive
>
> --Air America may wind up on 1510 or 1060, or even 890 if
> ESPN tanks. Though
> it's possible 890 will get so-so ratings but would be kept
> because it's
> cheap to run (mostly syndie hosts)
>
> --dare we envision a Spanish/Latin station on FM? but who...
>
>
> --Oldies 103.3 may move its focus to 70s and 80s and dump
> the oldies monikker.
> Can they use Big Hits like 102.9 in Hartford?
>
<P ID="signature">______________
-TheGuy...InTheRadio</P>
 
> Raccoon: I agree with you on everything but AirAmerica. I
> think ClearChannel will hold onto it until no one wants it
> anymore.

yes, could be, but who knows. any idea what 1060 will do? we'll see

> Otherwise, 'EEI especially, right on the money.
 
AM1060 will flip to WAFM: Annoyed Former Millionaires.


> > Raccoon: I agree with you on everything but AirAmerica. I
> > think ClearChannel will hold onto it until no one wants it
>
> > anymore.
>
> yes, could be, but who knows. any idea what 1060 will do?
> we'll see
>
> > Otherwise, 'EEI especially, right on the money.
>
<P ID="signature">______________
-TheGuy...InTheRadio</P>
 
>
> yes, could be, but who knows. any idea what 1060 will do?
> we'll see
>

I don't know, but I'd fathom a guess that whatever it is, it will not be any more successful than anything else that's been done on that frequency.
 
Five years hence, I would think WBZ-1030 (news with some talk shows at night), WEEI-850 (sports), WRKO-680 (talk), WMJX-106.7 (soft AC), and WXKS-107.9 (top-40) will probably still have the same formats they do now, although I think WEEI and WRKO could have more syndication and WMJX and WXKS-FM may have more voicetracking and syndication.

Whether WBCN-104.1 and/or WAAF-107.3 remain rock stations will depend on the state of rock music five years hence. I think the next five years overall will be a tough time for rock, but given that Boston is one of the strongest rock markets around, I think that at least one of them may still be a rock station five years hence.

I think Boston will get a Spanish-language FM station sometime between now and 2010. It should be now, but in reality, it may be closer to 2010.

I also think that Boston will get a big-signal "pure" urban contemporary FM station in the next few years.

I also think there will be more consolidation (unless the laws are changed to reduce the number of stations a single owner can have; if that happens, I expect a big court fight). If the ownership rules stay as they are, I could see Greater Media selling-off their five area FM stations, likely to Clear Channel. If CC were to buy the Greater Media stations, two of those stations would have to be spun-off (I can't see CC spinning-off "Kiss-108" or WJMN-94.5).

I could see a scenario, if CC were to buy the local Greater Media stations, of one of those two stations being spun-off to Radio One (and become the new home of WBOT, now on 97.7; in turn, WILD would move from 1090 to 97.7, and a new Black Gospel format would replace WILD at 1090), and maybe the other to Univision Radio (which would flip their acquisition to Spanish).

While Greater Media is a "big deal" locally, they are a small fish in a big pond (the overall industry), and that's why I think the company could exit the radio business. I would be quite surprised if Greater Media still has five FM stations in the Boston area come August, 2010.

Overall, there will be a lot less local programming and a lot more syndication, automation, and voicetracking, not just here but throughout the industry. And if anything, there will be a lot less of it in a major market like Boston than there will be in many other markets. Five years hence, there may be very little locally-originated radio programming outside of the major markets.
 
What I forsee happening:

A low rated FM may take on the AirAmerica liberal talk lineup (assuming there still is an AirAmerica TO AIR).

Boston DEFINATLTY needs a contemporary FM non rap RnB station. At first in the early to mid 80s I thought KIss 108 would be it.

BCN -RIP Perhaps that could be the Jack station come Jan 2006.

Oldies 103 will expand its playlist a bit.

Mike is an idea whos time has come. We will probobly still see it around,but perhaps with announcers.

time will tell.
 
I believe that very little will happen but if the WH changes to the Democrats expect to see a change in the media ownership rules.....forcing the big conglomerates to shed some of the stations they have.....

This may open up several new opportunites for new investment in Radio outside of the current media monsters....

For the AAR bashers, if WKOX/WKXS can't resolve the weak signal issues, FM may be an option..but there will be a liberal/progressive radio station in Boston.

WBZ and WEEI will continue to battle for bragging rights in 12+, leadership in Boston

WBUR/WGBH will adjust to the current lack of support from CPB, and if the gov changes in 2008, anticipate a restoration of funds they were denied and a chance to bulk backup any lost programming from 05 to 08

WKRO will probably continue as is...just don't expect any big changes execept for John Depetro being sent to the showers and replaced with another conservative hack.

Give Mr. Nelson a chance to air his views on the 9am to 12pm block so he can tank on 680 just as well...

I anticipate 96.9 to plunge if they stay with the tired, current lineup k...and I truly hope that Severin's lies finally catch up with him just like it did as MS-NBC...I hope he will not be employed in the Boston area by the end of the period suggested.
 
