M
Mark_Ericson
Guest
Well, earlier this week, elections for final digital channels ended. At least, the conflict resolutions for round one did. Any stations that were shown to be conflicting with each other and were NOT on their current digital station had to file to show that they would either:
A- Pick their current digital
B- Accept any interference
C- Tell the FCC that they would go to reduced power
D- Give up both elections and go to round 2
And a good number of each happened.
These stations chose A (the first number is the analog and the second is the digital; these stations had elected the analog and reverted to the digital to resolve the conflict):
WHDF-15/14 Florence/Huntsville, AL (UPN)
WAAY-31/32 Huntsville, AL (ABC)
KBWB-20/19 San Francisco, CA (WB)
KQED-9/30 San Francisco, CA (PBS) -- NOTE: Originally arranged for KRON to move to 30. KRON will now participate in Round Two.
KTBN-40/23 Santa Ana/Los Angeles, CA (TBN)
KFCT-22/21 Fort Collins/Denver, CO (Fox // KDVR-31)
WDCA-20/35 Washington, DC (UPN)
WCLF-22/21 Clearwater/Tampa, FL (CTN Religious)
WOFL-35/22 Orlando, FL (Fox)
WCLP-18/33 Chatsworth, GA/Chattanooga, TN (PBS // WGTV-8)
WJSP-28/23 Columbus, GA (PBS // WGTV-8)
WPXA-14/51 Rome/Atlanta, GA (Pax... and I refuse to call it 'i' because that's far too confusing)
WNEG-32/24 Toccoa, GA (CBS)
WICD-15/41 Champaign, IL (NBC; flips to ABC next summer)
WICS-20/42 Springfield, IL (NBC // WICD-15 most of the time; flips to ABC next summer)
WNKY-40/16 Bowling Green, KY (NBC)
WHNO-20/21 New Orleans, LA (LeSea Religious)
WFXT-25/31 Boston, MA (Fox)
WBFF-45/46 Baltimore, MD (Fox)
WUTB-24/41 Baltimore, MD (UPN)
WPXT-51/43 Portland, ME (WB)
KETC-9/39 St. Louis, MO (PBS)
WITN-7/32 Washington/Greenville, NC (NBC)
WWOR-9/38 Secaucus, NJ/New York, NY (UPN)
KREN-27/26 Reno, NV (WB)
WUTV-29/14 Buffalo, NY (Fox)
WNYO-49/34 Buffalo, NY (WB)
WABC-7/45 New York, NY (ABC) -- NOTE: WABC has asked the FCC for a waiver of their interference rules as WNJB-DT 8 refuses to accept interference from WABC. WABC requests that the FCC not open up channel 7 in Round Two until the FCC makes a decision on the waiver. If the rule is waived, WABC instead elects channel 7.
WBNS-10/21 Columbus, OH (CBS)
WKEF-22/51 Dayton, OH (ABC)
WRGT-45/30 Dayton, OH (Fox)
WKBN-27/41 Youngstown, OH (CBS) -- NOTE: I believe this station had been hoping to flash-cut to digital on channel 27 due to financial difficulties (they are trying the same elsewhere it seems), however I believe this election now requires them to get on the air by July of next year.
KSWO-7/11 Lawton, OH (ABC)
WTAJ-10/32 Altoona, PA (CBS)
WITF-33/36 Harrisburg, PA (PBS)
WBSC-40/14 Anderson/Greenville, SC (WB)
WHTN-39/38 Murfreesboro/Nashville, TN (CTN Religious)
KPXB-49/5 Conroe/Houston, TX (PAX) -- NOTE: I think that KPXB may attempt to get a different election in Round Three, as PAX is not keeping any of its other stations on low-VHF.
KDFI-27/36 Dallas, TX (Ind.)
KERA-13/14 Dallas, TX (PBS)
KTXS-12/20 Sweetwater/Abilene, TX (ABC)
KVCT-19/11 Victoria, TX (Fox)
KXXV-25/26 Waco, TX (ABC)
WSLS-10/30 Roanoke, VA (NBC)
KVOS-12/35 Bellingham, WA/Vancouver, Canada (Ind.)
WGBA-26/41 Green Bay, WI (NBC)
WXOW-19/14 La Crosse, WI (ABC)
WMSN-47/11 Madison, WI (Fox)
WMTV-15/19 Madison, WI (NBC)
I will not list the other stations that opted to keep their current elections either by accepting interference or dropping power, as that is a much longer list. However, unless there's a mistake on the FCC site, it seems that KTRK-13/32 in Houston (an ABC O&O) did not file an interference resolution and is the only station not to do so.
