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Do we really need to change? No...

adma said:
So maybe commercial radio always had an "underclass" element; but today, it's perceived as exclusively underclass.

Who perceives that?

I hear a lot of commercials on radio that indicate that some people with authority to purchase time seem to think the audience is a bit more diverse than that.

May I, with a certain amount of apology, suggest that we all decide whether we want to have an intelligent discussion or do we want to have a verbal food fight. RNR and I have several times participated in the same thread, and when he talks, I LISTEN! I learn.

Adma: maybe you and I can learn from each other... but we are both going to have to work at it.

I believe the question on the table is: "Does Radio Need to Change?" Tell us how you would change it.... or would you?
 
Goat Rodeo Cowboy said:
adma said:
So maybe commercial radio always had an "underclass" element; but today, it's perceived as exclusively underclass.

Who perceives that?

Er...implicitly, the university students RNR was quizzing? Or at least, as a culture totally, irrevocably apart from them, in a way it might not have been a generation or two ago. Underclass in spirit, if not in fact, i.e. Cletus + Brandine or some fat mass of heart-attack dittohead blubber hit the jackpot, now they can afford to buy one of them new model cars they heard advertised on the radio, etc.

And what do you mean about "more diverse"? I'd almost suspect a perverse yet lucrative reverse logic in whatever "quality" commercial buys remain; that is, there's nothing lost by bottom-feeding.

Why are you so testy? Look, we're not talking about "elites of society", we're talking about what I'd consider to be today's real version of yesterday's mainstream--maybe the "enlightened" end thereof, but, still. Maybe if radio needs (or needed) to change, it should have heeded their cues a little more--but it seems to me in retrospect that too much of radio's internal culture was practically oblivious if not utterly hostile to what, in midwifing so much of what rock culture and youth culture came to be in the 50s, 60s, and 70s, it had really spawned...
 
I don't honestly know how someone who has never even spent one day in the research business can tell people that how research companies operate is "all wrong",the samples are wrong, the results are wrong, etc. I haven't heard anyone, such as Rox, tell me what is the right methodology. Or is it to do no research, don't ask anyone but maybe request line callers and people that hang out at remotes for free hot dogs about the music you are playing. Maybe the PDis supposed to "just know" and no research is neccesary?

I'm just thinking that if Rox was put in charge and given carte blanche to put together his personality station with DJs who talk a lot, if research came back saying that listeners thought his DJs talked to much he wouldloudly proclaim "The research is wrong! They all love my DJs!" Which is what he accuses everyone else of.
 
Definition of Insanity?

gr8oldies said:
I don't honestly know how someone who has never even spent one day in the research business can tell people that how research companies operate is "all wrong",the samples are wrong, the results are wrong, etc. I haven't heard anyone, such as Rox, tell me what is the right methodology. Or is it to do no research, don't ask anyone but maybe request line callers and people that hang out at remotes for free hot dogs about the music you are playing. Maybe the PDis supposed to "just know" and no research is neccesary?

I'm just thinking that if Rox was put in charge and given carte blanche to put together his personality station with DJs who talk a lot, if research came back saying that listeners thought his DJs talked to much he wouldloudly proclaim "The research is wrong! They all love my DJs!" Which is what he accuses everyone else of.

Please point out a single post where I advocated that DJs should "talk a lot". What I am advocating is that they should be allowed to do more than read liner cards four times an hour. Good jocks can transition between songs better than a pre-produced promo, and deliver the same content in a more personal and entertaining manner. The over-reliance on pre-produced elements is less relatable, less timely, and less listener-friendly than a decent jock.

As far as research is concerned, anybody who's taken elementary statistics on a college level, especially as part of a Psychology major, can see flaws in music testing. "Hook" testing tells you how an audience responds to hooks - but now how they respond to an entire song. Case in point - "Get This Party Started" by Black-eyed Peas. Test that with a 45+ audience, and it's likely to get good response because the hook has been used on TV so much. Play the song, and a 45+ audience will hit the button EVERY TIME the "rap" part comes on.

