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KYSR-2

Kent,

I forget whether or not you are local to Los Angeles, but if you are, could you honor the request I made when I started this thread?<P ID="signature">______________


</P>
 
> > By the way in the latest PC Magazine they are saying that
> > Satellite radio is poised to explode during the next two
> > years or so. It's on page 19 lower right.
> > 19 million subscribers + by the end of 2007.
>
> That is pretty optimistic. That would mean selling 25% more
> subscriptions in 2 years than in the last 4. And the growth
> has not been incremental so far.
>
> 19 million receivers is just about enough to get satellite a
> 1% share of national listening.
>

Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents the cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income. Terrestrial radio can ill afford to lose that 1% based on its poor revenue gains last year and outlook for this year (in a good economy no less).

The best part about satellite radio is I don't have to listen to 6, 8 or 10 units in a row when I'm listening to music. That is something terrestrial radio can't or won't ever give me.

With terrestrial radio execs thinking that things like "Free FM" and "HD-2" are the saviors of the industry and its profit margins, it's even more doomed than I thought.
 
>
> Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents the
> cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.

No, it does not. It represents mostly people who were long uninterested in terrestrial radio and who were light or non-listeners. There is nothing upscale about stern's listeners or those of the gangsta rap channel.

> Terrestrial radio can ill afford to lose that 1% based on
> its poor revenue gains last year and outlook for this year
> (in a good economy no less).

Radio will gain 3.5% this year. Slow growth, but it is an 85 year old industry.
>
> The best part about satellite radio is I don't have to
> listen to 6, 8 or 10 units in a row when I'm listening to
> music. That is something terrestrial radio can't or won't
> ever give me.

And for which you pay. Some people would just as sooon not pay, and get it free.
>
> With terrestrial radio execs thinking that things like "Free
> FM" and "HD-2" are the saviors of the industry and its
> profit margins, it's even more doomed than I thought.


HD will offer, over a course of several years, a quantum increas in the number of offerings in each market. And they will be free. For many people, finding an HD 2 format that they were paying for on XM or Sirius is going to be enough to stop paying for satellite.
 
> >
> > Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents
> the
> > cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.
>
> No, it does not. It represents mostly people who were long
> uninterested in terrestrial radio and who were light or
> non-listeners. There is nothing upscale about stern's
> listeners or those of the gangsta rap channel.

Absolutely incorrect and Bob Moore woud tell you the same. Lets start with Stern. If you wanted a one-stop to buy the 25-54 male listener in Los Angeles, KLSX was the place buy. How much did KLSX bill last year on those non-upscale males?

XM and Sirius listeners were not "light" terrestrail radio listeners. Not unless you're reading from a terrestrial radio (un-true) fact sheet.

I don't think anyone has written about a gangsta rap-channel here. I doubt that has been a compelling reason for most anyone to subscribe. But being able to listen to the Fox News Channel, CNN, MSNBC, all 40's/50's/60's/70's/80's/90's channels, dance music channels, various r&b channels for me is.

>
> > Terrestrial radio can ill afford to lose that 1% based on
> > its poor revenue gains last year and outlook for this year
>
> > (in a good economy no less).
>
> Radio will gain 3.5% this year. Slow growth, but it is an 85
> year old industry.

And one that faces more downgrades from Wall Street this year. How will it be in bad economy?

> >
> > The best part about satellite radio is I don't have to
> > listen to 6, 8 or 10 units in a row when I'm listening to
> > music. That is something terrestrial radio can't or won't
> > ever give me.
>
> And for which you pay. Some people would just as sooon not
> pay, and get it free.

That's exactly what the execs at CBS Radio said about "Free FM". And what a loser it's going to be.

> >
> > With terrestrial radio execs thinking that things like
> "Free
> > FM" and "HD-2" are the saviors of the industry and its
> > profit margins, it's even more doomed than I thought.
>
>
> HD will offer, over a course of several years, a quantum
> increas in the number of offerings in each market. And they
> will be free.

