AnimatronicAbeLincoln said:
While music is pretty much owned by FM today and I won't argue that, the fact is if you put too many news/talk stations on FM, you're only going to drive the music audiences to Sirius XM, Music Choice, wi-fi or some other provider.
I would say that in a while, a majority of music listeners will have fled to their iPods, their winamp playlists, yadda yadda.
The marketplace will continue to support the market leaders... but will there be 20 stations in any market playing music 5 years from now? I would seriously doubt it. The big music stations that have established brands now (Z-100, KOIT, KOST, yadda yadda...) will survive, but I don't think the also-rans will make it.
Thankfully, there are plenty of varieties and approaches to non-music programming and as a result, many different voices and approaches will be viable, some local, some satellite. They just have to be interesting, compelling, informative, all that stuff. Sports... right-wing... left-wing... business... all-news... room for all of those and probably then some on the FM band. Nashville already has a sports and a talk on FM.
But after which, what will be of FM?
Like I said, there are bazillions of analog FM radios out there, and when there's nothing but news/talk, you will know you have successfully killed the radio industry.
Come to think of it...it might not be so bad, I'd just hate to be a shareholder in all this if this doesn't work.
But all I ask (and this is from a former radio jock who now is pretty much disgusted with the biz) is you'd better SERIOUSLY think this over, because once the last people interested have fled to their iPods and satellite, WinAmp, wi-fi, etc., there's NO getting them back.
I've seen a lot of dumbass decisions made into rule and this one ranks as one of the all-time DUMBEST. It is, like Wall Street's worst, an idea based on pure mass speculation. Yes, other cities have news/talk and all sports FMs. A lot of them also not doing so good.....
The biz sees it as a way to grab younger, hipper listeners. But by now, younger, hipper listeners couldn't care less about radio. FM or AM, it's an "old people's" thing to them. Honestly, who of this generation needs radio if (Christ forbid) another terrorist attack should happen? They got CNN, text messaging, et al.
What I'm basically pointing out is terrestrial radio's days are numbered enough.
It does not help things from the business end of it to accelerate this any faster than it already has been. Because regardless if you want FM put on cell phones, the fact is it will be a redundant feature by the time it gets to the market en masse. There's also HD, selectivity and sensitivity issues to be worked out and mass produced small radios have never been very good at that - to say NOTHING of cell phones the size of a matchbook. It's pretty much DOA as far as I can see and even the blind can see this clearly.....