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Predictions for the summer

As summer comes near, here are a few thoughts and predictions concerning what the next three to four months will bring to some Atlanta radio stations. These are just predictions with a little research, but some it reflects the trend we are seeing now in Atlanta radio.

1. You will STILL see WUBL on the air on 94.9 and STILL see them struggling during the summer months. I emphasize the word “still” because as many radio listeners want that station to be defunct, it is STILL present despite its failing ratings. Talking about a garden weed that you can’t kill. Somehow, the CC managers in Atlanta are keeping WUBL like it was their last precious asset in the Atlanta market. It looks like something’s gotta give in the future, so it remains to be seen what happens next. Perhaps, by two years out, WUBL will be nonexistent. If WUBL makes an early exit this year, one might think about all the options of what CC will do to 94.9. What will happen to the Sounds of Faith? Will the new format be the same failure as WUBL? By the way, not all of CC stations around the country are bad, however. It is bad managers making bad choices leading to bad results. Yes, I do hold an unfavorable view of CC as a whole, but sometimes, credit should be given where credit is due. There are some CC stations that are doing extremely well in other markets. Obviously, Atlanta is not one of them.

2. Even with the departure of Eagle 106.7, Kicks has not benefited as much from the ratings. I’m still surprised that Kicks has a 4.2 rating for the spring according to the latest Arbitron ratings. I would assume that it would be close to a 5.0 or even higher than a 5.5 rating knowing that most of the Eagle listeners has switched toward the Kicks.

3. You can expect the next “Theme Weekend” for B98.5 to start on July 4. It looks like they are doing its theme weekends at least once every month. This could give us a few inferences and assumptions.
–B98.5 weekends without its themes are extremely boring with a few listeners.
Thus, it is B98.5’s creative way to get more listeners involved by establishing
intermittent theme weekends in place of their boring usual weekends
–The station is trying to put a dagger into the TrueOldies Channel and other
stations who may compete for radio listeners. Having a 70’s weekend on
Father’s Day as well as one with the TrueOldies debut back in March are clues of
what I am talking about.
–In addition to July 4, you may expect the weekend of August 1-3, Labor Day,
October 10-12 or October 17-19, and possibly the weekend before Thanksgiving
Day to have a theme weekend
–The theme weekends may be the alternative of having people requesting songs
to hear during the workday. Knowing how restricted their playlists are, it would
be logical that songs that are not frequently played or played at all would be
dumped into their theme weekends. Hence, you can hear a Bill Withers or a Kool
& The Gang song in one of their theme weekends compared to their regular
playlist lineup

4. By September or October, predicted Arbitron ratings may result in the following.
–1st Place At least one or two urban AC stations will get the gold
–2nd Place WSB-AM- I’m not a news talk listener but from what the
ratings are telling, they are doing consistently well. I would give them
an 8.0
–3rd Place B98.5- The introduction of Steve & Vicki will boost its ratings
to about the 5.3-5.7 range. Its so called “Atlanta’s best variety of soft
rock,” its limited playlist, and their wacky theme weekends will endure a
top 5 finish again for the summer. Now, as long as Delilah gets off this
station…
Other stations
–Kicks- I have a lot of respect for this country radio station because I
hate WUBL. The ratings should be a little bit higher to about a 4.8 or
even 5.0
–WJZZ- Recent posts say that WJZZ is gradually sliding. A 2.3 will
probably be the best come fall
–River- The TrueOldies Station will still continually take some of the
audience away from 97.1. I wouldn’t be surprised if their ratings drop
below 4.0
–TrueOldies- After a mediocre showing, I would expect a rating of 2.5-2.8
–Star94- Don’t know too much about Star94, but from what most people
say, they are close to or in a disaster. Ratings I guess will continue to
slide downwards
–And last but not least, WUBL- If I was realistic about this, I would
probably give them a 2.0 for them this fall. Optimistically, heaven knows
that this station should be off the air

These are my two cents about what the next few months will bring. Being an Atlanta radio listener for the past 18 years, the past two or three years has been a wild one for Atlanta radio.

Enjoy the summer
 
Interesting, though mostly wrong.

1) The Bull can’t make a move without Liberty Media saying so. Liberty owns your mediocre Atlanta Braves. If the Bull flips whither the Braves? Do they become Los Bravos and play on 105.3? (Maybe True Oldies, c’mon music geeks, you better get that one.) The Braves and the Bull stay here.

2) While WSB-FM will go through some changes; don’t worry they will still be voted “Number One To Listen To At Work,” I don’t think their ratings will see a huge spike, except in the morning when Steve & Clotty take over.

I do agree that the theme weekends are a direct assault at True Oldies, however, Shannon has the library to back it up and WSB-FM does not.

3) Star may have its worst book ever. With Kanov leaving and a DOA Morning Show, this station is poised to compete with WQXI-AM.

4) Speaking of Sports…I bet they can’t wait for two-a-days. It’s two days after the NBA Finals, four days after Tiger goes down and the sports stations have nothing to talk about. Boy I hope we don’t get a third station, that would be suicide.

5) On the rock side, it’s embarrassing that my future station - 929 Radio Atlanta - is losing to a 10,000-watt upstart, Rock 100.5. I wonder if the morning show has anything to do with it. I listened to the Zakk Attakk (C) yesterday for three hours…no wait, I was listening to paint dry, sorry for the mistake. It’s hard to get a running start when you are asleep in the starting blocks. Prediction, I will be PD by November 4th and then you will see real change you can believe in. Rock 100.5 will continue to grow. It would be nice to see them out in the community a little more. The New 97.1 will continue to be new, after 2.5 years but will feel the heat from True Oldies

6) My bold prediction – One of the new morning shows (Cletus, Zakk, Giant Brian or the Morning Mess) will be gone before Larry Munson says “touchdown.”

