I really do hope they make it, but emotionally-driven initiatives don't always work out.
That is very true. What is the most important to the future of a public station sold by a college is how quick the school wants it out of their life. As academia is very political, all it takes is a new president looking to trim the fat no matter what the cost is in goodwill.
A great example is WXEL-FM in West Palm Beach. Owned by Barry University, they wanted to quickly unload the NPR station. They did not want to go through the year or more of transitional costs and negative media to float the station off as a "community" licensee. They unloaded the station to MN Public Radio who promptly turned it into a repeater of its Miami classical outlet -- two years later, they unload the stations to a religious outfit at fire sale prices to show a bit of fiscal restraint for its mostly non-Floridian contributor base.
The only the Friends of 88.5 have going for them is that PLU will make it quite easy on them to separate from the school. They'll get to slowly transition out of the on-campus digs...most, if not all of the 88.5 staff will end up with the "new" 88.5 with some sort of amicable separation from PLU's benefits system.
The KUNC-FM signal out in Northern Colorado is commonly used as a model for how 88.5 was to be "saved" by the community. University of N Colorado wasn't chomping at the bit to get the station out of their hair. When the friends purchased it, things slowly transitioned to KUNC being an independent station. Betcha the university ate a few costs to transition the station off their hands!
It can be argued KUNC is at its strongest these days...and recently took the keys to a Denver rimshot that now runs a AAA format.
If Pacific Lutheran wanted KPLU off their backs quickly, they would have quickly sold the license to UW without offering it to a community group. Some Wallingford basement dwellers would complain and threaten to go to the FCC with improprieties, and SHOCKER! The FCC looks at them, laughs, and nothing happens.
Right now, we'd probably be in the second month of Planet Jazz from UW on 88.5 KPJZ! The basement dwellers would have moved on to some other social issue to protest, and KPLU would be a distant memory!
I'm curious what the folks in Grays Harbor think about all this...after all, KPLU's translators are really the only NPR station that can be received in most of the area!
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