> I believe that very little will happen but if the WH changes
> to the Democrats expect to see a change in the media
> ownership rules.....forcing the big conglomerates to shed
> some of the stations they have.....
>
> This may open up several new opportunites for new investment
> in Radio outside of the current media monsters....

I don't see that happening...remember it was Clinton that signed that into law. Consolidation is a fact of life...it exists everywhere, broadcasting can not and does not exist in a vacuum. How many non-media companies have the resources to buy major market radio stations, and the expertise required to operate them? A company venturing out of it's area of expertise is not usually a success story...ask Sony about CBS records, or Time-Warner about AOL.
 
> Do you see any changes by then?
> Who will still be here?
> Who will be gone?
>
> Thoughts...

A possible change could be Classical 102.5 WCRB. With the continued fall of Classical Music accross the country, could CRB fall as well? Or, given it's the only independent in the top 15 in Boston, could it be bought?
 
> --Oldies 103.3 may move its focus to 70s and 80s and dump
> the oldies monikker.
> Can they use Big Hits like 102.9 in Hartford?

Clear Channel-owned B101 in Providence dumped the word "Oldies" several months ago and adopted the moniker "Big Hits". "Big Hits" was last used in the market by Top 40 JB105 back in the mid-70s.
 
I don't know if it has any merrit or will hold up in court, but when the former owner of WCRB died it was stipulated that WCRB would remain classical for the next 100 years. That would put us somewhere around the year 2090 as I don't remember the exact year he died. Somewhere all the details are in an old edition of Northeast Radio Watch.
 
> Whether WBCN-104.1 and/or WAAF-107.3 remain rock stations
> will depend on the state of rock music five years hence. I
> think the next five years overall will be a tough time for
> rock, but given that Boston is one of the strongest rock
> markets around, I think that at least one of them may still
> be a rock station five years hence.

I see the potential for WBCN to crumble after Howard moves to satellite. The airstaff just doesn't seem to be what it was a few years ago, and with the entire genre where it is, it's kind of unclear what will happen in the long run.

> I think Boston will get a Spanish-language FM station
> sometime between now and 2010. It should be now, but in
> reality, it may be closer to 2010.
>
> I also think that Boston will get a big-signal "pure" urban
> contemporary FM station in the next few years.
>
> I also think there will be more consolidation (unless the
> laws are changed to reduce the number of stations a single
> owner can have; if that happens, I expect a big court
> fight). If the ownership rules stay as they are, I could see
> Greater Media selling-off their five area FM stations,
> likely to Clear Channel. If CC were to buy the Greater Media
> stations, two of those stations would have to be spun-off (I
> can't see CC spinning-off "Kiss-108" or WJMN-94.5).
>
> I could see a scenario, if CC were to buy the local Greater
> Media stations, of one of those two stations being spun-off
> to Radio One (and become the new home of WBOT, now on 97.7;
> in turn, WILD would move from 1090 to 97.7, and a new Black
> Gospel format would replace WILD at 1090), and maybe the
> other to Univision Radio (which would flip their acquisition
> to Spanish).
>
> While Greater Media is a "big deal" locally, they are a
> small fish in a big pond (the overall industry), and that's
> why I think the company could exit the radio business. I
> would be quite surprised if Greater Media still has five FM
> stations in the Boston area come August, 2010.

The problem is, were Greater Media to sell it's radio stations, what would it be left with? A few newspapers in New Jersey? To boot, the company is headquartered around here, so it just doesn't seem like it would happen.

Were Clear Channel to buy Greater Media entirely, they would have to spin off almost all of their stations in Philadelphia and Detroit. They would gain stations in New Jersey, were they interested in that market. Plus, in Detroit, they would also have competing AC stations that would need to be dealt with.

Believe me, I'd love to see "Hot 92-9", "105.7 La Kalle", "97.7 WILD" and "Praise 1090", but I just don't see it happening. You never know, though.
 
> I don't know if it has any merrit or will hold up in court,
> but when the former owner of WCRB died it was stipulated
> that WCRB would remain classical for the next 100 years.
> That would put us somewhere around the year 2090 as I don't
> remember the exact year he died. Somewhere all the details
> are in an old edition of Northeast Radio Watch.
>

It's funny, that station never gets talked about here on the forums. It's kind of just there, I always skip over it on a scan. Sure, it always takes a 3-share or so out of the ratings and occupies a full Class B signal on 102.5. Perhaps someday, if classical fades into the ratings dust, they can pull something like at WCLV/Cleveland. CRB could sell 102.5 to, say, Radio One, and take over the less powerful 97.7 frequency.
 
> Do you see any changes by then?
> Who will still be here?
> Who will be gone?
>
> Thoughts...
>

Oldies 103.3 will either flip or move towards 70s and 80s. The "oldies" moniker will be dropped.
 
Back in 2005 , I didnt think Boston Radio Dial can get any worse . Good Lawd ! I was WRONG !
 
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