Re: Help Me From Writing Bad Checks!!
> > > >
> > > > None of what you say is really true or prevalent.
> > >
> > > Yes it is.
> >
> > I gave you evidence to the contrary.
>
> You gave me evidence over the last 30 years with no future
> projections.
I do not have a crystal ball. But one thing is certain is that much of the current radio content will be distributed in new ways... a radio station is its content, not its transmitter.
> > I do not have a crystal ball. It took 40 years to decline
> > 2%.
>
> 40 years where there were no viable portable alternative
> methods for content delivery.
45's, cassettes, CDs, etc. There have always been different methods for music listening. So far, content delivery via alternate methods is less than 1% of listening. At some point, radio will have to use multiple delivery systems, but the time is not now.
> >
> > It took 55 years through TV, 45's, cassettes, cable, VHS,
> > DVD, CDs, Internet, etc. to go down by 45 minutes per
> > person.
>
> Internet is another thing in its own. You can't watch TV,
> VHS, DVD & drive a car.
In car listening is the smallest part of total radio listening. All the things I listed, and more, compete for entertainment time.
> If the internet, in the car (which
> is coming) will provide streaming audio, people will have
> many new options and radio will get lower and lower on the
> list.
Only if radio does not add additional channels of distribution.
>
> CD's and cassettes are limited in storage space. When I can
> walk around with 10,000 songs on shuffle or browse the
> internet from my cell phone (which is coming) to find my
> favorite streaming station.....
Several studies have shown the average number of songs on an iPod is around 300. That is less than most radio stations.
> >
> > So? Satellite talkers have commercials, and the CCU
> talkers,
> > which are most of the big ones, have much lower limits as
> > part of Less Is More.
>
> Still doesn't matter. Ads are part of the business model
> that will fail radio, especially when programming is driven
> by those ads. When you have content that is not strickly ad
> driven and caters to very specific tastes, more people will
> seek THAT out. How I would love to listen to a Reel Radio
> aircheck on the way to work since THAT is specific to my
> tastes... it's probably an idea not that far off
It requires spending of money. A percentage of people will spend for alternatives, but the average household income in the US suggests a major percentage will not or can not.
>
> > We will be using alternate distribution. Someone has to
> pay
> > for this stuff, and it will generally be advertising
> (which
> > is the only viable internet model, also)
>
> Not when you have hundereds of thousands of people able to
> stream from their home computers over high speed internet
> connections. I can and 25-30 people can listen to my
> stream. It doesn't cost me any more than my monthly
> internet access bill and a monthly charge to a service that
> takes care of my AFTRA rights. There are enough radio geeks
> to flood the net.
In the end, well programmed content will beat someone's home system with thier personal choice of music. And the home streamers have to pay ASCAP, BMI and RiAA licenses per avaialable stream, and that will not change.
Internet streams of the sort you mention do not pay AFTRA at all. That is jsut for major commercials.
I'll bet the geeks can not do news, traffic, talk shows, artist interviews, contesting, play by play, etc.