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"Bye Bye" - opinions?

With the abysmal CHR/Pop call-out numbers "Touch My Body" posted, what are the chances of Mariah's follow up, "Bye Bye" at the format?

Despite being much better lyrically, it shares the same problem as the first single of her current project - it's stuck in the same beat the ENTIRE duration - just the thing which causes heavy burn after a relatively short number of spins... Though I don't think it's going to reach 48% burn in 7 weeks like TMB did, I don't see this being a slam-dunk smash, nor do I see it having great longevity either.

Top 20, probably. Top 15? Maybe, maybe not. Top 10? Don't think so.
 
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