However, these stations will be entering Round Two in addition to those that elected to do so and KRON as mentioned above:
KTNC-42/63 Concord/San Francisco/Sacramento, CA (Azteca America)
KESQ-42/52 Palm Springs, CA (ABC)
WWSB-40/52 Sarasota, FL (ABC)
WHAG-25/55 Hagerstown, MD (NBC)
WKAR-23/55 East Lansing, MI (PBS)
WTVA-9/57 Tupelo, MS (NBC)
WSWP-9/53 Grandview/Beckley, WV (PBS)
In addition, these two stations had their initial elections of their digitals ACCEPTED but filed to enter Round Two anyway:
WIPB-49/52 Muncie/Indianapolis, IN (PBS)
WCFN-49/53 Springfield, IL (UPN)
--
So now it's WILD PREDICTION TIME. This is the part of the post where I make predictions about the elections of stations participating in Round Two. This may not be a complete list, but it's most of them.
WLGA-66/31 Opelika, AL/Columbus, GA (UPN) -- I predict them looking at maybe channel 47 which is being abandoned by WTVM-9. Perhaps they have a deal to move to 47 now that their tower has collapsed?
WAKA-8/55 Selma, AL (CBS) -- Since they didn't go after 8, they must not be looking at VHF frequencies. I wonder if they might try for channel 14, however, as it was used by WSFA, the NBC station in the area...
WLDM-23/0 Tuscaloosa/Birmingham, AL (Ind.) -- I'm not predicting this one. They could go after channel 5, which is being abandoned by ABC WCFT. That would be a bad move, but I'm not prepared to make a prediction here.
KETS-2/5 Little Rock, AR (PBS) -- Channel 7 or 11, whichever gives them more coverage. I know it. They objected to the arrangement that KATV had with KVTN that said KATV would stay on 22 and KVTN would get to move to their abandoned 7 and therefore had it thrown out. No one else in Arkansas is in Round Two.
KFTU-3/0 Douglas/Tucson, AZ (TeleFutura) -- No prediction, since I honestly have no idea what stations are available on the Mexican border.
KAJB-50/54 Calipatria/El Centro, CA (TeleFutura) -- Channel 7. Univision KVYE elected 22 instead of their channel 7, so I expect this station to jump on it.
KTNC-42/63 Concord, CA (Azteca America) and KTFK-64/62 Stockton, CA (TeleFutura) -- These two are together because I think they will wind up side-by-side on the band. They are on the same mountain targetting the same two areas (San Francisco and Sacramento). It's possible that they could wind up on 14 and 15.
KTVU-2/56 Oakland, CA (Fox) and KRON-4/57 San Francisco, CA (Ind.) -- These two are together because they are from the same place and are therefore interchangable. KGO-DT is releasing 24 in favor of 7, and since it's already there, it'll more than likely be open. KBHK is surrendering their analog on 44 in favor of 45, and there's KCSM-DT on 43, so channel 44 is practically wide open also.
KESQ-42/52 Palm Springs, CA (ABC) -- I think they might wind up on channel 25, which was released by KGTV in San Diego, assuming it's far enough from KGET-DT 25 in Bakersfield.
KRCA-62/68 Riverside/Los Angeles, CA (Spanish) -- My guess is 22, but it could be anywhere really.
KVIE-6/53 Sacramento, CA (PBS) -- Channels 26 and 42 both look open to me, but I'm leaning more toward 42, simply because it's being surrendered by KTNC. I imagine KTNC gave it up because they'd have to protect KCSM-DT and KKPX-DT in San Francisco, thus killing their coverage there. That means that 42 is likely wide open east of the mountains.
KFTY-50/54 Santa Rosa, CA (Ind.) -- Watch for them to go for channel 13 if it's available. KOVR in Sacramento surrendered it and Santa Rosa appears to be far enough away from KCBA-DT in Monterey/Salinas for it to work. If channel 13 is not available, then I don't know.
WEDY-65/6 New Haven, CT (PBS // WEDH) -- They've got less than a 10-mile coverage radius, so it's difficult to judge, but my guess would be channels 7 (if WABC loses their waiver request) or 8 (if WABC winds up on 7).
WKMG-6/58 Orlando, FL (CBS) -- They tried to do an arrangement with WCEU to move to channel 15 but it was rejected due to interference with WBBH in Fort Myers. I really don't know, since I don't think channel 9 (abandoned by WFTV) will be available due to channel 9 (WINK-DT) in Fort Myers.
