Haven't been able to check the directional coupler monitoring port at the output of the IPA just before it goes into the PA.
The capacitors that match the IPA and the PA (tuning/loading) are in fact VERY suspect. This is the only real modification that has been done to the transmitter. The transmitter, about 6 months of operation, began showing lower output, low grid current, and high VSWR indicating on the IPA's directional coupler meter (driver stage output). There are 3 door knob caps, two in parallel to ground, one in series (RF path to PA), that were suggested to be swapped (10, 15, 25 PF, etc.) to obtain a lower VSWR (by trial and error) which would presumably be a better impedance match to the PA indicated by higher grid current, low VSWR on the driver stage, and overall higher TPO. This did in fact help, though over time, the grid current would fall, the VSWR would rise, and the TPO drop again. No amount of tuning the variable capacitor on the PA input tuning could yield a minimal VSWR. Changing the tube to a new tube, on two different times, seems to bring things to "normal" which is high TPO, low VSWR on the driver output meter, and higher grid current.
Here is one more tidbit of a clue: a low-pass harmonic filter was purchased from Microwave Filter and put on the output of the 100 watt exciter. Before the filter was inserted, the reflected power on the exciter (reflecting back from the IPA/driver) was about 4.5-5.6 watts at 100 watts output. Inserting the filter made the exciter's reflect power drop noticeably in half. I would assume since this is a harmonic filter, it was cutting out harmonic frequency signal that was coming back toward the exciter. Does this suggest bad things are happening in the driver, driver/PA stage?
This is a frustrating, complicated, and expensive situation. Thanks for your help.