No, it is not "FREE". They must invest in a new receiver. With more poor quality programming that isn't isn't driving them to their main product today. So what's that incentive? Besides, we already know broadcasters won't know how to market it. The tuners out on the market now, in the few places you can find them, aren't user friendly either. Quad meets AM Stereo meets HD-2.

"Several" years is too long. Please fill us in on which car manufacturers have signed contracts and starting in which model year. Then I'll fill in who has signed contracts with XM and Sirius for in-dash car radios. That's an easy one. None vs. all.

For many people, finding an HD 2 format that
> they were paying for on XM or Sirius is going to be enough
> to stop paying for satellite.
>
Stop making me laugh! Yes, I'll be waiting for 4 dance channels on L.A. HD-2!

HD-2 will never be able to deliver the amount of formats and areawide/nationwide signal coverage that XM or Sirius can. How far could an HD-2 format on a Class A in Los Angeles really serve me.

Now, shall I get my order in for the new Sirius/Sprint PCS phone? Where is that HD-2 phone? Nothing like being BEHIND the times (as always). That is the strength behind today's terrestrial radio executive now isn't it?
 
> Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents the
> cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.

You do realize, Glenn, that you just made an elitist remark.

By extension, what you are saying is that 99% of the people don't matter to radio.<P ID="signature">______________


</P>
 
> > Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents
> the
> > cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.
>
> You do realize, Glenn, that you just made an elitist remark.
>
>
> By extension, what you are saying is that 99% of the people
> don't matter to radio.
>

You are welcome to your own interpretation.
That certainly isn't mine nor does your statement make any sense to me.

I wouldn't be happy about losing one listener especially one with disposable income. One that is so interested in radio, they are willing to PAY for it every month.

Maybe you can tell us which radio station don't follow the income and spending habits of their listeners? Yes, I hear spots for 40 ouncers on K-Mozart and Rolls Royce spots on Latino 96.3...maybe it was just a dream...
 
> >
> > Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents
> the
> > cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.
>
> No, it does not. It represents mostly people who were long
> uninterested in terrestrial radio and who were light or
> non-listeners. There is nothing upscale about stern's
> listeners or those of the gangsta rap channel.
>
> > Terrestrial radio can ill afford to lose that 1% based on
> > its poor revenue gains last year and outlook for this year
>
> > (in a good economy no less).
>
> Radio will gain 3.5% this year. Slow growth, but it is an 85
> year old industry.
> >
> > The best part about satellite radio is I don't have to
> > listen to 6, 8 or 10 units in a row when I'm listening to
> > music. That is something terrestrial radio can't or won't
> > ever give me.
>
> And for which you pay. Some people would just as sooon not
> pay, and get it free.
> >
> > With terrestrial radio execs thinking that things like
> "Free
> > FM" and "HD-2" are the saviors of the industry and its
> > profit margins, it's even more doomed than I thought.
>
>
> HD will offer, over a course of several years, a quantum
> increas in the number of offerings in each market. And they
> will be free. For many people, finding an HD 2 format that
> they were paying for on XM or Sirius is going to be enough
> to stop paying for satellite.
>
Before any of these new HD Radio Stations and Satellite Radio gain any real ground they will be overshadowed by Motorola's I-Radio with over 435+ channels that will be able to move with you anywhere, car, home stereo, whereever you jog or play. This sounds like the real deal. What do you all think? Have you checked out the I-Radio site yet? Is it a winner?
 
