> Open formats in Boston at the moment include all genres of
> Spanish, but most likely would include Spanish AC (like Amor
> 890), Spanish Tropical (like Mega 1150/890/1400), and Hurban
> (like Univision's "La Kalle"), smooth jazz, hot talk (like
> Free FM), rhythmic AC (like Star 93.7), a true urban AC, a
> classic soul station... the list goes on and on.
>
The time isn't right for someone to flip an FM to Spanish, but I could see some form of Spanish language programming pop up on 1510 once Paul Allen finally throws in the towel at WWZN. Rhythmic AC was executed as well as it could be on 93.7 and it didn't work. Most markets don't have a station like this. I can't see Boston getting one again anytime soon. As long as WILD-FM is doing what it's doing, you won't see anyone flip to a gold-based Urban AC or Rhythmic AC.
> I don't see anyone changing format on January 1, but I think
> that 2006 will be an interesting year for the Boston market:
What is with the magical date of January first? Not too many stations flip formats on that day. Most of the time, flips seem to happen a few weeks before up to a few weeks after the spring and fall books. Most radio management folks are taking vacation the last two weeks of December following the fall book and the LAST thing they want to be doing is prepping for a January 1st format change.
>
> We're destined to lose Classical 102.5, which will free up a
> huge signal for something new; and the aftermath of that
> change will certainly shake things up a bit.
>
If Entercom winds up getting 102.5, my guess is that WAAF will move there, freeing up 107.3 for something else. WVEI-FM maybe?
>
> We'll also be getting a Black talk format on 1090 WILD,
> which will leave the future of Black Gospel station "Praise
> 1090" in question.
>
The Radio One talk format is only running from 10am-7pm Monday through Friday. WILD will run the gospel format mornings and weekends.
> The construction of the new 1200/1330/1600 complex will
> likely get underway, and will lead to tremendous signal
> improvements for these three stations.
>
I don't think signal improvements will help 1330 and 1600 all that much. It's possible that WRCA could improve their standing a little. Maybe. The big winner here is WKOX, and I think that the progressive talk format will stay after the move to 50K. With a better signal in a mid-term election year in a liberal market, WKOX should improve in the ratings.
> If Infinity's Free FM becomes successful, you can expect
> that they'll want to put elements of the network (or the
> whole thing) on a Boston affiliate.
>
Everyone here seems to think that WBCN is "safe." Don't bet on it. If the ratings really tank after Howard leaves and the Patriots season ends, Infinity will be tempted to put more talk on 104.1....or 100.7.
> What will Entercom do with WAAF, which is suffering from
> some fairly poor ratings?
>
If they can get WCRB, look for WAAF to move there. If not, look for more of the same. Considering WMKK's lackluster performance, the last thing Entercom wants to do is blow up their other FM, especially since where 107.3's transmitter will finally end up is in question right now.
> What will WTKK do if Jay Severin doesn't return, and if Michael Graham is forced out the door by controversial comments?
They'll hire some other guy to to afternoons, or just put Hannity there. Considering all the questionable changes over at WRKO and 96.9's extension of Imus's contract, WTKK will remain talk for the forseeable future.
> Will WRKO's new programs "Boston This Morning" and "Boston Tonight" bring the station back into the spotlight, or will the station plummet to new lows?
WRKO had to try something to young up the demos but I don't think these changes will help at all. Besides, once the political talk heats up with all the congressional campaigns and the governors race coming up in '06, I fully expect 680 to revert back to their usual political neo-con talk programming.
> Who will buy 102.5, and what will happen to the rest of
> Charles River Broadcasting???
>
This is the big wild card. It could be Entercom, Clear Channel or even the Red Sox, although the latter is a bit far fetched. If classical does indeed go away, it does open the door for the other "relaxation" format...smooth jazz. The primary reason it didn't work before was because most people used WCRB for that purpose. With classical gone, someone else might take the plunge with it. Probably not Greater Media, where the format would cannibalize WMJX but maybe CC could put a jazzer on 102.5 if they can purchase the signal from Charles River. But who knows?
Mike Thomas