TheBigA said:That's a mighty big "if," don't you think?
Think of it in the context in which I wrote it, rather than as a stand alone statement.
IF music as we hear it on the radio today, and IF nationally syndicated talk radio as we hear it on the radio today is what the listeners want- THEN when radio finds it's audience via cell-phone broadband or via some super wifi network,
THEN Big business will eat the lunch of of what has been the broadcast industry. It might be Bill Gates, It might be Rupert Murdock, it might be the venture capitalists that today own Clear Channel. What need is there for the local entrepreneur in this scenario.
IF personality has a place in the providing of an audio content, and by that I am thinking of a personality who talks about your town, your mayor, your high school football team, your county fair now in progress...
and IF news... as in: The old stockyards building south of town burned last night. or: The city council has adopted the new lawn watering restrictions recommended by the state of Georgia and here is when you are allowed to water your lawn, your flowers, etc.
Then there is a place for some kind of business activity to looks a lot like what we in the past called a radio station.
There is a lot of discussion on these boards about what gathers audience today, and here we are talking about what we project will gather audience in the future. If it is "grinding records" as one broadcaster I worked for called it, and "angry white men arguing politics at the national level" then forget about anything that acts like, smells like, is staffed like anything we ever called a "radio station". Just pipe it in from India to the WiFi or the broadband network.
My "big IF" is premised on the idea that there might be some fools... even in the younger generation... who are parochial enough to want some audio seasoned-to-taste for their locale.
My current thinking is there may be some kind of a hybrid creature in our future. Warren Buffett or someone will invest in some big mechanism that fills 60 to 90% of the time with homogenized content that is identical nationwide, and like McDonalds sell franchises for restaurants, local franchises will be available to fill in the remaining 10 to 40% of the time with local chit-chat and local advertising. This model might be more manageable under a WiFi kind of concept where listeners to the national (or worldwide) major content then get handed off by the WiFi network to their local franchisee for a few minutes now and then. Kind of reminds you of radio, circa 1948 doesn't it. ;D