Here's my attempt at an analysis reflecting the Arbitron trends report the other day at http://www.radioandrecords.com/RRRatings. For low rated stations, the error may be larger than the share, but usually there's some truth to it.
I'm ignoring Dayton, rural, noncommercial, and religious stations. I will include WCIN even thought they're not in the ratings.
I'm grouping the stations by how they rated compared to how well I think they should have done given their signal, location, and competition. I'm also rating each station based on what I think of their effort to get ratings through programming, engineering, and marketing.
I'm familiar with the format and signal of all stations, but I have no significant inside knowledge and some of them I've barely listened to recently, so my analysis will surely be wrong in a number of cases.
I would define "effort" as "money well-spent". So, I might praise WLW for buying Reds rights, but condemn WRRM or WDBZ if they did the same thing, because their format or signal would not make this profitable.
OVERPERFORMING:
==============
WLW, VERY HIGH. (unbelievable signal for AM, but distant transmitter location still hurts penetration in downtown and NKY buildings.)
WRRM, HIGH
WUBE, HIGH
WOFX, AVERAGE
WIZF, HIGH (low power signal)
WKFS, AVERAGE (low power signal)
WSAI, HIGH (bad signal in terms of what people expect these days. If this station was on WLW or WKRC's signal I would rate the effort as LOW, because the potential would be so much greater.)
PERFORMING
==========
WEBN, HIGH
WGRR, HIGH (at one time I would have rated them very high. Winton at North Bend transmitter shows up in Dayton ratings.)
WVMX, AVERAGE (great demos I would bet)
WKRC, HIGH (if WLW did not exist and WKRC was exactly as it is, their share
would probably about 5.5 or 6 and I would rate their effort LOW, because I would expect them to fulfill the role of big full-service AM.)
WYGY, AVERAGE (Full power but Mason-based signal is disadvantage to WUBE in large parts of the Metro, though strong in rapid-growth northern suburbs.)
WAQZ, AVERAGE (weak signal in Kenwood, no more Stern)
WDBZ, HIGH (weak signal, but pretty good transmitter location, literally in Eden Park.)
UNDERPERFORMING
===============
WMOJ, AVERAGE
WKRQ, AVERAGE (this station should still make some money due to demos)
WPFB-FM, LOW. (High transmitter power but halfway between Cincinnati and Dayton. Mystery to me why this station is allowed to sit for years in this highly competitive format, where it has zero chance of even being a strong second in either city.) In spite of this, evidence for my effort rating may found in the share for tiny rural WSCH.
WCKY, VERY LOW. (Perhaps I should raise the ratins to "LOW" because of news and weather updates from WLW.) No local shows other than weekend infomercials.
WAOL/WOXY, VERY LOW. Maybe they have been waiting to get their signals sorted out before running these seriously.
WBOB, VERY LOW. Of course this format's gone now. I'm expecting HIGH effort from the new WDJO staff. (HIGH relative to signal potential. If they had a 50kW FM I would expect more full-time personalities and loads of promotion, and even then it would be less profitable than a more common FM format, which is why other formats are more common on FM.)
WCIN, LOW. This is a case of wasted effort, kind of a shrine to the WCIN of the 50's and 60's. Almost every kind of possible problem. Being sold after ownership transferred in receivership.
I'm ignoring Dayton, rural, noncommercial, and religious stations. I will include WCIN even thought they're not in the ratings.
I'm grouping the stations by how they rated compared to how well I think they should have done given their signal, location, and competition. I'm also rating each station based on what I think of their effort to get ratings through programming, engineering, and marketing.
I'm familiar with the format and signal of all stations, but I have no significant inside knowledge and some of them I've barely listened to recently, so my analysis will surely be wrong in a number of cases.
I would define "effort" as "money well-spent". So, I might praise WLW for buying Reds rights, but condemn WRRM or WDBZ if they did the same thing, because their format or signal would not make this profitable.
OVERPERFORMING:
==============
WLW, VERY HIGH. (unbelievable signal for AM, but distant transmitter location still hurts penetration in downtown and NKY buildings.)
WRRM, HIGH
WUBE, HIGH
WOFX, AVERAGE
WIZF, HIGH (low power signal)
WKFS, AVERAGE (low power signal)
WSAI, HIGH (bad signal in terms of what people expect these days. If this station was on WLW or WKRC's signal I would rate the effort as LOW, because the potential would be so much greater.)
PERFORMING
==========
WEBN, HIGH
WGRR, HIGH (at one time I would have rated them very high. Winton at North Bend transmitter shows up in Dayton ratings.)
WVMX, AVERAGE (great demos I would bet)
WKRC, HIGH (if WLW did not exist and WKRC was exactly as it is, their share
would probably about 5.5 or 6 and I would rate their effort LOW, because I would expect them to fulfill the role of big full-service AM.)
WYGY, AVERAGE (Full power but Mason-based signal is disadvantage to WUBE in large parts of the Metro, though strong in rapid-growth northern suburbs.)
WAQZ, AVERAGE (weak signal in Kenwood, no more Stern)
WDBZ, HIGH (weak signal, but pretty good transmitter location, literally in Eden Park.)
UNDERPERFORMING
===============
WMOJ, AVERAGE
WKRQ, AVERAGE (this station should still make some money due to demos)
WPFB-FM, LOW. (High transmitter power but halfway between Cincinnati and Dayton. Mystery to me why this station is allowed to sit for years in this highly competitive format, where it has zero chance of even being a strong second in either city.) In spite of this, evidence for my effort rating may found in the share for tiny rural WSCH.
WCKY, VERY LOW. (Perhaps I should raise the ratins to "LOW" because of news and weather updates from WLW.) No local shows other than weekend infomercials.
WAOL/WOXY, VERY LOW. Maybe they have been waiting to get their signals sorted out before running these seriously.
WBOB, VERY LOW. Of course this format's gone now. I'm expecting HIGH effort from the new WDJO staff. (HIGH relative to signal potential. If they had a 50kW FM I would expect more full-time personalities and loads of promotion, and even then it would be less profitable than a more common FM format, which is why other formats are more common on FM.)
WCIN, LOW. This is a case of wasted effort, kind of a shrine to the WCIN of the 50's and 60's. Almost every kind of possible problem. Being sold after ownership transferred in receivership.