7) I will hit 1000 posts, which will trigger a massive celebration.
 
98.5 hasn't used the voted number one liner in a long time...
 
Neil Millman said:
Interesting, though mostly wrong.

1) The Bull can’t make a move without Liberty Media saying so. Liberty owns your mediocre Atlanta Braves. If the Bull flips whither the Braves? Do they become Los Bravos and play on 105.3? (Maybe True Oldies, c’mon music geeks, you better get that one.) The Braves and the Bull stay here.

2) While WSB-FM will go through some changes; don’t worry they will still be voted “Number One To Listen To At Work,” I don’t think their ratings will see a huge spike, except in the morning when Steve & Clotty take over.

I do agree that the theme weekends are a direct assault at True Oldies, however, Shannon has the library to back it up and WSB-FM does not.

3) Star may have its worst book ever. With Kanov leaving and a DOA Morning Show, this station is poised to compete with WQXI-AM.

4) Speaking of Sports…I bet they can’t wait for two-a-days. It’s two days after the NBA Finals, four days after Tiger goes down and the sports stations have nothing to talk about. Boy I hope we don’t get a third station, that would be suicide.

5) On the rock side, it’s embarrassing that my future station - 929 Radio Atlanta - is losing to a 10,000-watt upstart, Rock 100.5. I wonder if the morning show has anything to do with it. I listened to the Zakk Attakk (C) yesterday for three hours…no wait, I was listening to paint dry, sorry for the mistake. It’s hard to get a running start when you are asleep in the starting blocks. Prediction, I will be PD by November 4th and then you will see real change you can believe in. Rock 100.5 will continue to grow. It would be nice to see them out in the community a little more. The New 97.1 will continue to be new, after 2.5 years but will feel the heat from True Oldies

6) My bold prediction – One of the new morning shows (Cletus, Zakk, Giant Brian or the Morning Mess) will be gone before Larry Munson says “touchdown.”

7) I will hit 1000 posts, which will trigger a massive celebration.

Will you hurry up and hit 1000 posts so you can join the club!!!

Agreed Bull goes nowhere until the first christmas song can be played. Braves must like the money but hate their situation. What a joke.

I caught a little of Cindy and Ray today and they were talking about how the had diner last night at Chops with the big boss John(?) Benson? Does he often take his afternoon talent to lunch or just when he trying to butter them up for a move to AM drive or perhaps a little afternoon syndication is in the works. My guess one or the other happens before year-end.

Steve & Clotty, classic!!!

Zakk stays through at least the end of the year, as a matter of fact I think they all stay before Larry mutters his first Touchdown but if one goes it is going to TMM. Zakk is going to be part of their falcons coverage and they are at least going to give him a shot at capitalizing on that is my guess. I actually don't think he is that bad but no choice vs. listening to the TRG. I tune in and catch him sometimes during the ever-expanding commercial breaks on Rock 100.5 or the umteenth visit of the week by George Stein. He must pay through the nose to be on so often.

I have a feeling the Regular Guys are setting up for a very long run. Cumulus hit a home run on this one, now they just have to get the rest of the station going. More street promotions is what they need. They should be everywhere this summer. Showing up at all the pools in all the rich Northside subdivisions and giving away stuff. Some live Erin remotes to get the Dad's out maybe. Steve usually has afternoons free send him out and about.
 
RTibbs said:

I caught a little of Cindy and Ray today and they were talking about how the had diner last night at Chops with the big boss John(?) Benson? Does he often take his afternoon talent to lunch or just when he trying to butter them up for a move to AM drive or perhaps a little afternoon syndication is in the works. My guess one or the other happens before year-end.

Don Benson works for LFM corporate, but his office is at Star 94. It is not uncommon for him to dine with Star/Lincoln employees, although I have no idea whether or not he has syndication or a morning show shift on the brain.
 
What's funny is having someone that just registered their user name on April 11, just now making their first few posts and most have been about the bull. the real question is why is a new poster suddenly so bitter? all of us here in nashville are pulling for the guys at the bull. whether they will pull it off or not, who knows, but no one in music city can stand those guys at kicks.
 
RecordPig said:
What's funny is having someone that just registered their user name on April 11, just now making their first few posts and most have been about the bull. the real question is why is a new poster suddenly so bitter? all of us here in nashville are pulling for the guys at the bull. whether they will pull it off or not, who knows, but no one in music city can stand those guys at kicks.

You mean like yourself who has a total of 4 posts? Perhaps you work for the Bull?
 
I predict that someone will start a blog about the Regular Guys and/or Rock 100.5 to keep track of their antics, much like 99xwatch was started during the TJL era...
 
RecordPig said:
What's funny is having someone that just registered their user name on April 11, just now making their first few posts and most have been about the bull. the real question is why is a new poster suddenly so bitter? all of us here in nashville are pulling for the guys at the bull. whether they will pull it off or not, who knows, but no one in music city can stand those guys at kicks.

So I guess expressing your opinions and values of a radio station on a blog is funny. Wow! That show a little bit lack of intelligence. Pretty much, you can laugh at everyone here who use this blog to post comments as well as deliver their freedom of speech. Everybody who uses this blog, including you, has just as much of a right to post their comments about the radio stations they like and dislike regardless if it is anti-Bull or not. The honest, God-given truth is that WUBL isn't doing too well in Atlanta and not many people are sure if they will ever be successful in the future.

Until then, have a wonderful summer. Hopefully, the "have a wonderful summer" didn't violate any freedom of speech
 
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