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Future Of Network Baseball After 2006?

J

Joseph_Gallant

Guest
On an earlier thread, Enbycee wrote about what could happen to national television coverage of Major League Baseball after Fox's contract with the league ends following the 2006 season:

> I think ESPN getting exclusive rights and farming-out the All-Star Game,
> World Series, some playoff games and perhaps some kind of a Saturday Game Of
> The Week to ABC is a strong possibility......

I can see ESPN getting exclusive national-television rights to Major-League Baseball beginning in 2007, but I don't think ESPN will sell-off rights to as many games as Enbycee thinks to a broadcast-TV network.

I think ESPN will get exclusive rights, and sell-off only some postseason games to a broadcast network:

* Two first-round playoff games (one on a Saturday afternoon, the other on a Sunday afternoon)
* One game of the American League Championship Series (on a weekend afternoon)
* One game of the National League Championship Series (also on a weekend afternoon)
* The World Series

I think that ESPN ideally would want to carry all the playoffs and World Series, but were they to do this, there would be considerable outcry in Washington ("the World Series is only on cable and a lot of people won't be able to watch it!") and it might become an issue in the 2008 Presidential election. So I think ESPN will offer a very limited number of postseason games, including the World Series, to a broadcast network. But you may still see ESPN carry these games on a late-night tape delay after their live broadcast on an over-the-air TV network.

ESPN would, in addition to what they do now, carry a regular-season game on Saturday afternoons, the All-Star Game, nearly all first-round playoff games and most League Championship Series games.

Although ABC and ESPN are both under the same ownership, I think ABC might pass on such a package for two reasons:

(1) Two of the playoff games (one first-round, one LCS) would be on Satuday afternoons, which would cause havoc with ABC's college-football schedule.

(2) At least one game, maybe two games (if it goes the seven-game limit) of the World Series would be played on a Sunday night. Would ABC pre-empt their hit series "Desperate Housewives" once or twice during the November sweeps to carry the World Series?? I say "during the November sweeps", because I think that under the next MLB national TV contracts, the postseason scheduling will be changed to move the World Series into the November sweeps.

If ESPN gets the full MLB national-TV package starting in 2007 and sells-off the rights to a few postseason games (including the World Series) to a broadcast network, I think Fox has a good chance to land this limited postseason TV package. Fox would still carry the World Series, but would no longer carry any regular-season games or the All-Star Game.
 
Like it or not, cable is where the sports money is. We're headed towards the day when only the NFL will have regular season games on national network TV.
 
> Like it or not, cable is where the sports money is. We're
> headed towards the day when only the NFL will have regular
> season games on national network TV.

Agreed. Several years ago the Yankees started their own YES Network which now broadcasts the majority of regualar season Yankees games. Only about 20 games per season are farmed out to WWOR-9. Many years ago WPIX-11 carried most Yankees games over the air, but I think the trend for most sports teams is to move their games to cable. I believe the Mets will be creating their own sports network to debut next season.
>
 
> > Like it or not, cable is where the sports money is. We're
> > headed towards the day when only the NFL will have regular
>
> > season games on national network TV.
>
> Agreed. Several years ago the Yankees started their own YES
> Network which now broadcasts the majority of regualar season
> Yankees games. Only about 20 games per season are farmed
> out to WWOR-9. Many years ago WPIX-11 carried most Yankees
> games over the air, but I think the trend for most sports
> teams is to move their games to cable. I believe the Mets
> will be creating their own sports network to debut next
> season.
> >

I think Chicago is the only city where fans can still see around 100
games a year on free TV, between the Cubs and White Sox.
 
> I think Chicago is the only city where fans can still see
> around 100
> games a year on free TV, between the Cubs and White Sox.
>
Between WGN and WCIU, there are about 125 Cubs and White Sox games on over the air TV (all produced by WGN, by the way), plus the Fox Saturday afternoon games, that number is probably closer to 140 total games.
 