WWSB-40/52 Sarasota, FL (ABC) -- My guess is channel 24, since WTSP-DT is moving back to 10, but they could really wind up with any open frequency in the area.
WEDU-3/54 Tampa, FL (PBS) -- If they don't jump on channel 8 if available, I will eat my shoe. Channel 8 is a wide-open VHF--the only other channel 8 in all of Florida is WGEM-DT in Key West, and they've got almost no power anyway. I doubt WWSB-DT will be able to go for it due to spacing issues with WINK-DT 9 in Fort Myers and WFLA-DT 7 in Tampa.
WPTV-5/55 West Palm Beach, FL -- I really can't say, but I don't think there are any VHFs open for them, so it's quite possible that they could wind up on channel 51, which is wide open.
WXFT-60/59 Aurora, IL (TeleFutura) and WGBO-66/53 Joliet, IL (Univision) -- I expect one of them to try and grab channel 9, abandoned by WGN, if the protection of WWTO isn't too severe. I also think channel 24's open, but this is a very congested area so anything's possible.
WCFN-49/53 Springfield, IL (UPN) -- I'm guessing they didn't want to risk self-interference (co-owned WCIA will be on digital 48 and has already been built out) so they chose to go elsewhere. Where that elsewhere is is anyone's guess at this point.
WIPB-49/52 Muncie, IN (PBS) -- I'm not sure why they opted to move at the last minute, so I don't know where they're going, unless they were concerned about issues with WTTV-DT on 48.
WWDP-46/52 Norwell, MA (ShopNBC) -- I imagine they couldn't go on 46 due to protection of WYDN-DT 47 in Worcester. My guess is that they'll look at channel 42 (along with a move-in to Boston) or maybe channel 23.
WNYA-51/0 Pittsfield, MA (UPN) -- Channel 4. They've already applied for it.
WMAR-2/52 Baltimore, MD (ABC) -- Expect some money to change hands and WMAR to wind up on WJZ's abandoned 38. Unless WMAR wants to re-build out a channel 38 that's already there, or can find a better channel (39?).
WHAG-25/55 Hagerstown, MD (NBC) -- Unless interference with WFDC-DT on 15 is an issue (which I don't think it will be) look for WHAG to end up on channel 16. It'll be open and low on the band.
WJAL-68/16 Silver Spring [Hagerstown for the moment], MD (Ind. - probably becoming Univision eventually) -- At first I thought we could expect to see them on channel 39 or 34, but perhaps they want channel 14, which is being abandoned by WFDC. I feel pretty confident about channel 14.
WCML-6/58 Alpena, MI (PBS // WCMU) -- Channel 13. WBKB is opening it up and I don't see why they wouldn't go for it, unless they decide against high-VHF.
WJBK-2/58 Detroit, MI (Fox) -- Don't know. At first I thought about channel 7, which WXYZ is leaving open, and it's a possibility if they're willing to do something to deal with WOOD-DT. But they might go for something more open. What that is... no idea.
WKAR-23/55 East Lansing, MI (PBS) -- I'm fairly confident that channel 26 is going to be open after this (unless there's a Canadian station I forgot to take into account) and I think WKAR could wind up there.
WCMU-14/56 Mount Pleasant, MI (PBS) -- WJRT in Flint is leaving 36 open, and I don't see anything that could interfere with it there.
KQTV-2/53 St. Joseph, MO (ABC) -- With KETV in Omaha dropping channel 7, expect to see KQTV go the VHF route on this one if they want to save some money (which isn't a bad idea in such a small market). Channel 7 will likely be available for them.
KMOV-4/56 St. Louis, MO (CBS) -- I don't see anything wrong with channel 11, and Belo isn't afraid to accept interference to keep its VHFs from what I've seen. Channel 9 won't work though.
WKDH-45 Houston, MS (ABC) and WTVA-9/57 Tupelo, MS (NBC) -- Even though channel 9 is troublesome, it looks like both 7 and 8 will be open in this area. Look for these two to nab one each.
WEPX-38 Greenville, NC (PAX) -- They had their NCA to move to channel 51 rejected due to failing to make the proper agreements. If channel 51 shows up, expect them to take it.
KCPM-27 (UPN) and KGFE-2/56 Grand Forks, ND (PBS) -- Look for KGFE to try to get channel 23, as they already own a channel 23 transmitter down in Fargo (it would make good $en$e). KCPM could show up on any number of channels.
KTUW-16 Scottsbluff, NE (CP--not yet built) -- If channel 10 shows up, expect KTUW to grab it. I just don't know if KHSD in Lead, SD is too close or not.
