Jay F said:I was just thinking that there is anther way to look at this. What if these popular talk hosts were not attacking John McCain? My guess is that McCain would be winning in landslides, much greater than his relativeley narrow victories (and in several cases loses) and the 33% or so of the vote he has been getting.
Most voters are uninformed. They don't really think much about politics in their daily life. Because of his name recognition, I would say it's the natural order of things for McCain to do well, especially with the MSM pushing him. Many voters who consider themselves conservative probably just assumed ol' Mac was one of them, especially considering his military background (which is the one issue where he is conservative).
My guess is it will be closer than predicted on Super Tuesday. The word is getting out to the uninformed conservatives that McCain is a RINO. He might win on Tuesday, but the margin of victory would be much larger if he had the approval of the talk hosts. So I would say they DO have influence.
I think we all have heard this before, i.e if it wasn't for a newspaper endorsement, personal endorsement, et cetera the candidate would have lost by more. But there are no statistics backing this up so it is just unsubstantiated opinion. My opinion: Although McCain has been a media darling of the left, his getting the support of the right wing Union-Leader truly put him back in the mix. The Boston Herald, the newspaper of New England's working-class right wing, also threw him an endorsement. That explains his rise from the dead more than anything Rush or Howie could do.
I also hold that it is precisely because many rank and file Republicans feel that McCain can beat the eventual democratic nominee (bringing in moderates) that a win with McCain is worth the risk. In the end McCain's handlers will push him to the right and his RINO positions will be significantly diminished. It is a practical and stategic approach to voting, if not very satisfying. Romney is as slippery as a snake and is the only alternative.
What this could mean for Rush et al is that they can rail on McCain, like they couldn't on Bush, because they never endorsed him. That inoculates them from McCain's eventual agreement with democrats over a host of issues that will make republicans scream. McCain will endorse a global warming agreement, amnesty for Illegal Immigrants, Stem cell research, the list goes on and on. If Rush endorsed McCain he wouldn't be able to take him to task when he is eventually president (which I am beginning to feel will be the case). I wouldn't be suprised if some form of Health Care reform comes out of the administration as well. Bush hurt conservative talk radio because they had to cary water for the administration (until Illegal Immigration reared its ugly head). It took years before they could develop a principled opposition to the administration. They are making sure that doesn't happen again.