Ray Ting brings up some interesting ideas. Let me see if I can format this in readable fashion (sorry if I screw it up):
"Redneckriviera, for the record, when I said that "a lot of us are rewriting history when we talk about the good old days of local ownership", I was referring to programming, not revenue."
Prior to "duopoly" or "superduopoly" (remember those words) each station--even in an AM/FM combo--had to be competitive. Owners didn't have the luxury of just tossing a half-assed music format on a lesser stick just to flank a big rival.
I do wonder, though. Are you arguing that if CC sold off its Burlington cluster, that a) a local mom and pop owner could afford to purchase it, and that b) they could use the same economies of scale as CC to reap $1.6 million a year in BCF?
Affording it means financing it, so--yes--they'd have to have their financial act together. Operationally, under current rules--sure, the same economies of scale apply. Or they could make a legitimate programming & promotional effort with each station and reap a million a year. Or fully staff all the stations, do it right, and reap a half-million. That's still a bunch of profit.
Back in the "7-7-7" days of local ownership, over 50% of American radio stations lost money. And that was with much less competition than would be faced today with more radio stations, more other media, and more other entertainment forms to compete for average quarter-hours and ad revenue.
That "over 50% of American radio stations lost money" stuff was complete BS. You may or may not recall that in the mid-eighties, the feds de-regulated the financial industry, and a whole slew of non-broadcasters grabbed junk-loans and paid way, way, way too much for stations--and very quickly found themselves upside-down. I sincerely belive that Mays & Hicks (who both owned stations in Texas back then) saw their opening and used the NAB to front the campaign to first allow LMAs (Hicks had the very first LMA, in Port Arthur) and then abolish the ownership caps. Remember, too, that many "moms & pops" used the normal amortization and depreciation allowances--and other, conventional accounting tactics--to show a loss each year for the IRS, no matter how much profit they were making. I did. That's where they got the "50%" nonsense. It was a ploy.
I ask this not to challenge your implied contention, but rather to elicit your thoughts... cause this is a question I think we're all wondering the answer to: Could mom and pop owners make radio ownership financially worthwhile in a post-consolidation era?
A lot depends on what "mom & pop" consider to be "financially worthwhile." Some folks are satisfied making a half million a year, letting the company foot the bill for the boat, the Mercedes, the golf membership and the marina fees, and having a beautiful home in a great neighborhood. For them? Yeah. Others feel they need to make the Forbes 400 or they're failures. For them? No.