KTFQ-14 Albuquerque, NM (TeleFutura) -- If they like VHFs, we'll see KTFQ on channel 11. If not, could be any number of channels.
KOBG-6 Silver City, NM (NBC // KOB) -- I'd guess 12, as it's already allocated there.
KBNY-6 Ely, NV (???) -- Why bother? There's a whole band open, VHF and UHF.
KTVY-7 Goldfield, NV (Imagin-Asia, according to Equity's site) -- They tried to get assigned digital 31 a few years back, so they could go for that, or go for a VHF they could move closer to Vegas.
WPXJ-51 Batavia, NY (Pax) -- Despite electing to go to Round Two, I think a recent letter granting them permission to flash-cut on channel 51 trumps the election. Not sure though.
WCBS-2/56 New York, NY (CBS) -- Channel 30. Pax is abandoning it and it's open for miles in all directions. I don't know WHY Pax gave it up, unless CBS paid them off.
WKYC-3/2 Cleveland, OH (NBC) -- I don't think any VHFs are open, so look for them to look at open UHFs, like channel 31 (currently Fox WJW, which is returning to 8).
KOTV-2/56 (NBC), KJRH-6/55 Tulsa, OK (CBS), and KWBT-19 Muskogee, OK (WB) -- I don't know how the elections will be decided, but channel 10 is going to be open and I'm expecting a fight over it, unless Scripps doesn't want a VHF (and being that all of their stations have elected UHFs I think, and WXYZ probably faced issues) in which case I'm guessing that KJRH will wind up on 10. The others could appear on any number of others, especially 38. Look for one to go for 38, since KOED will be moving off of 38 in favor of 11. The other... dunno.
KPOU-16 LaGrande, OR (Univision) -- They're in the middle of nowhere 200+ miles from Portland, but are must-carry on Portland's systems I think. I'm almost expecting them to go VHF just to save money, but they could try to find a channel that's open in Portland also so as to move in at a later time.
WPVI-6/64 (ABC) and WCAU-10/67 Philadelphia, PA (NBC) -- WCAU did have an arrangement to move to channel 34 with WYBE moving back to 35, but WPVI objected and the FCC threw it out, putting both in election area and WYBE back on 34. Channel 35 still looks workable, and I think 33 will also be open. If WCAU winds up on 35 again, I wonder if we'll see them try to deal with WYBE again to get 34 instead.
WYFF-4/59 Greenville, SC (NBC) -- Channel 35 will be open in multiple directions and may be the best available frequency. I expect someone in this region to wind up here, as it's open across Virginia and the Carolinas.
KNBN-21 Rapid City, SD (NBC) -- The two upper-VHF stations opted to stay, so I imagine KNBN will elect channel 7, as channel 9 may have problems with KHSD in Lead.
WOAI-4/58 (NBC) and KENS-5 San Antonio, TX (CBS) -- KWEX is abandoning 38 for their analog 41 and KSAT is abandoning 48 for 12. I think we'll see at least one these stations on at least one of those frequencies.
KUPT-22 Wolfforth, TX (UPN) -- They might go for channel 13, which KLBK is abandoning. Otherwise, the band is very open.
KCBU-3 Price, UT (TeleFutura) and KBCJ-6 Vernal, UT (???) -- No clue. Both bands are relatively open, so I don't really know, but I'd look for KCBU in particular to look very hard at an upper VHF to try and get some kind of signal into Salt Lake City.
WNVC-56/57 Fairfax, VA (Ethnic) and WPXW-66/43 Manassas, VA (PAX) -- At first I'd thought that 34 and 39 would fit, but I'm starting to lean toward the idea that WPXW might end up on channel 31, making a chain of PAX stations on 31 from New York to Philly to DC. WNVC in that case would most likely show up on channel 34, as channel 39 might not be available to due trouble with channel 38 in Baltimore.
WCAX-3/53 Burlington, VT (CBS) -- I'm not familiar with Canadian stations, so I'm not sure about what's open, but they might look at channel 16, which was WVNY's original election before they changed it to 13.
WSWP-9/53 Grandview, WV (PBS // WPBY) -- I think they want to keep a VHF if possible, but may be having trouble not only with WSLS (which I think was the reason for their interference notice) but also with WVNS on 8. If WVNS is not as big of an issue as I think it is, then expect WSWP to either reapply for 9 or to try and see if they can grab 7.
KCWY-13 Casper, WY (NBC) -- Based on their other stations, it looks like they want to keep VHFs where possible, so look for KCWY to investigate channel 12 or any others that are open.