> Josh had asked whether or not the HD-2 channel on KYSR would
> be broadbased 80s or limited to what is in the KYSR library.
> I theorized that they would use the 80s tracks already in
> the KYSR library, as well as in the KBIG and KHHT libraries
> (now that I think about it, maybe some from the KOST
> library?).
>
> If anyone has a HD receiver and could spend a couple of
> hours logging what they are playing, I think we'd all be
> interested in seeing the playlist ...
>

KM

I checked out KIOI's 80s channel and it's pretty Broad Based. I've heard everything from Rick Astley to Cher to Chaka Kahn as well as the New Wave stuff too. I can't say 100% for sure that KSYR-2 will take a similar direction, but it seems with the Kiss CHRs, their bilingual format seems to be a national one just localized with sweepers and a few jocks, so mabye KSYR-2 will be just like KIOI-2.
<P ID="signature">______________
Happy 20th Birthday Power 106

JOSH, Moderating the whole Radio-Info radio state of California and Indiana too!

www.myspace.com/radiogeek500</P>
 
> Kent,
>
> I forget whether or not you are local to Los Angeles, but if
> you are, could you honor the request I made when I started
> this thread?
>

Sorry I am out of the area for now. Else I would be all over it!
 
>
> HD-2 will never be able to deliver the amount of formats and
> areawide/nationwide signal coverage that XM or Sirius can.
> How far could an HD-2 format on a Class A in Los Angeles
> really serve me.
>
> Now, shall I get my order in for the new Sirius/Sprint PCS
> phone? Where is that HD-2 phone? Nothing like being BEHIND
> the times (as always). That is the strength behind today's
> terrestrial radio executive now isn't it?
>


And how many people do you really think are going to go for this phone technology? Heck how many people stil have blinking 12:00 on their old VCR??? What kind of audio will I expect from this unit? What happens when I want to make a call and the system is tied up with people listening to music? Can you imagine what kind of bandwidth is needed at 8AM on a Monday?

Yes you will have innovaters. But I doubt that Larry Lunchbox (Joe Sixpacks older brother) is going to take an interest. You may say the same about HD Radio as well.
 
> And how many people do you really think are going to go for
> this phone technology? Heck how many people stil have
> blinking 12:00 on their old VCR???

OTOH, the VCR is going the way of the dinosaur now. Have you noticed that there are only four VHS tape manufacturers left? (Sony, Maxell, TDK & JVC.)

Technology keeps evolving. Eventually no one will be manufacturing a "phone only" cell phone. Already it has become difficult to find one that doesn't have a built-in camera (you want to talk about wasted bandwidth ... how much is taken up by people sending pictures back and forth between their cell phones?) and I pray my old Motorola v-series phone doesn't ever develop fatal problems.<P ID="signature">______________


</P>
 
> >
> Before any of these new HD Radio Stations and Satellite
> Radio gain any real ground they will be overshadowed by
> Motorola's I-Radio with over 435+ channels that will be able
> to move with you anywhere, car, home stereo, whereever you
> jog or play. This sounds like the real deal. What do you all
> think? Have you checked out the I-Radio site yet? Is it a
> winner?

This is a frist generation of what will probably be the distribution method of choice in the distant future. However, it is subscription based. And the ocntent providers are, in a high percentage of cases, your friends in radio.
 
> > > Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents
> > the
> > > cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.
> >
> > You do realize, Glenn, that you just made an elitist
> remark.
> >
> >
> > By extension, what you are saying is that 99% of the
> people
> > don't matter to radio.
> >
>
> You are welcome to your own interpretation.
> That certainly isn't mine nor does your statement make any
> sense to me.

Okay, I will explain myself. Hopefully I will do a better job than you did explaining yourself, if your statement was so open to misinterpretation.

You were responding to a statement that satellite was taking away about 1% of terrestrial radio listenership (the presumption being that the rest of satellite's subscribers were not listening to a significant degree to terrestrial).

Your statement is quoted at the top of this post. I interpret it as meaning that only 1% of the terrestrial listeners -- the ones satellite is "stealing" -- are the ones that advertisers are targeting. By extension, I interpret that as meaning the other 99% aren't worth the effort.