The idea that you can get accurate data from a :06 second sample - but that an :08 second sample creates "fatigue" is only valid if you play :06 song snippets, not entire songs on the radio. Other data, including downloads, sales, and audience response is at least as valid as music testing. Testing longer segments of fewer songs over a two hour period would likely give you different - and possibly more valid - results. That would mean spending a lot more time and money to test 600 songs. A hook test is most valid in telling you what's burnt to a crisp, because people will go negative on it almost immediately.

Do I have all the answers? No. But, the "powers that be" don't have all the answers either. It's pure hubris to assume that the current methodology is flawless. Continued declines in listening have to tell you that SOMETHING'S WRONG. What's that they say about "Doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results"?

BTW, David Eduardo is the one who's saying that everything prior to the current PPM testing is invalid. Maybe you'd better take it up with him.
 
adma said:
Though here's an observation I'm surprised nobody's made: your quiz took place at the local university.

And it's pretty safe to say that if said "big chunk of humanity" can't afford a computer or online service, they probably can't afford university, either.

So we're talking about (a) a yawning cultural gap between the haves and the have-nots, and (b) an unspoken perception that radio's natural core consists of society's terminally unenlightened pathetic underclass garbage who are totally alien to a university student's everyday experience.

Can radio survive when perceived as a "have-not" medium, on a level with lottery and gaming?

I would gently accuse you of missing the point, but I don't think you've missed it as much as chosen to ignore it.

93 percent reach doesn't reflect the "have nots"--or the "underclass." 93 percent reflects a medium that reaches damn near everyone, every week (and, as radio listening is essentially a daily habit, effectively every day).

The observation regarding the relatively high entry fee for online usage is just an updated analogy to newspaper usage and cable TV usage. One of the limiting factors to the mass reach for those media has always been the price.

Broadcast TV and terrestrial radio come closest to real, legitimate mass/universal reach because they're free. Get it?

And 93 percent reach (or in TV's case, 96 percent reach) includes EVERY socioeconomic class, race, gender, religion or other description of the human race.

Radio is a powerhouse. Those of us who are practitioners need to understand our powerful position and help advertisers use that power to their benefit.
 
Re: Definition of Insanity?

SirRoxalot said:
As far as research is concerned, anybody who's taken elementary statistics on a college level, especially as part of a Psychology major, can see flaws in music testing.

Statistics pretty much tells you things like margin of error, and helps determine sample size. It does not tell you if there are any flaws in music testing.

The critical areas in music testing don't even include sample size... through replication studies, we have proven what the necessary sample is long ago. Those important areas include recruit specifications and actual recruiting, questionnaire design, location of a physical test facility, driving conditions, availability of parking, etc., etc. The big issues are logististical, not statistical.

"Hook" testing tells you how an audience responds to hooks - but now how they respond to an entire song.

When respondants are given the scoring instrucions, including a "test pod" practice, they are told that they will hear "snippets" or "slices" of each song "or we would be here until tomorrow." And they are told, generally, to score based on how much they would like to hear that song on the radio today. Nearly every person who can write their name can understand this, and knows that they are to think of the song the hook represents and score accordingly. Post-test debriefings in a one-on-one environment confirm that participants know what they were supposed to do and that, in fact, they did it.

Case in point - "Get This Party Started" by Black-eyed Peas. Test that with a 45+ audience, and it's likely to get good response because the hook has been used on TV so much. Play the song, and a 45+ audience will hit the button EVERY TIME the "rap" part comes on.

First, the test participants are not scoring on familiarity, they are scoring on whether they want to hear the song on the radio today. That's just the first step, though.

And this is where the PD comes in. Research is a tool, not a final decision.

Every list of songs tested includes songs the station does not play... maybe ones that they used to play, or ones on competitors. The PD evaluates songs and can make decisions based on "it does not fit my vision of the station" and not play certain high testing numbers. Further, many testing companies provide cluster/factor analysis to determine audience subsets and relative scores; songs are often eliminated due to fit.