DISCLAIMER: These are just my guesses based on what I've seen so far. None of the information in my predictions is guaranteed fact, simply predictions.
Thoughts?
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A- Pick their current digital
B- Accept any interference
C- Tell the FCC that they would go to reduced power
D- Give up both elections and go to round 2
And a good number of each happened.
These stations chose A (the first number is the analog and the second is the digital; these stations had elected the analog and reverted to the digital to resolve the conflict):
WHDF-15/14 Florence/Huntsville, AL (UPN)
WAAY-31/32 Huntsville, AL (ABC)
KBWB-20/19 San Francisco, CA (WB)
KQED-9/30 San Francisco, CA (PBS) -- NOTE: Originally arranged for KRON to move to 30. KRON will now participate in Round Two.
KTBN-40/23 Santa Ana/Los Angeles, CA (TBN)
KFCT-22/21 Fort Collins/Denver, CO (Fox // KDVR-31)
WDCA-20/35 Washington, DC (UPN)
WCLF-22/21 Clearwater/Tampa, FL (CTN Religious)
WOFL-35/22 Orlando, FL (Fox)
WCLP-18/33 Chatsworth, GA/Chattanooga, TN (PBS // WGTV-8)
WJSP-28/23 Columbus, GA (PBS // WGTV-8)
WPXA-14/51 Rome/Atlanta, GA (Pax... and I refuse to call it 'i' because that's far too confusing)
WNEG-32/24 Toccoa, GA (CBS)
WICD-15/41 Champaign, IL (NBC; flips to ABC next summer)
WICS-20/42 Springfield, IL (NBC // WICD-15 most of the time; flips to ABC next summer)
WNKY-40/16 Bowling Green, KY (NBC)
WHNO-20/21 New Orleans, LA (LeSea Religious)
WFXT-25/31 Boston, MA (Fox)
WBFF-45/46 Baltimore, MD (Fox)
WUTB-24/41 Baltimore, MD (UPN)
WPXT-51/43 Portland, ME (WB)
KETC-9/39 St. Louis, MO (PBS)
WITN-7/32 Washington/Greenville, NC (NBC)
WWOR-9/38 Secaucus, NJ/New York, NY (UPN)
KREN-27/26 Reno, NV (WB)
WUTV-29/14 Buffalo, NY (Fox)
WNYO-49/34 Buffalo, NY (WB)
WABC-7/45 New York, NY (ABC) -- NOTE: WABC has asked the FCC for a waiver of their interference rules as WNJB-DT 8 refuses to accept interference from WABC. WABC requests that the FCC not open up channel 7 in Round Two until the FCC makes a decision on the waiver. If the rule is waived, WABC instead elects channel 7.
WBNS-10/21 Columbus, OH (CBS)
WKEF-22/51 Dayton, OH (ABC)
WRGT-45/30 Dayton, OH (Fox)
WKBN-27/41 Youngstown, OH (CBS) -- NOTE: I believe this station had been hoping to flash-cut to digital on channel 27 due to financial difficulties (they are trying the same elsewhere it seems), however I believe this election now requires them to get on the air by July of next year.
KSWO-7/11 Lawton, OH (ABC)
WTAJ-10/32 Altoona, PA (CBS)
WITF-33/36 Harrisburg, PA (PBS)
WBSC-40/14 Anderson/Greenville, SC (WB)
WHTN-39/38 Murfreesboro/Nashville, TN (CTN Religious)
KPXB-49/5 Conroe/Houston, TX (PAX) -- NOTE: I think that KPXB may attempt to get a different election in Round Three, as PAX is not keeping any of its other stations on low-VHF.
KDFI-27/36 Dallas, TX (Ind.)
KERA-13/14 Dallas, TX (PBS)
KTXS-12/20 Sweetwater/Abilene, TX (ABC)
KVCT-19/11 Victoria, TX (Fox)
KXXV-25/26 Waco, TX (ABC)
WSLS-10/30 Roanoke, VA (NBC)
KVOS-12/35 Bellingham, WA/Vancouver, Canada (Ind.)
WGBA-26/41 Green Bay, WI (NBC)
WXOW-19/14 La Crosse, WI (ABC)
WMSN-47/11 Madison, WI (Fox)
WMTV-15/19 Madison, WI (NBC)
I will not list the other stations that opted to keep their current elections either by accepting interference or dropping power, as that is a much longer list. However, unless there's a mistake on the FCC site, it seems that KTRK-13/32 in Houston (an ABC O&O) did not file an interference resolution and is the only station not to do so.
