"Just some friendly advise. Crawford better get some ammo and load the shotgun real quick because I have a very strong feeling that WLGZ is going to have serious competition in the very near future."
Hey, Mark, which station in either the Entercom, Clear Channel or Stephens clusters do you think is most likely to change?
You could be on to something interesting here.
Every market of 1 million or more metro population can support a personality classic hits format station profitably, even in these tough economic times (maybe ESPECIALLY in these tough times, since if it hasn't got format competition already in place it's likely to be a 25-54 winner). To make it really work you need substantially full market coverage, and that means a full class B or at least a B1 signal. (A smaller, lower power and more limited coverage station won't get the maximum out of the format since it'll need siginificant suburban reach especially to get into offices and suburban homes in the outer ring burbs.) Of the full B's on the air now, almost every one of them except maybe WBEE and WBZA , which are healthy, has both some pluses and some weaknesses. (And Fox 95.1 is clearly off the table since it's about to be substantially rebuilt around Wease and will probably do well with that remake.) But the one that may be the biggest underperformer relative to its signal reach and to its own past is probably Drive 100.5.
If I were CC's cluster manager and wanted to juice up Drive's numbers and billing bigtime, I'd think seriously about recruiting a few popular jocks with market history for dayparts from 6 AM to midnight plus a couple strong weekenders. Then I'd research the WBBF, WAXC and WPXY playlists from about 1964 to 1989, and build a record library around the biggest local hits from that whole period...gets you the middle to late boomers born post-1950 and the leading edge of the Gen-Xers born through about 1977-78. Then I'd try to get the WAXC call letters, call Jon Wolfert at JAM Productions for an upbeat and modern jingle package, and ask my cluster newsroom to add some info content into morning and afternoon drive dayparts even if it meant hiring someone additional to be the voice of it. In short, do a full WCBS-FM style remake. It'd have a good chance to get similar results...a top 5 ranking 12+ and top 3 25-54, and some real $$$ in the door from both local and national spot business at the expense of competing clusters (but with minimal impact on their own cluster's other properties).
Entercom could conceivably tweak one of its underperforming B's, or Stephens might think of repositioning 101.3 to get the same results if they think Warm's really about to get cold. But each of those moves might be a lot riskier in terms of likely reward. Seems to me that CC has the least to lose since Drive's stuck in a low gear...
But hey, I'm just having a little speculative fun here...I'm not a program director, I just play one online.