I'm sure we are playing a semantics game. But that is often the result when statements are phrased sloppily.<P ID="signature">______________


</P>
 
> > >
> > > Unfortunately for terrestrial radio, that 1% represents
> > the
> > > cream of the crop of consumers with disposable income.
> >
> > No, it does not. It represents mostly people who were long
>
> > uninterested in terrestrial radio and who were light or
> > non-listeners. There is nothing upscale about stern's
> > listeners or those of the gangsta rap channel.
>
> Absolutely incorrect and Bob Moore woud tell you the same.
> Lets start with Stern. If you wanted a one-stop to buy the
> 25-54 male listener in Los Angeles, KLSX was the place buy.
> How much did KLSX bill last year on those non-upscale males?

The one stop place to buy 25-54 males in LA was not KLSX, it is KSCA.

Pure male demos are a nice sale, as the low rated 12+ sprots stations will show.

Stern is hard to replace on the individual stations he was on, and KLSX will have a hard time replacing the revenue. But you may have noticed, a lot of Stern revenue was from bail bondsmen and similar stuff that did not mind the controversial environment.

But to use Stern as an indication of the entire industry is a bit limited form my perspective.
>
>
> XM and Sirius listeners were not "light" terrestrail radio
> listeners. Not unless you're reading from a terrestrial
> radio (un-true) fact sheet.

Much research has been done on XM subscribers at the local level. Most tended to be persons who did not find what they wanted on terrestrial radio, and were non or light users. In fact, all the instructions to programmers at the XM start up meetings had to do with getting the light and dissatisfied users that were the low hanging fruit... about 20 million of them over 18. So far, satellite has not even got half of them.
>
> I don't think anyone has written about a gangsta rap-channel
> here.

Sorry, attempts at sarcasm on the web often fall flat. My intent was to point out that channels like the reggaeton one appeal to groups that are small locally but may be significant nationally and who have no station anywhere to settle on.

> I doubt that has been a compelling reason for most
> anyone to subscribe. But being able to listen to the Fox
> News Channel, CNN, MSNBC, all 40's/50's/60's/70's/80's/90's
> channels, dance music channels, various r&b channels for me
> is.

Here you have a great example. The 50's and 60's channels offer music terrestrial radio can or should not play due to demos. The 55 plus listener is pretty much ignored on terrestrial, and there is a fertile field in serving that group on satellite. It is no loss to terrestrial, though, as we are not, by choice, serving it to begin with.
>
> And one that faces more downgrades from Wall Street this
> year. How will it be in bad economy?

Actually, the fairly beatten up stocks are getting buy recommendations now.
>
> That's exactly what the execs at CBS Radio said about "Free
> FM". And what a loser it's going to be.

we don't know that. Give it 2 years. No talk format matures fast. It took KFI the better part of a decade to beat KABC, remember.
>>
> No, it is not "FREE". They must invest in a new receiver.
> With more poor quality programming that isn't isn't driving
> them to their main product today.

Radio has lost less than 2% of its cume in 40 years. I suggest you are exaggerating the state of terrestrial radio.

As many who have analyze Arbitron diaries, the 8 million satellite receivers do not register enough listening to even get a half a share in any market yet. So, even if they double by the end of 2007 as they believe, that is less than a 0.8 share. Most comes from fixed, in car systems, and in car is less than 30% of radio listening nationally.

> So what's that incentive?
> Besides, we already know broadcasters won't know how to
> market it. The tuners out on the market now, in the few
> places you can find them, aren't user friendly either. Quad
> meets AM Stereo meets HD-2.

The receivers for the mass market are not even manufactured yet. The design specs just went out 60 days ago, and ther eis further chipset design going on. the industry is following these steps: build the facilities, introduce programming, wait for receivers to start to arrive from China, and then market.
>
> "Several" years is too long. Please fill us in on which car
> manufacturers have signed contracts and starting in which
> model year. Then I'll fill in who has signed contracts with
> XM and Sirius for in-dash car radios. That's an easy one.
> None vs. all.

HD is free. I was asked $650 for the satellite option on my car. I turned it down.