However, these stations will be entering Round Two in addition to those that elected to do so and KRON as mentioned above:
KTNC-42/63 Concord/San Francisco/Sacramento, CA (Azteca America)
KESQ-42/52 Palm Springs, CA (ABC)
WWSB-40/52 Sarasota, FL (ABC)
WHAG-25/55 Hagerstown, MD (NBC)
WKAR-23/55 East Lansing, MI (PBS)
WTVA-9/57 Tupelo, MS (NBC)
WSWP-9/53 Grandview/Beckley, WV (PBS)
In addition, these two stations had their initial elections of their digitals ACCEPTED but filed to enter Round Two anyway:
WIPB-49/52 Muncie/Indianapolis, IN (PBS)
WCFN-49/53 Springfield, IL (UPN)
--
So now it's WILD PREDICTION TIME. This is the part of the post where I make predictions about the elections of stations participating in Round Two. This may not be a complete list, but it's most of them.
WLGA-66/31 Opelika, AL/Columbus, GA (UPN) -- I predict them looking at maybe channel 47 which is being abandoned by WTVM-9. Perhaps they have a deal to move to 47 now that their tower has collapsed?
WAKA-8/55 Selma, AL (CBS) -- Since they didn't go after 8, they must not be looking at VHF frequencies. I wonder if they might try for channel 14, however, as it was used by WSFA, the NBC station in the area...
WLDM-23/0 Tuscaloosa/Birmingham, AL (Ind.) -- I'm not predicting this one. They could go after channel 5, which is being abandoned by ABC WCFT. That would be a bad move, but I'm not prepared to make a prediction here.
KETS-2/5 Little Rock, AR (PBS) -- Channel 7 or 11, whichever gives them more coverage. I know it. They objected to the arrangement that KATV had with KVTN that said KATV would stay on 22 and KVTN would get to move to their abandoned 7 and therefore had it thrown out. No one else in Arkansas is in Round Two.
KFTU-3/0 Douglas/Tucson, AZ (TeleFutura) -- No prediction, since I honestly have no idea what stations are available on the Mexican border.
KAJB-50/54 Calipatria/El Centro, CA (TeleFutura) -- Channel 7. Univision KVYE elected 22 instead of their channel 7, so I expect this station to jump on it.
KTNC-42/63 Concord, CA (Azteca America) and KTFK-64/62 Stockton, CA (TeleFutura) -- These two are together because I think they will wind up side-by-side on the band. They are on the same mountain targetting the same two areas (San Francisco and Sacramento). It's possible that they could wind up on 14 and 15.
KTVU-2/56 Oakland, CA (Fox) and KRON-4/57 San Francisco, CA (Ind.) -- These two are together because they are from the same place and are therefore interchangable. KGO-DT is releasing 24 in favor of 7, and since it's already there, it'll more than likely be open. KBHK is surrendering their analog on 44 in favor of 45, and there's KCSM-DT on 43, so channel 44 is practically wide open also.
KESQ-42/52 Palm Springs, CA (ABC) -- I think they might wind up on channel 25, which was released by KGTV in San Diego, assuming it's far enough from KGET-DT 25 in Bakersfield.
KRCA-62/68 Riverside/Los Angeles, CA (Spanish) -- My guess is 22, but it could be anywhere really.
KVIE-6/53 Sacramento, CA (PBS) -- Channels 26 and 42 both look open to me, but I'm leaning more toward 42, simply because it's being surrendered by KTNC. I imagine KTNC gave it up because they'd have to protect KCSM-DT and KKPX-DT in San Francisco, thus killing their coverage there. That means that 42 is likely wide open east of the mountains.
KFTY-50/54 Santa Rosa, CA (Ind.) -- Watch for them to go for channel 13 if it's available. KOVR in Sacramento surrendered it and Santa Rosa appears to be far enough away from KCBA-DT in Monterey/Salinas for it to work. If channel 13 is not available, then I don't know.
WEDY-65/6 New Haven, CT (PBS // WEDH) -- They've got less than a 10-mile coverage radius, so it's difficult to judge, but my guess would be channels 7 (if WABC loses their waiver request) or 8 (if WABC winds up on 7).
WKMG-6/58 Orlando, FL (CBS) -- They tried to do an arrangement with WCEU to move to channel 15 but it was rejected due to interference with WBBH in Fort Myers. I really don't know, since I don't think channel 9 (abandoned by WFTV) will be available due to channel 9 (WINK-DT) in Fort Myers.
WWSB-40/52 Sarasota, FL (ABC) -- My guess is channel 24, since WTSP-DT is moving back to 10, but they could really wind up with any open frequency in the area.