We need to remember that every "average" listener uses 5 to 6 stations in a week. So they may have other "favorite" songs but those songs may not be why they come to our station... different mood or situation need, etc. Part of the analysis, both emotive and statistical, by the PD is to decide on fit. This is like the situation here we test a bunch of good songs in one combination, and the pod scores low, but when a good PD puts them in the right order for good flow, the intent score rises amazingly. It's about playing good songs the right way on the right station. To do all that, you need a good PD.

The idea that you can get accurate data from a :06 second sample - but that an :08 second sample creates "fatigue" is only valid if you play :06 song snippets, not entire songs on the radio.

Again... and this is getting tedious... you totally misread and are now mis-stating what I said. I said most people have finished evaluating a song and scored it before 6 seconds go by. And that most folks do 8" hooks with a fade to make sure the respondant is ready to move to the next song. The 6"/8" rule is so well defined that I can tell you that, after looking at nearly 100,000 respondants just from the last 5 or 6 years there is seldom a variance... and the variances are due to people who should not have been in the test for a variety of reasons and who are deleated in the data cleansing phase anyway.

I can also tell you from witnessing tests done with too-long hooks that the audience becomes fidgity and disattentive immediately... ruining the validity of the test data.

Other data, including downloads, sales, and audience response is at least as valid as music testing.

I don't know what "audience response" means, but if you mean "phone calls" you are way out in left field at a football game. Incoming research of any kind is very biased and has no way to control the sample.

Downloads don't tell you age or station preference or radio usage. Sales tells you CDs were sold... but to whom? For a gift? Which cut? Age? Sex? P1 radio station? All are totally invalid within today's technology. Of course, radio is not in the record selling business, anyway, and so whether a song sells or not is no indication of its radio usage qualities.

Testing longer segments of fewer songs over a two hour period would likely give you different - and possibly more valid - results.

Nah. It's been done, both as a control group exercise and by accident. And it yields vastly poorer results, as after the first 50 or so hooks, people's average scores decline in proportion to the added length so by the end of the test, they are scoring everything as neutral or below.

A music test is like a wine tasting. You don't drink the whole bottle or glass... you, correctly, savor and spit. Anything else just yields drunks by the 4th or 5th variety, and achieves nothing.

That would mean spending a lot more time and money to test 600 songs.

And that is money radio does not have (besides the fact that it does not work, ever, at all, anywhere).

A hook test is most valid in telling you what's burnt to a crisp, because people will go negative on it almost immediately.
No, a test is intended to tell what to play and what not to play, for any reason, and how much to play the good ones. It does not matter if a song is burnt, just that it is currently unplayable. And tests mostly identify songs that just should not be played for whatever reason.

Do I have all the answers? No. But, the "powers that be" don't have all the answers either. It's pure hubris to assume that the current methodology is flawless. Continued declines in listening have to tell you that SOMETHING'S WRONG. What's that they say about "Doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results"?

Agian, radio is not gradually seeing lower TSL due to bad music. The issue is that people have so much more to chose from in the way of options, and each one gets thinner pieces.

The issues with music research have to do with logistics... getting the right people to show up being one of them. But there are other methods we also use, like by-appointment personal testing with one person scoring on a computer... and web testing by invitation (with an incentive, too) at their own pace (they score in about 6 seconds, too).

Since it's obvious you have not should much familiarity with testing, and none with the recruiting and implementation end, you should really study the process first before making wild, totally wrong, statements.

BTW, David Eduardo is the one who's saying that everything prior to the current PPM testing is invalid. Maybe you'd better take it up with him.

No, I am saying that comparing data from today's methodology with yesterday's less perfect methodologies is falacious; why buy a buggy when there are now cars?
 
Re: Definition of Insanity?

SirRoxalot said:
What I am advocating is that they should be allowed to do more than read liner cards four times an hour.

I read this here and elsewhere as though it's commonplace in all formats. It's not. The only format where I know it to be common is soft AC. Which is today's equivalent of beautiful music. Which also featured canned announcers reading pre-written copy. You don't hear liner card readers in most country. CHR, urban, or any of the Spanish formats. The only time you do is if they're competing against a high personality station in those formats. Definitely don't hear it in news, talk, or sports. There are loads of formats for DJs who wish to exude personality. However, I don't believe that is necessarily what listeners what. Especially if their device of choice today doesn't feature talkative DJs.
 
