> > Make book on it: Fox will NOT be buying a second station
> in
> > Boston just to carry My. Scripps isn't selling the (quite
> > profitable) SAH stations. Pax/i, however much of a mess it
>
> > may appear to be, isn't selling its stations at the
> moment.
>
> Just because they're not officially on the block, it doesn't
>
> mean the deal can't happen tomorrow. As an example, everyone
>
> found about CW on the day when it was announced and no one
> had a clue about behind the door talks between CBS and Time
> Warner.
>
My guess is Tribune will sign an agreement with MyNetwork. But not CBS, based on the same premise: "You have two big brothers like CBS and Time Warner putting their resources into CW. Why would one of them help out with the distribution of a rival network?"
Tribune stations in Philadelphia (WPHL), Atlanta (WATL) and Seattle (KTWB) will carry MyNetworkTV in primetime.
In Miami (WBZL), Indianapolis(WXIN), Grand Rapids (WXMI) and Harrisburg(WPMT), Tribune stations carrying other primetime network programming will carry MyNetwork programs but during the day or after midnight.
In Sacramento, if Hearst is uninterested in MyNetwork for KQCA, it could go to KTXL for the arrangement above.
(In Harrisburg, I was assuming WLYH picks up The CW in above comment, though I see Clear Channel/WLYH actually wanting My Network instead.) Then CW goes off pattern late hours on WPMT, like how WB did before.
In Boston, my guess is WZMY will pick up affiliation. If that isn't the case, WFXT 25 keeps MyNetwork for off pattern past midnight or daytime programming. Another Fox O&O in Detroit is possible for such situation, if Granite is upset over S.F. loss and no longer wants to MyNetwork for its Detroit station.
I don't see Fox wanting to buy out really minor stations (with no programming currently), but I could be wrong. Maybe, they could buy some stations from Paxson. Aside from the Paxs, Fox might want stations like WTTA 38/Tampa and WDWB 20/Detroit, to create duopoly partners of MyNetwork affiliate stations, for their Fox owned stations.
At the same token, they should divest WUTB 24/Baltimore, which has no Fox duopoly, to CBS, Hearst or Scripps.
> >
> > So that leaves WZMY and WSBK. If I were a betting man, I'd
>
> > put a few bucks on My ending up on WSBK when the dance
> ends
> > - probably with an announcement coming very late in the
> > game, and with CBS getting a very favorable deal (perhaps
> > even a little better than the already favorable deal My is
>
> > offering most of its prospective new affiliates) to get My
>
> > on the air in Boston (and probably in Miami, West Palm and
>
> > perhaps out of pattern on WLWC). I would not expect to see
>
> > "My" branding on WSBK, outside of prime-time hours, and I
> > would expect to see some pretty liberal preemptions
> whenever
> > CBS has something better to put on 38 (sports, bumped CBS
> > programming when 4 goes local, etc.)
>
> Ain't gonna happen. You have two big brothers like CBS and
> Time Warner
> putting their resources into CW. Why would one of them help
> out with the distribution of a rival network?
>
> >
> > Maureen is right that most of the non-O&O clearances for
> My
> > are just gravy, but national ad buyers will want to see
> > Boston and Miami clearances, and that means Fox will have
> to
> > play ball with CBS.
> >
>
> You're way off. They don't have to play ball with CBS
> because My is not Madison Avenue-centric. They're not about
> national
> clearance. They're all about niche demos. CW is focused on
> cost per thousand
> and is charging premium rates for proven programming like
> "Smallville",
> "America's Top Model" and "Gilmore Girls" CW is only giving
> stations
> 3 minutes of local time per hour, plus taking cash payments
> from affils.
> My can afford to give six minutes of local time, no cash
> transactions
> and stay station-friendly because it doesn't have the
> bloated
> proudcition overhead of CBS-TW and its programming is
> untested.
> My's telenovellas like "Desire" or reality shows like "Cat
> Walk"
> cost a fraction of CW's programming.
>