WEDU-3/54 Tampa, FL (PBS) -- If they don't jump on channel 8 if available, I will eat my shoe. Channel 8 is a wide-open VHF--the only other channel 8 in all of Florida is WGEM-DT in Key West, and they've got almost no power anyway. I doubt WWSB-DT will be able to go for it due to spacing issues with WINK-DT 9 in Fort Myers and WFLA-DT 7 in Tampa.
WPTV-5/55 West Palm Beach, FL -- I really can't say, but I don't think there are any VHFs open for them, so it's quite possible that they could wind up on channel 51, which is wide open.
WXFT-60/59 Aurora, IL (TeleFutura) and WGBO-66/53 Joliet, IL (Univision) -- I expect one of them to try and grab channel 9, abandoned by WGN, if the protection of WWTO isn't too severe. I also think channel 24's open, but this is a very congested area so anything's possible.
WCFN-49/53 Springfield, IL (UPN) -- I'm guessing they didn't want to risk self-interference (co-owned WCIA will be on digital 48 and has already been built out) so they chose to go elsewhere. Where that elsewhere is is anyone's guess at this point.
WIPB-49/52 Muncie, IN (PBS) -- I'm not sure why they opted to move at the last minute, so I don't know where they're going, unless they were concerned about issues with WTTV-DT on 48.
WWDP-46/52 Norwell, MA (ShopNBC) -- I imagine they couldn't go on 46 due to protection of WYDN-DT 47 in Worcester. My guess is that they'll look at channel 42 (along with a move-in to Boston) or maybe channel 23.
WNYA-51/0 Pittsfield, MA (UPN) -- Channel 4. They've already applied for it.
WMAR-2/52 Baltimore, MD (ABC) -- Expect some money to change hands and WMAR to wind up on WJZ's abandoned 38. Unless WMAR wants to re-build out a channel 38 that's already there, or can find a better channel (39?).
WHAG-25/55 Hagerstown, MD (NBC) -- Unless interference with WFDC-DT on 15 is an issue (which I don't think it will be) look for WHAG to end up on channel 16. It'll be open and low on the band.
WJAL-68/16 Silver Spring [Hagerstown for the moment], MD (Ind. - probably becoming Univision eventually) -- At first I thought we could expect to see them on channel 39 or 34, but perhaps they want channel 14, which is being abandoned by WFDC. I feel pretty confident about channel 14.
WCML-6/58 Alpena, MI (PBS // WCMU) -- Channel 13. WBKB is opening it up and I don't see why they wouldn't go for it, unless they decide against high-VHF.
WJBK-2/58 Detroit, MI (Fox) -- Don't know. At first I thought about channel 7, which WXYZ is leaving open, and it's a possibility if they're willing to do something to deal with WOOD-DT. But they might go for something more open. What that is... no idea.
WKAR-23/55 East Lansing, MI (PBS) -- I'm fairly confident that channel 26 is going to be open after this (unless there's a Canadian station I forgot to take into account) and I think WKAR could wind up there.
WCMU-14/56 Mount Pleasant, MI (PBS) -- WJRT in Flint is leaving 36 open, and I don't see anything that could interfere with it there.
KQTV-2/53 St. Joseph, MO (ABC) -- With KETV in Omaha dropping channel 7, expect to see KQTV go the VHF route on this one if they want to save some money (which isn't a bad idea in such a small market). Channel 7 will likely be available for them.
KMOV-4/56 St. Louis, MO (CBS) -- I don't see anything wrong with channel 11, and Belo isn't afraid to accept interference to keep its VHFs from what I've seen. Channel 9 won't work though.
WKDH-45 Houston, MS (ABC) and WTVA-9/57 Tupelo, MS (NBC) -- Even though channel 9 is troublesome, it looks like both 7 and 8 will be open in this area. Look for these two to nab one each.
WEPX-38 Greenville, NC (PAX) -- They had their NCA to move to channel 51 rejected due to failing to make the proper agreements. If channel 51 shows up, expect them to take it.
KCPM-27 (UPN) and KGFE-2/56 Grand Forks, ND (PBS) -- Look for KGFE to try to get channel 23, as they already own a channel 23 transmitter down in Fargo (it would make good $en$e). KCPM could show up on any number of channels.
KTUW-16 Scottsbluff, NE (CP--not yet built) -- If channel 10 shows up, expect KTUW to grab it. I just don't know if KHSD in Lead, SD is too close or not.
KTFQ-14 Albuquerque, NM (TeleFutura) -- If they like VHFs, we'll see KTFQ on channel 11. If not, could be any number of channels.