You guys are right. There's nothing wrong, and radio doesn't need to change. Carry on with the same-old same-old.

Since we've already had this arguement - several times - let me just offer this:

Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays, Joyous Yuletide. Have a peaceful day. Best of luck in the New Year.
 
interesting topic. as a radio listener, i will pop in my 2 cents I listen to rock, stations i listen to WRZX,WFBQ,WBYR and as i will listen to one of the 3 stations untill 1, the commercial hits (and i know its gonna be X amount of minutes of someone trying to sale me crap i do not care about) 2, a song i have all ready heard 5 times all ready. or 3 the dj starts talking and sounds plain (like he is reading form a damn card). and when 1 of the 3 things happen i switch to one of the other stations, and if its the same thing on the others. i just shut the radio off.

now im shure alot of listeners are just like me. and we do like hearing real weather/traffic reports ( dont tell me its 3pm and 40 degrees outside, and its actually 26, <- i have heard this. )

radio need to liven up, and get some real people behind the mic, the voice tracking just sucks. and if radio dont change. i might just have to buy my a ipod :|
 
kd8hho said:
if radio dont change. i might just have to buy my a ipod :|

The purposes of radio and ipods are very different. If you want radio to serve as your personal music service, you will be disappointed. Radio is not meant to serve individuals, but the mass market.
 
SirRoxalot said:
You guys are right. There's nothing wrong, and radio doesn't need to change. Carry on with the same-old same-old.

Since we've already had this arguement - several times - let me just offer this:

Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays, Joyous Yuletide. Have a peaceful day. Best of luck in the New Year.

What a nice thought! BTW, Rox, my recent contributions to the thread haven't been intended to suggest that change isn't necessary, but rather to remind us all that despite all the bashing radio has received from within and outside the industry, it is not really the "ugly stepsister." Nor is it in any real danger of withering up and blowing away anytime soon. Several times in my GM career I've taken over properties that were market leaders that had slipped a bit from all-time high perches... but were still market leaders. So the first task was to persuade everyone to drop the razor blades and realize that everyone else in the market would kill to switch places with them. Many of us in radio today are acting the same way, apparently unaware of how many in the online biz would love to have our nearly universal reach.

But can we do things better that we're doing them now? Sure. So the debate continues--as it has for the past 90 years...
 
TheBigA said:
The purposes of radio and ipods are very different. If you want radio to serve as your personal music service, you will be disappointed. Radio is not meant to serve individuals, but the mass market.

Let me offer an amendment to what you have said. Somewhere in between those two points are some "happy landing spots" for radio stations to choose from.

Some stations truly serve the "mass market" and they are the audience leaders in the market, and one of our problems is that the advertising purchasing community seems to (in most cases) only recognize that side of radio.

Once we have 4 or 5 top rated stations honestly attempting to be 'mass market heavy-weights'.... what do we do with the next two, twelve, or forty-three stations in the market? It should be considered a legitimate goal in life to operate as a niche audio service, service the personal tastes of various groups. There is more to life than music and i-Pods. There is talk. There is ethnic radio. There is... heaven forbid... POLKA MUSIC!

I haven't been on the streets in a selling role for years so I don't know what the market place is like, but from standing here on the curb, reading and listening, as the people currently in the parade go walking by, I get the ideas that just as radio had become a lot of automated programming, the ad agency business may have become slaves to the computer world and only understand MASS MARKET giants.

I'm nost sure that the perceived ills of the radio business can be solved by the broadcasters and the FCC alone. The advertisers have to be participants in the discussion if something better than today is going to develop.

I can remember the days when certain stations... particularly the Beautiful Music crowd, would turn down an ad schedule if they were expected to run the same over-the-top shouting, screaming ads that went on the top-40 station. Does that happen today?
 
