Goat Rodeo Cowboy said:
BRNout said:
Ken said:
Sure the storm wasn't as powerful as they were saying.
And, with this sentence, you just made my case for me. No, it wasn't as powerful as they were saying. Not nearly. Not even close. They hyped it up to be Katrina II and, in the end, it was not even as damaging as a decent-sized nor'easter. Over hyped.
The expected path of the storm shown on television had that cone-shaped projection. It went more to the left than the center of the projection cone path. Being over land drained the storm of energy, thus lower winds. If the storm had gone slightly to the right side of the cone it would have had more of the storm over water, maybe totally over water up past the carolinas. Hurricanes retain their strength, gain strength when traveling over water.... gain strength like CRAZY over warm water. If that storm had stayed on the right edge of the projected path, if that storm had its center still over water as it neared NYC,
we wouldn't be having this conversation this morning. We might be having a conversation about why the media didn't do a better job warning people.
Back to the question of why do the stupid media subject us ALL to information useful only to the people living in the northeaster corridor?
Some day a few years down the line when I come home some evening and find my local media warning me about the hurricane headed my way, how do I know how to process the truckload of information being dumped on me. If I watch the coverage of other events in other parts of the country and see how reality differs from what the media told me up front (some storms turn out meaner than predicted, some storms turn out to be little ------ cats) then I have some "collected wisdom" to decide when to pack the wife and kids in the car and run-like-hell (Boys and Girls, can you say "Katrina"?) and when to grab some plywood and flash light batteries and just enjoy the event.
If I never watch other peolples weather in progress, then I become one of Quadraphonics neighbors living in a 3 foot wide cardboard box. Rumor has it those boxes don't work well in either hurricanes or tornados. ;D
Okay, you make two points that I think deserve a response.
1) About the path of the hurricane: yes and (mostly) no to your comment.
You correctly point out that the cone of the hurricane allowed for a variation in outcomes. However, where you are mistaken has to do with climatology. This was where most of the forecasters fell down on the job. You see, the projected path (which they DID get right) tended to cut off too much moisture from the storm as it always would. And, water temperatures off the coasts of DE, NJ or NY - though warmer than usual this year - are waaay too cool to power 1/2 of a hurricane. The minimum water temp needed to do that would be 80 F - higher is better as the eye was along the coastline. Had the storm veered eastward into the water, it would have maintained a little more strength (cat 1-2), but also missed that supposed hit on NYC. Yes, eastern Long Island, Rhode Island and the Cape and Islands would have taken a punch; but there's nothing unusual about that.
Had the storm veered to the left (west) a bit more, it would have lost even more wind strength, again allowing the drama that the media hyped to die a slow death. No matter what the storm did, it - like most tropical storms - had a lot of moisture and was going to dump a lot of rain. But, again, this is not without precedent. Rather than concentrating their efforts in Battery Park and on Mid Atlantic boardwalks, the real public service would have been done in upstate NY, eastern PA and Vermont. And that would have been the case no matter which side of the "cone" the storm hit. This is because of topography AND the fact that these areas were already rain soaked. Of course, that wasn't going to happen because most of our media are myopic and - ultimately - provincial. They live in New York and have a Manhattanite's view of the world. By the way, you'll notice that the flood conditions weren't as bad farther east - that's because NH and ME have had less rain in the past month. We knew that beforehand too.
This was NEVER going to be Katrina. Not ever. It's simply too difficult to line all the physics up for that to happen so far north and into such hilly areas. The prevailing winds ALWAYS grab these storms and speed them up. The cooler waters temper their strength - unless they stay far enough east to tap into the Gulf Stream (hitting Nantucket) - and the hills of the interior northeast break them up. Not to mention all the dry air being funneled in from the Midwest which killed off the southern half of the storm once it hit New Jersey.
A few competent meteorologists tried to point these things out, but were drowned out (no pun intended) by the others who were going after this "big" story. People who were flooded out tended to live in areas prone to flooding. Again, dramatic pictures were obtained, but I've seen the same in Vermont (for example) during a big March rainstorm. Any meteorologist worth his salt would have told you that Irene wasn't going to be the disaster of the century. Getting it right is very important, you know. And no, they did NOT get this right.
As for your comment about the "3 foot box", that's a convenient exaggeration in order to make a point. In my case, it fails miserably. You're just taking the anti-hype comments to an extreme end and - as is usually the case - that ends up being incorrect. I watch the news to see what happens around the world. And, with tons of family and friends in New England, I was very interested in this story.
But the hype was shameless. And the 24/7 news coverage was (way) over the top. Nor did I need to have multiple channels covering every damn New York Municipal press conference. One could tell that this was of primary interest to the people who work at the aforementioned news channels because they live there. Whether it mattered to people elsewhere - or added one thing to the coverage - was clearly not taken into account.
One last point about the "box": Houston has gotten more than one big hurricane over the past decade and I also have interests there. One such example (Rita) resulted in friends and colleagues being forced to evacuate along with millions of others. We saw news coverage on this but NOT the sort of 24/7, incessant, drop-everything, sky's-the-limit obsession that Irene enjoyed. At times, I searched hard for updates.
So no, your comment is not valid in my case. I do want to see news from other places, but commiserate with the level of the event. And news that is relevant. We didn't need to drop Libya and every other world story for this. But it was fun to see the reporters pretending to weather this "horrible" storm in New York while passers-by frolicked in the background. What a joke.....