Red,
You brought back a lot of memories of 90s radio consolidation. I well remember Tom Hicks and his several radio groups. If memory serves me correctly, I believe Hicks had three broadcasting companies under the heading of Chancellor Broadcasting, later becomeing Chancellor Media with the merger between Chancellor and Scott Ginsburg's Evergreen Media. The other two companies under Hicks were, one as you mentioned, Capstar, and the other one was Gulfstar which concentrated on owning properties in medium markets along the Gulf States. I believe Gulfstar owned a few South Florida stations in Vero Beach although Vero is on the Atlantic Coast and not the Gulf.
I lived in Ocala/Gainesville during that time, and I never quite understood why Clear Channel, Cummulus nor Capstar ever acquired any stations in that top 100 market since all these companies were buying in other top 100 and even much smaller markets. Clear Channel even acquired properties in top 200+ markets.
I believe we may see a somewhat "massive" (and I am using the term "massive" incorrectly here for illustrative purposes) sell off of some of the smaller market stations among these large groups in the months ahead. The main key in any sell off is finding a financially qualified buyer in these current economic times. Ideally would be an all cash transaction, however, we don't see too many of those type deals, even in the best of economic times, among the larger acquisitions...
Companies such as CBS Radio, Clear Channel and other larger companies appear to be more interested in securing and maintaining a healthy Top 25 market portfolio and with good reason.
Another company we have all been keeping track is Citadel Broadcasting, and it will be very interesting to see exactly what direction Citadel will take in the coming months ahead. The word is that Citadel is interested in selling all the Disney/ABC stations acquired in 2007 which includes WABC-AM/WPLJ-FM New York, WLS-AM-FM Chicago, KABC-AM/KLOS-FM Los Angeles and WMAL-AM/WRQX-FM Washington, D. C. Another possibilty is the entire company broadcast portfolio will be sold off once a qualified interested entity has been identified.
I'm not a fortune teller, especially considering my crystal ball hasn't been working properly in years and is currently in the shop for a "tune-up". This is simply my opinion based on a few factors including current economic conditions, past performance, and recent company Press Releases.
Mark Tillery
J. M. Tillery & Associates, P. A.
New York - Orlando
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