Understood, but consider this. Many of the kids in high school today are without radio. You have to ask, why? What its it that makes the next generation gravitate away from radio.

Since I help my wife with volunteer work at our public schools, I often have a chance to talk with students about music and what they like and dislike. The kids are not looking for a personal music service. As surprising as it sounds most like the same thing, and will listen to something that is not really popular to them if it's in the circle of their friends. And since they are not listening to radio, it tells me that radio has nothing to offer them.

Let's take this a little further. I had a "discussion" with the jock of a local station that pointed out that his station dropped a point, but is still pretty high up in the ratings at a 8.7. While this was true, what makes up the 8.7? It seems that it's getting harder to harder to find radio listeners in many locations, so the question then becomes what is more relevant, 8.7% of 100,000 listeners, or 8.7 of 1,000?

But this trend is not just the kids fault. I see it happening with the boomer generation as well. In my age group we don't have anything that caters to us on the radio, and I'm not like the kids that have the iPods in their ears, so my exodus from was to XM.

Sadly, I think the reason that radio is loosing listeners to iPods and XM is not because of the technology, it's because of the content and the presentation. I find that many stations drop the ball on the key fundamentals to attracting and holding listeners. It's sad, but it's also the reality of the business model of most stations is that they THINK because they play a few songs in an age category and they have a signal on the air, that's going to attract listeners.

Take a moment and talk to people in your community. You'll find that radio is to many what FEMA thought they were to New Orleans and Houston. All talk. :)



TheBigA said:
kd8hho said:
if radio dont change. i might just have to buy my a ipod :|

The purposes of radio and ipods are very different. If you want radio to serve as your personal music service, you will be disappointed. Radio is not meant to serve individuals, but the mass market.
 
FredRichards said:
The kids are not looking for a personal music service. As surprising as it sounds most like the same thing, and will listen to something that is not really popular to them if it's in the circle of their friends. And since they are not listening to radio, it tells me that radio has nothing to offer them.

Radio can't offer programming specific to teens as there are essentially no advertisers who want to reach teens via radio. This is why there are very few restaurants offering fried grasshoppers, too... in the US, there is little taste for that delicacy.

Let's take this a little further. I had a "discussion" with the jock of a local station that pointed out that his station dropped a point, but is still pretty high up in the ratings at a 8.7. While this was true, what makes up the 8.7? It seems that it's getting harder to harder to find radio listeners in many locations, so the question then becomes what is more relevant, 8.7% of 100,000 listeners, or 8.7 of 1,000?

The reports of radio's death are more than exaggerated. Here is an example: the average listening to FM in Los Angeles in 1998 (pre-iPod, pre-Satellite, pre-cheap and accessable high speed internet, etc.) was 1,167,400 persons. In Spring 2008 it was 1,085,900 persons. That's 11.5% in 1998, 10.0% in 2008 with today having tons more competition and alternatives. Now, the near-dead AM band is different... there is a loss of 20% in listening as a percentage of all persons 12+. So it's AM, not FM that is responsible for most of the losses and those for FM are remarkably small despite all the alternatives.

But this trend is not just the kids fault. I see it happening with the boomer generation as well. In my age group we don't have anything that caters to us on the radio, and I'm not like the kids that have the iPods in their ears, so my exodus from was to XM.

Like 12-17, folks 55 and older are basically of little interest to radio, as those older ages or the "geezer demos" just can't be sold as the larger advertisers don't want any station that caters to that group. We can't "miss" what we don't want and don't go after.
 
FredRichards said:
And since they are not listening to radio, it tells me that radio has nothing to offer them.

Not exactly. You described their social circle very well. Those social circles are very different from those that existed 20 years ago. They are built on friendships, online and through texting. Radio is outside that social system. Why? They don't play that game. And there's potential legal problems for adults (radio personnel) entering the social systems of minors.

The other thing: Have you listened to the lyric content of some of these songs? Quite often, the songs that are popular among teen boys have language and subject matter that are not allowed on the public airwaves. Their parents don't know they listen to this music. Most of their teachers don't know. Once again, in many cases, they're outside the social system.

