Nu_Roo_2 said:
Jason Roberts said:
Nu_Roo_2 said:
Moving to FM wouldn't help WTVN much. WTVN's demos are getting old, and younger demos aren't suddenly going to start flocking to Rush, Sean and Corby just because they're on FM. Even aside from demos that format is showing signs of slipping. Talk has been doing pretty badly across much of the country the last few books. People talk about classic rock growing long in the tooth, but that applies even more to talk. It's not uncommon to hear a twenty-something walking down the street singing a 60s, 70s or 80s hit, but I don't hear them talking about what Rush said. I'd wager that even if Conners was there WTVN would still be hurting, though maybe not quite as badly.
You don't have to get the teenagers...lots of people between 35 & 54 will listen to talk radio. Just not on AM.
Jason, your selectivity about "this format is viable" vs. "this one's listeners are dying off" kind of perplexes me. In OctoberHubbard's WDRV The Drive in Chicago was #5 25-54 (and probably even higher 35-54) in that hugely competitive market with primarily old-line classic rock that you've said only appeals to people with one foot in the grave. Yet when an FM talker is able to snare a decent chunk of 35-54 that's viable. Huh?
Nu-roo: I think you're kinda talking apples vs. oranges here. I just looked at Drive and Q-FM on Mediabase. While both stations have been around for quite a while, both are playing a significant component of what I'll call "Today's Classic Rock" (New buzz word alert!). And yes, there is such a thing. Quite a few classic rock stations are moving away from the Jimi Hendrix/CSN & Y/Grateful Dead, early Zep 70's sound and focusing more on a sound from 1976 or so to 1992 or 1993. That will get you the 35-54 audience if you're playing the right music in a significant amount...and both stations are playing at least 50% of that newer focused classic rock, or more. That's the audience, by the way, that was the 18-34's who "discovered" Star 107.9 when we put it on the air about 15 years ago. I'll admit today (with 20/20 hindsight) that I just didn't have the research available at first to tell me that the rock product drove the boat. The 80's rock sound (which goes back to about '76) seems to now be starting to drive the boat at Classic Rock. If you keep your music in line with that audience, a station tends to continue to do well. On the other hand, if you're top heavy with music that primarily appeals to the 60 plus crowd, you're dead.
Now, to talk radio: It's not just the talk hosts who produce the ratings. I told our boss here in Dayton years ago, "if we're going to say we're a news station, we've got to BE the news station."
News, especially local news, weather and traffic IMHO, is a critical component to the success of a news talk station. Take that away...and lower ratings tend to result. WABC/New York cut it's staff, So, too WLS-AM and WTVN, too. What's happened? Add to it the retirement of B.C., the loss of service elements. None of it is helpful, though it may be reality for them. And God help them if they end up with a traffic reporter who can't pronounce "Olentangy"!
FM is not a cure-all, either. Look at the struggling Tier 2 AM talkers that jumped on the FM bandwagon thinking it would help them...and it didn't. No, you have to have the product...the top talk of the day, local news, traffic and weather. You can't have two day old forecasts slip onto the air because the computer played the wrong file when you were in automation without a producer in the studio. News needs to be 24/7 or darned close to it. If you're not 24/7, you need to have plans in place to cover an emergency with staff on-call to come in at a moment's notice.
Can FM help a news talker? It did for us. Our demos are nicely 25-54, largely concentrated above age 35. But, we're fortunate to have news resources well and beyond what an average radio station typically has today, though a successful news-talker could merge with other platforms and make alliances to offset that.
But, I think it's way too early to suggest that because some newstalkers are faultering right now that it has to do with conservatism or politics. I don't deny a shift in the demographics in the country...but there are young conservatives on college campuses...Rush "Grandbabies" if you will, and there's plenty of audience to grow into the format. But...not on AM radio. AM radio, I hate to say, probably has 20-30 years, or less before most go off to that great regenerative circuit in the sky, absent something allowing for band parity. And, I also think Newstalk, like CHR, is an expensive format. If you're not going to give it the resources it needs, and the audience wants, don't get into it.