Some will be gone, but many will still be around - and many more will still be available.
First, you have to remember why people listen in the first place. Some will be happier with their I-Pods or satellite delivered products, but many will be as frustrated with those sources as many are with radio today.
Second, you have to remember also that the so-called experts have predicted the death of radio for years. It has been 60 years since TV was going to kill radio, and 40 or so since FM was going to kill AM. Most injuries and deaths in the business have been self inflicted.
The consolidation of radio has resulted in a homogenous and very bland product. Lots of sameness and while it may have made stations more “perfect”, it has historically been imperfection and innovation that has caused radio to thrive. There is still a strong cry for local product. Problem is Big Radio is not providing it.
Think of the future as “electronic urban renewal”. Today, many blighted areas of towns across America are coming back because people took chances at the small, local level. The same thing can happen to radio.
Listen, Big Radio will only last as long as there is a lot of profit in it. As the sets in use declines, the profits will follow.
Radio people will come back to radio. You know, few of us got into the business to get rich - and very few of us did. The same kinds of things that got us in it back us will bring some us back for the renewal!
When? Who knows? I do believe it will happen.