FredRichards said:
Sadly, I think the reason that radio is loosing listeners to iPods and XM is not because of the technology, it's because of the content and the presentation.

Depends on the format.

The fact is the content and presentation on satellite radio isn't much different from traditional radio. Satellite has two benefits: About 100 music channels. Not many towns have that many radio stations. And no commercials. However, that's part of what has driven satellite to the brink of bankruptcy. At some point, the commercial free benefit will go away. The number of musical choices has already started to shrink. If you want local content, it's not available on satellite.

Content and presentation on an ipod lacks commercials, DJs, information (weather, traffic info, etc), and unfamiliar music. How can radio become more like satellite or and iPod when laws require it to be local, when it needs commercials to cover its expenses, and it needs to reach mass adueinces in order to appeal to advertisers?
 
The station I work for has been consistently number one for decades.
Practically every hour we were sold out at 10 units per hour, 12 in morning drive.

This past year the bottom fell out.
More than 50% of our business, gone.
Rolling into 2009, more to come.

Same air staff.
Same sales staff.
No voicetracking, even on weekends.
Killer promotions.

This month alone, 500,000 jobs lost.

Could it be the economy sucks????
 
Radio made the mistake of betting its future on playing music, while reducing jocks to
repetitive button pushers. The problem is, technology, has been the equalizer and listeners are now able to customize THEIR music and play MORE music they like, on $99.00 cell phones and various mp3 music players. A $29.00 SD memory chip holds 500 songs. Kids want cell phones and they all want mp3 players. I know I’ve sold them!
Will some beat up 55-year-old women want an mp3 player? I don’t know some will some won’t.

Here’s the problem: By the ages of 3, kids are clicking keyboards and as they grow become glued to the Internet. By the ages of 8 they’ve all got cell phones and MP3 players, paid for by mommy and daddy. By age 8, radio had taken a back seat to music players, because the Internet easily provides free alternative sources of music. And the RIAA can't stop it.

We live in a world customized everything! And radio’s next generation doesn’t have to listen to 10 in a row just to hear one or two song they like, or promos or 10 spots. Believe the research from the well-funded groups with agendas and I’ve got some swampland I’d like to sell you.

Radio has taken a back seat to MP3 players and cell phones. Mass media has become less relevant, less effective. The new generation of mp3 jockey’s will listen to radio, when nothing else is available. It’s like I’ll have a salad for lunch, when nothing else is available. I promise, the noise level of MP3 players and alternative attention hogging devices is going to increase. Computer chips and electronic circuits will continue to shrink. And within 5 to 10 years every car paid or free will be connected to the Internet.

Radio’s won’t be able to defeat the enemy from climbing the walls of its last fortress the dashboard. I’m not saying everybody will stop listening, however time spent listening
will continue to shrink and ad dollars will continue to decline as advertisers discover vehicles that deliver effective track able results. Mass media is slowly dying.

Radio is still defending the fortress, operating like it’s always done, while the world has much different ideas. And HD? So far it’s more of the same.
 
pocket-radio said:
Radio made the mistake of betting its future on playing music

I don't agree. Radio has been retreating from music for the past 3 years.

Where radio is investing its time and money is in talk and information programming, which is content it owns and can sell across multiple platforms. THAT is the future of radio, not DJs playing stacks of wax.

pocket-radio said:
Radio is still defending the fortress, operating like it&#146;s always done, while the world has much different ideas.

I don't see that at all. Every day, radio the way it's always been done, is being dismantled as heritage DJs are being shown the door. If you do radio the way it's always been done, you will be gone soon.

As Obama said, "Change is coming."
 
I agree change is coming! You're right radio is showing more talented people the door, who needs them anyway? Though its business as usual, with radio's homogenized formats, playing their endless promos and none stop commercial loads. What's missing is innovation, risk taking and an industry driven by people who have passion for great content. Some of those people are left, but they're just hanging on, keeping their mouths shut, hoping they won't be the next to be shown the door.

Change is coming and it’s called bankruptcy
 
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