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Connoisseur Media to acquire Alpha Media

If Connoisseur approaches this differently from Alpha, whose approach was about growth for the sake of growth, then I'd agree. I wouldn't underestimate broadcasters' ability to screw it up, though.

The reason why so many of these things lead to bankruptcy is the buyer gets a lot of crappy stations along a handful of good ones. That's what killed Citadel, Cumulus, and Alpha. I don't see that Alpha has really done the hard work of shutting down the dogs. That's Jeff's first job. He's got to clean house before the hole gets too deep. But I agree with the view that he needs to buy something else to make this work and hold these stations together. I don't think that thing is more radio stations.
 
The reason why so many of these things lead to bankruptcy is the buyer gets a lot of crappy stations along a handful of good ones.
The first full wave of consolidation in 1995 found lots of companies buying other groups that had accumulated mediocre AMs from "back in the day" when those AMs were very viable. But by 1995, they were the equivalents of sea anchors, slowing down whole companies.

The promise of AM stereo kept many companies from selling those stations. That never panned out, and in the meantime the publicly traded groups were finding they had to take impairment charges on the AMs that were the worst-off.
 
I don't know how many clusters that is, But if I had to manage all that somehow, I'd be in the funny farm in a week. It takes personal attention to make even ONE radio station work (ask SomeRadioGuy,)

It's the difference between Grandma's homemade cookies and Grandma's™ Home Style Cookies.

I'm lucky, im working with a good foundation but theres still alot of moving parts.....when i worked in Wester PA, it was 2 of us running 3 stations, but two of them just say there and ran themselves, WW1 Hot AC on Storq and Adult Standards on SAtellite. It was the coujntry station that required and got most of our attention

It's tough some days, but HEARING the end product of your work is nice
 
I don't think that thing is more radio stations.

What do you think it is then? A network to create & distribute their own shows & services? A podcast company? His own digital platform to rival iHeart and Audacy? Or maybe all of the above, but where do you think he starts?
 
Your guess is as good as anybody else's at this point. Alpha unloaded the Clinton, MO stations to Radford, and that was a name I had never heard before. So, if anyone does step up to buy those stations, it might well be someone we've never heard of. I can tell you, however, that Alpha's Missouri stations have been for sale since before COVID. That tells me most everyone already operating who might be interested has passed at least once.

For the right price, Connoisseur could, however, probably find a buyer. The person who told me off the record he would be interested in some of the Cumulus stations that were taken silent a couple months ago would probably be interested in at least some of the smaller Alpha markets for the right price. Denny Benne would probably be interested in Lebanon/Waynesville if, again, he could get the right price. In addition to his stations at the Lake, he's been assembling a small cluster along the I-44 corridor between Springfield and St. Louis over the last few years.



I've been wondering about that, too. That might depend on just how much backing Warshaw has from the firms covering this deal. I can't imagine Alpha will have come cheap once we see the price tag on this deal, and, despite the low stock price, Cumulus isn't likely to sell for less than $1 billion. We saw what happened to Audacy after it ended up with an additional $2 billion in debt, and it wasn't pretty. Having said that, if Connoisseur could pull off such a deal, there's less overlap than you'd expect at first glance. Some spins might be required around San Francisco, Dallas, and Chicago, but, otherwise, you're looking at Topeka and an area or two of Michigan. There might be a few more, but I don't think they'd be talking about too many. I also wonder if Cox might be a potential target for Warshaw. Apollo has been telegraphing that it would like to unload Cox Media lock, stock, and barrel. The radio and TV sides would likely have to go to separate buyers.
Both Cox/Apollo and Alpha are in Dayton, but I'm thinking Warshaw would not be able to grab Cox's 3 stations.
 
Good question. Neither company is really set up to do that kind of thing. But I'm sure they'll be looking for ways to economize.
Anna and Raven are already syndicated across the country. Their home base is Connoisseur's AC Star 99.1/Bridgeport, CT.
 
There is money to be made, but it's almost certainly going to be made by consolidating & cutting costs faster than industry revenue stagnates (flat revenue + increasing costs in many budget areas). Not a pretty picture for locally focused broadcasters (and most/all readers of this forum). This is the playbook for private equity type deals in all mature industries.
At this point, flat revenue is significantly outperforming the market. For example, Cumulus revenue was pretty sharply down in the first quarter, -6.5% YoY.
I don't think any of the other large broadcast chains have reported Q1 earnings yet. iHeart, Urban One and Saga are due in the next 7-10 days.
 
A few things to look forward to on the streaming front:

Connoisseur is a Triton Digital client. They are most certainly looking forward to the addition of many stations. However...
Amperwave (Audacy) may not be willing to lose the still current Alpha stations without a fight. They will certain try to make Connoisseur an offer that will convince them to leave Triton Digital altogether.

Will Connoisseur remain on the IHeart App with the Long Island and Connecticut stations joining in or break off with an app of their own?

Will be fun to watch and see how it all shakes out.
 
Will Connoisseur remain on the IHeart App with the Long Island and Connecticut stations joining in or break off with an app of their own?

I've wondered about that, too. Alpha has seemingly wanted to get on as many different aggregators as possible. Connoisseur does not seem to share that approach at the moment.

Not sure about Connoisseur, but Alpha has its own radio skills built into Amazon Alexa, too. If I tell Alexa to play 104.7 FM, it will play my local 104.7, which is an Alpha station. I understand Amazon was working on integrating other skills into that system, but I don't know if it's happened to date.
 
Connoisseur will grow from around 10 to nearly 300 stations, once the acquisition is completed.
Can they be expected to have difficulty running so many more than they currently have?
 
Connoisseur will grow from around 10 to nearly 300 stations, once the acquisition is completed.
Can they be expected to have difficulty running so many more than they currently have?
We assume that the current management stays in place. Only possible initial changes would be at the very top, and even then those are the people who know the stations and budgets and outstanding issues.
 
Connoisseur will grow from around 10 to nearly 300 stations, once the acquisition is completed.
Can they be expected to have difficulty running so many more than they currently have?

The hard part is that a smaller company is absorbing a much bigger company. So that means a strain on infrastructure. When Clear Channel expanded in the early 2000s, it's human resources department was greatly strained. Warshaw is going to want to consolidate, but he should be careful how he does that, because his own infrastructure won't be able to handle all of the new facilities and people.
 
The hard part is that a smaller company is absorbing a much bigger company. So that means a strain on infrastructure. When Clear Channel expanded in the early 2000s, it's human resources department was greatly strained.
That's because they made lots of purchases of small groups and even single stations. They started assembling that when the rules changed in 1995, and kept building on that every year.
Warshaw is going to want to consolidate, but he should be careful how he does that, because his own infrastructure won't be able to handle all of the new facilities and people.
He is buying a group that already has that infrastructure. One purchase, and he can fold his tiny group into theirs now.
 
We'll see what he does. When David Field bought CBS Radio, he didn't use the CBS Radio infrastructure.
He already had a large infrastructure, built over decades starting with his father's stations in North Carolina.
 
He is buying a group that already has that infrastructure. One purchase, and he can fold his tiny group into theirs now.

We'll see what he does. When David Field bought CBS Radio, he didn't use the CBS Radio infrastructure.

He already had a large infrastructure, built over decades starting with his father's stations in North Carolina.

I think the two of you are past comparing apples and oranges with Connoisseur and the then-Entercom.

It's becoming closer to comparing apples and walnuts.
 
I think the two of you are past comparing apples and oranges with Connoisseur and the then-Entercom.

It's becoming closer to comparing apples and walnuts.
In the case of Entercom, it is apples and cement blocks.
 
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