> On an earlier thread, Enbycee wrote about what could happen
> to national television coverage of Major League Baseball
> after Fox's contract with the league ends following the 2006
> season:
>
> > I think ESPN getting exclusive rights and farming-out the
> All-Star Game,
> > World Series, some playoff games and perhaps some kind of
> a Saturday Game Of
> > The Week to ABC is a strong possibility......
>
> I can see ESPN getting exclusive national-television rights
> to Major-League Baseball beginning in 2007, but I don't
> think ESPN will sell-off rights to as many games as Enbycee
> thinks to a broadcast-TV network.
>
> I think ESPN will get exclusive rights, and sell-off only
> some postseason games to a broadcast network:
>
> * Two first-round playoff games (one on a Saturday
> afternoon, the other on a Sunday afternoon)
> * One game of the American League Championship Series (on a
> weekend afternoon)
> * One game of the National League Championship Series (also
> on a weekend afternoon)
> * The World Series
>
> I think that ESPN ideally would want to carry all the
> playoffs and World Series, but were they to do this, there
> would be considerable outcry in Washington ("the World
> Series is only on cable and a lot of people won't be able to
> watch it!") and it might become an issue in the 2008
> Presidential election. So I think ESPN will offer a very
> limited number of postseason games, including the World
> Series, to a broadcast network. But you may still see ESPN
> carry these games on a late-night tape delay after their
> live broadcast on an over-the-air TV network.
>
> ESPN would, in addition to what they do now, carry a
> regular-season game on Saturday afternoons, the All-Star
> Game, nearly all first-round playoff games and most League
> Championship Series games.
>
> Although ABC and ESPN are both under the same ownership, I
> think ABC might pass on such a package for two reasons:
>
> (1) Two of the playoff games (one first-round, one LCS)
> would be on Satuday afternoons, which would cause havoc with
> ABC's college-football schedule.
>
> (2) At least one game, maybe two games (if it goes the
> seven-game limit) of the World Series would be played on a
> Sunday night. Would ABC pre-empt their hit series "Desperate
> Housewives" once or twice during the November sweeps to
> carry the World Series?? I say "during the November sweeps",
> because I think that under the next MLB national TV
> contracts, the postseason scheduling will be changed to move
> the World Series into the November sweeps.
>
> If ESPN gets the full MLB national-TV package starting in
> 2007 and sells-off the rights to a few postseason games
> (including the World Series) to a broadcast network, I think
> Fox has a good chance to land this limited postseason TV
> package. Fox would still carry the World Series, but would
> no longer carry any regular-season games or the All-Star
> Game.
>

I have it on good word that Rupert has given David Hill a blank check to retain the rights to their current sports properities (MLB and NASCAR) that are up for renewal this year.

Fox wants to maintain what they have now with baseball, but MLB would like to see the contract adjusted so that they have more control over the schedule so LCS games are not going on at the same time with a split telecast.

Latest word out of the Fox camp has to do with NASCAR and the big sticking point being that Fox wants exclusive rights to the Daytona 500. I've been told NBC will not renew because they couldn't work out details on backup plans if a race bleeds over into NFL Sunday night time.
 
>
>
> Latest word out of the Fox camp has to do with NASCAR and
> the big sticking point being that Fox wants exclusive rights
> to the Daytona 500. I've been told NBC will not renew
> because they couldn't work out details on backup plans if a
> race bleeds over into NFL Sunday night time.
>

NBC's coverage has been a bit of a disappointment, and since half their races air on TNT anyway, I'm sure NASCAR would prefer Fox having exclusive rights.
 
> NBC's coverage has been a bit of a disappointment, and since
> half their races air on TNT anyway, I'm sure NASCAR would
> prefer Fox having exclusive rights.
>

Fox will not have exclusive rights. ABC/ESPN is the leading candidate for the second half of the year, with the only sticking point being the number of events on ABC rather than ESPN.
 
> NBC's coverage has been a bit of a disappointment, and since
> half their races air on TNT anyway, I'm sure NASCAR would
> prefer Fox having exclusive rights.
>

Would be impossible, since Fox is committed to the NFL for the last two months of the NASCAR season, and NASCAR is adamant about having most of those races on network, not cable TV.
 
>
> Would be impossible, since Fox is committed to the NFL for
> the last two months of the NASCAR season, and NASCAR is
> adamant about having most of those races on network, not
> cable TV.
>
As it is, I'm surprised they allowed NBC to turn over the rights to so many races to TNT. It's not like NBC had any major programming opposite the TNT telecast this weekend from Loudon, NH.
 
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