KOBG-6 Silver City, NM (NBC // KOB) -- I'd guess 12, as it's already allocated there.
KBNY-6 Ely, NV (???) -- Why bother? There's a whole band open, VHF and UHF.
KTVY-7 Goldfield, NV (Imagin-Asia, according to Equity's site) -- They tried to get assigned digital 31 a few years back, so they could go for that, or go for a VHF they could move closer to Vegas.
WPXJ-51 Batavia, NY (Pax) -- Despite electing to go to Round Two, I think a recent letter granting them permission to flash-cut on channel 51 trumps the election. Not sure though.
WCBS-2/56 New York, NY (CBS) -- Channel 30. Pax is abandoning it and it's open for miles in all directions. I don't know WHY Pax gave it up, unless CBS paid them off.
WKYC-3/2 Cleveland, OH (NBC) -- I don't think any VHFs are open, so look for them to look at open UHFs, like channel 31 (currently Fox WJW, which is returning to 8).
KOTV-2/56 (NBC), KJRH-6/55 Tulsa, OK (CBS), and KWBT-19 Muskogee, OK (WB) -- I don't know how the elections will be decided, but channel 10 is going to be open and I'm expecting a fight over it, unless Scripps doesn't want a VHF (and being that all of their stations have elected UHFs I think, and WXYZ probably faced issues) in which case I'm guessing that KJRH will wind up on 10. The others could appear on any number of others, especially 38. Look for one to go for 38, since KOED will be moving off of 38 in favor of 11. The other... dunno.
KPOU-16 LaGrande, OR (Univision) -- They're in the middle of nowhere 200+ miles from Portland, but are must-carry on Portland's systems I think. I'm almost expecting them to go VHF just to save money, but they could try to find a channel that's open in Portland also so as to move in at a later time.
WPVI-6/64 (ABC) and WCAU-10/67 Philadelphia, PA (NBC) -- WCAU did have an arrangement to move to channel 34 with WYBE moving back to 35, but WPVI objected and the FCC threw it out, putting both in election area and WYBE back on 34. Channel 35 still looks workable, and I think 33 will also be open. If WCAU winds up on 35 again, I wonder if we'll see them try to deal with WYBE again to get 34 instead.
WYFF-4/59 Greenville, SC (NBC) -- Channel 35 will be open in multiple directions and may be the best available frequency. I expect someone in this region to wind up here, as it's open across Virginia and the Carolinas.
KNBN-21 Rapid City, SD (NBC) -- The two upper-VHF stations opted to stay, so I imagine KNBN will elect channel 7, as channel 9 may have problems with KHSD in Lead.
WOAI-4/58 (NBC) and KENS-5 San Antonio, TX (CBS) -- KWEX is abandoning 38 for their analog 41 and KSAT is abandoning 48 for 12. I think we'll see at least one these stations on at least one of those frequencies.
KUPT-22 Wolfforth, TX (UPN) -- They might go for channel 13, which KLBK is abandoning. Otherwise, the band is very open.
KCBU-3 Price, UT (TeleFutura) and KBCJ-6 Vernal, UT (???) -- No clue. Both bands are relatively open, so I don't really know, but I'd look for KCBU in particular to look very hard at an upper VHF to try and get some kind of signal into Salt Lake City.
WNVC-56/57 Fairfax, VA (Ethnic) and WPXW-66/43 Manassas, VA (PAX) -- At first I'd thought that 34 and 39 would fit, but I'm starting to lean toward the idea that WPXW might end up on channel 31, making a chain of PAX stations on 31 from New York to Philly to DC. WNVC in that case would most likely show up on channel 34, as channel 39 might not be available to due trouble with channel 38 in Baltimore.
WCAX-3/53 Burlington, VT (CBS) -- I'm not familiar with Canadian stations, so I'm not sure about what's open, but they might look at channel 16, which was WVNY's original election before they changed it to 13.
WSWP-9/53 Grandview, WV (PBS // WPBY) -- I think they want to keep a VHF if possible, but may be having trouble not only with WSLS (which I think was the reason for their interference notice) but also with WVNS on 8. If WVNS is not as big of an issue as I think it is, then expect WSWP to either reapply for 9 or to try and see if they can grab 7.
KCWY-13 Casper, WY (NBC) -- Based on their other stations, it looks like they want to keep VHFs where possible, so look for KCWY to investigate channel 12 or any others that are open.
DISCLAIMER: These are just my guesses based on what I've seen so far. None of the information in my predictions is guaranteed fact, simply predictions.
Thoughts?
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