J
Joseph_Gallant
Guest
The long-term contract between CBC and the NHL for "Hockey Night In Canada" will expire after the 2008 playoffs. Although it's more than two years off, I wouldn't be surprised if talks have started or are about to start concerning the NHL's national broadcast-TV deal in Canada.
In the past, it would have been a no-brainer: CBC would have renewed their deal for "Hockey Night In Canada". But after last year's stunning announcement that a consortium of CTV, TSN and Rogers out-bid the CBC for TV rights to the 2010 Winter Olympics (Vancouver) and 2012 Summer Olympics (London), I would think that CTV is going to agressively bid for the "HNIC" package.
I would think that if CTV agressively goes after "HNIC" that there might not be any way the CBC will be able to match or exceed CTV's bid.
Although Global could make a bid, I believe they're only available to about 85% of Canadian TV homes, whereas I thought both CBC and CTV were available to nearly all of Canada's television homes. With Global in slightly fewer homes than CBC and CTV, I doubt the NHL would seriously consider a Global bid.
For CTV, there would be many positives in grabbing "HNIC":
* It is my understanding that CTV's ratings are strong six of the seven nights of the week. Their only weak spot is Saturdays, thanks to "HNIC" on CBC.
* CTV could include a bid for "HNIC" as part of an even bigger deal involving sister company TSN, CTV-owned TV stations in the six Canadian-based NHL cities, and Rogers (CTV, TSN and Rogers of course are the consirtium that won the Olympics). Perhaps this consortium could also bring in Leafs TV (the regional channel in Toronto owned by the Maple Leafs) and bid on all English-language NHL television rights in Canada.
Such a deal could:
(1) give the CTV network rights to all regular-season Saturday games of all six Canadian-based NHL teams (about 25 games a year for each of the six Canadian-based teams), early-round weekend playoff games, all playoff games of the six Canadian-based teams, and the Stanley Cup Finals;
(2) give TSN ten games each of the six Canadian-based teams as well as exclusive Canadian national cable rights for the NHL including early-round midweek playoff games involving U.S. based teams;
(3) give CTV stations in Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto, Edmonton, Calgary and Vancouver fifteen midweek regular-season games of their local NHL teams;
(4) give Leafs TV 20 regular-season Toronto Maple Leafs' games for local telecast in the Toronto area;
(5) give Rogers Sportsnet the remaining regular-season games of Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto, Calgary, Edmonton and Vancouver (12 games for Toronto, 32 games for each of the other five Canadian clubs).
* Establish CTV as "The Leader In Canadian Television Sports" since they'd be the broadcast-network home of the NHL and the Olympics.
* Give CTV even more dominance in prime-time.
* And give CTV the prestige of taking over the most successful program in Canadian television history.
* CTV could end up winning higher ratings for "HNIC" because they would be able to promote the games on a prime-time schedule that attracts many more viewers than that of the CBC.
* CTV and sister network TSN have already formed a consortium with Rogers for the Olympics, so it's not beyond the realm of possibility that these companies might form a consortium to lock-up the NHL.
* And based on the prime-time schedule (7-11 P.M.) for CTV flagship CFTO-9 Toronto this week (March 12th-18th), adding the "HNIC" doubleheader to CTV would double the amount of "Canadian content" on that network's prime-time schedule.
CBC would also lose big:
* "Hockey Night In Canada" is by far CBC's most popular program. If they lose it, CBC's sports portfolio, already wounded with the CTV/TSN/Rogers consortium taking the Vancouver and London Olympics, would be hurt even more.
* I suspect "HNIC" is quite profitable for the CBC, despite the rights fees paid. Losing "HNIC" would probably cost the CBC a lot of revenue, which could affect the network's other programming, especially as CBC is mandated to broadcast as much Canadian-produced programming as possible.
Until the CTV/TSN/Rogers Consortium got the Vancouver and London Olympics, I would have thought that there was no way that "HNIC" would ever not be on the CBC. But now, I'm beginning to think that it will be a major surprise if CBC does keep "HNIC" after 2008.