HD is in the tail end of the equip-the-staitons phase now. There is no marketing going on, and it is on purpose.

> >
> Stop making me laugh! Yes, I'll be waiting for 4 dance
> channels on L.A. HD-2!

Actually, the idustry has carfully made sure that there are not duplicated formats from main channel to HD 2 and that the broadest interest non-availble formats are on HD2... things like country andoldies in NY, for example.
>
> HD-2 will never be able to deliver the amount of formats and
> areawide/nationwide signal coverage that XM or Sirius can.
> How far could an HD-2 format on a Class A in Los Angeles
> really serve me.

Farther than the usable main channel analog audio, per our tests on KSCA and KLVE.
>
> Now, shall I get my order in for the new Sirius/Sprint PCS
> phone? Where is that HD-2 phone? Nothing like being BEHIND
> the times (as always). That is the strength behind today's
> terrestrial radio executive now isn't it?

Agian, 94% of the people use terresrial radio. Many do not want to pay, and will not. You have made a choice. I am guessing you are over 55 if you like 50's oldies. That puts you right in the perfect range for satellite as terrestrial radio does not serve you on purpose.
>
 
>
> I wouldn't be happy about losing one listener especially one
> with disposable income. One that is so interested in radio,
> they are willing to PAY for it every month.
>
> Maybe you can tell us which radio station don't follow the
> income and spending habits of their listeners? Yes, I hear
> spots for 40 ouncers on K-Mozart and Rolls Royce spots on
> Latino 96.3...maybe it was just a dream...

Socioeconomic level is not usually the main criteria for transacitonal raido buys. Numbmers are.

In fact, you have Lexus on KSCA and KLVE... because several of the LA dealers sell more than half their new cars to Hisapnics now.

Latino is going to get the same kind of business any 12-34 station does, and since 12-34 of any ethnicity generally don-t have the income to buy a Benz or a Lexus or a Rolls, you will not find them on KIIS, KPWR or KXOL. That is a very bad example.

In fact, I checked upper income listening for Fall, and KLSX is barely in the top 10.
 
> Socioeconomic level is not usually the main criteria for
> transacitonal raido buys. Numbmers are.

If you think socio-economic criteria doesn't factor into radio sales you're kidding youself. It's called "Qualitative" data and it factors into radio sales as much as numbers (more so if you don't have numbers) Believe me, if you can demonstrate that a larger percentage of your listenership makes 75K than the station beating you in any demographic, you're on the buy.
 
> > Socioeconomic level is not usually the main criteria for
> > transacitonal raido buys. Numbmers are.
>
> If you think socio-economic criteria doesn't factor into
> radio sales you're kidding youself. It's called
> "Qualitative" data and it factors into radio sales as much
> as numbers (more so if you don't have numbers) Believe me,
> if you can demonstrate that a larger percentage of your
> listenership makes 75K than the station beating you in any
> demographic, you're on the buy.

It help, but most buys are pure rankers vs. CPP.
>
 
> > And how many people do you really think are going to go
> for
> > this phone technology? Heck how many people stil have
> > blinking 12:00 on their old VCR???
>
> OTOH, the VCR is going the way of the dinosaur now. Have
> you noticed that there are only four VHS tape manufacturers
> left? (Sony, Maxell, TDK & JVC.)
>
> Technology keeps evolving. Eventually no one will be
> manufacturing a "phone only" cell phone. Already it has
> become difficult to find one that doesn't have a built-in
> camera (you want to talk about wasted bandwidth ... how much
> is taken up by people sending pictures back and forth
> between their cell phones?) and I pray my old Motorola
> v-series phone doesn't ever develop fatal problems.
>

That was kind of my point. There are a lot of VCRs out there and people are using them. There are quite a lot of people that are not into the hight tech thing and will go out and buy a cell phone that can receive radio.

How many people really use the camera in their phones? I have a camera as well but rarely use it.
 
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