And if CTV is successful in grabbing the NHL starting in 2008/2009, will the network be able to hire away some top "HNIC" announcers and be able to get the rights to the name "Hockey Night In Canada"??
In the past, it would have been a no-brainer: CBC would have renewed their deal for "Hockey Night In Canada". But after last year's stunning announcement that a consortium of CTV, TSN and Rogers out-bid the CBC for TV rights to the 2010 Winter Olympics (Vancouver) and 2012 Summer Olympics (London), I would think that CTV is going to agressively bid for the "HNIC" package.
I would think that if CTV agressively goes after "HNIC" that there might not be any way the CBC will be able to match or exceed CTV's bid.
Although Global could make a bid, I believe they're only available to about 85% of Canadian TV homes, whereas I thought both CBC and CTV were available to nearly all of Canada's television homes. With Global in slightly fewer homes than CBC and CTV, I doubt the NHL would seriously consider a Global bid.
For CTV, there would be many positives in grabbing "HNIC":
* It is my understanding that CTV's ratings are strong six of the seven nights of the week. Their only weak spot is Saturdays, thanks to "HNIC" on CBC.
* CTV could include a bid for "HNIC" as part of an even bigger deal involving sister company TSN, CTV-owned TV stations in the six Canadian-based NHL cities, and Rogers (CTV, TSN and Rogers of course are the consirtium that won the Olympics). Perhaps this consortium could also bring in Leafs TV (the regional channel in Toronto owned by the Maple Leafs) and bid on all English-language NHL television rights in Canada.
Such a deal could:
(1) give the CTV network rights to all regular-season Saturday games of all six Canadian-based NHL teams (about 25 games a year for each of the six Canadian-based teams), early-round weekend playoff games, all playoff games of the six Canadian-based teams, and the Stanley Cup Finals;
(2) give TSN ten games each of the six Canadian-based teams as well as exclusive Canadian national cable rights for the NHL including early-round midweek playoff games involving U.S. based teams;
(3) give CTV stations in Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto, Edmonton, Calgary and Vancouver fifteen midweek regular-season games of their local NHL teams;
(4) give Leafs TV 20 regular-season Toronto Maple Leafs' games for local telecast in the Toronto area;
(5) give Rogers Sportsnet the remaining regular-season games of Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto, Calgary, Edmonton and Vancouver (12 games for Toronto, 32 games for each of the other five Canadian clubs).
* Establish CTV as "The Leader In Canadian Television Sports" since they'd be the broadcast-network home of the NHL and the Olympics.
* Give CTV even more dominance in prime-time.
* And give CTV the prestige of taking over the most successful program in Canadian television history.
* CTV could end up winning higher ratings for "HNIC" because they would be able to promote the games on a prime-time schedule that attracts many more viewers than that of the CBC.
* CTV and sister network TSN have already formed a consortium with Rogers for the Olympics, so it's not beyond the realm of possibility that these companies might form a consortium to lock-up the NHL.
* And based on the prime-time schedule (7-11 P.M.) for CTV flagship CFTO-9 Toronto this week (March 12th-18th), adding the "HNIC" doubleheader to CTV would double the amount of "Canadian content" on that network's prime-time schedule.
CBC would also lose big:
* "Hockey Night In Canada" is by far CBC's most popular program. If they lose it, CBC's sports portfolio, already wounded with the CTV/TSN/Rogers consortium taking the Vancouver and London Olympics, would be hurt even more.
* I suspect "HNIC" is quite profitable for the CBC, despite the rights fees paid. Losing "HNIC" would probably cost the CBC a lot of revenue, which could affect the network's other programming, especially as CBC is mandated to broadcast as much Canadian-produced programming as possible.
Until the CTV/TSN/Rogers Consortium got the Vancouver and London Olympics, I would have thought that there was no way that "HNIC" would ever not be on the CBC. But now, I'm beginning to think that it will be a major surprise if CBC does keep "HNIC" after 2008.
And if CTV is successful in grabbing the NHL starting in 2008/2009, will the network be able to hire away some top "HNIC" announcers and be able to get the rights to the name "Hockey Night In Canada"??