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Radio advertising drops about a billion dollars a year since 2005

That’s quite a headline. The big question is why. It’s not that radio listening has fallen off a cliff or that radio’s reach has diminished. In fact 92% of Americans listen to radio on average 12.3 hours a week.

One has to read between the lines. First, the big national chains have proliferated. Online shopping has increased dramatically. Radio has always seen the locally owned business as their bread and butter for revenue. Some locally owned businesses have shut down as consumers opted for the national chain or online shopping. Those that stick around often see lower sales volumes now. In other words, they have fewer dollars to allocate to advertising. National chains and online companies advertise on a national level, typically never spending a dollar on local radio.

Radio has always struggled with ‘results’. Radio is not alone in this. Television and print options also struggle. The typical consumer does not know what got them to call or visit and if asked, they typically guess and guess wrong.

Online options like Google, Facebook and even websites, offer exact numbers. When the phone rings and you answer at your business, you might hear ‘this call generated by Google’. People will recall seeing something on Facebook or other social media. Websites allow actual counts for visitors and you know where the inquiry came from. Is it any wonder faith in radio, TV and print has waned?

The facts are radio still reaches the highest percentage of America daily. Radio, second to television, has the highest ‘time spent’ with the medium than any other option. Radio has always enjoyed the lowest cost per thousand.

Perhaps radio needs to tell our story better. Maybe we need to encourage businesses to look at their cost per thousand to generate customers. Radio is free or minimal in production fees. How much does it cost to revamp a website, change an ad with an online service and how quickly can your message change when needed? If you look at all of that, the flexibility of radio, low production cost, if any, and radio’s ability to do things like target your audience, restrict your message to hours you’re open and target peak hours when buying decisions are being made, radio wins hands down. And, radio can guarantee every listener is in your trade area.

Your online options can claim that and even claim they’re real people in those numbers but do you have your computer setting to allow your location and share your search history? I have a website or two. Bots are out there everywhere, perhaps gleaning information for marketing purposes or looking for weak sites to overtake (if we think negatively). If you consider the substantial number that do not allow their internet surfing to be traced to a location, it’s telling. In fact it is a default for some programs like one I use. It allows no demographics or geographic location to be shared. If I click on your ad or post or website, do I not register as a part of that total even if I’m many states or even an ocean or two away?

So, if you want to gauge your marketing results, what matters? It is not the proof of how many you reach (known or unknown) or how many calls Google can get you. The only thing that matters is what happens at the cash register. Focus on that. Radio might not be able to say we can produce X number for $X like the online counterpart. Big deal. What is a big deal is what makes your cash register ring for the fewest dollars invested. I believe with my decades in radio, that radio is the lowest cost and best suited for most businesses especially when bundled with station websites, the station’s Facebook and other social media pages and any online newsletter or mailings the station offers in addition to over the air messages.

Radio is in virtually every vehicle, available on handheld devices, via an actual radio and for most via computer. No matter the device used radio reaches 92% of Americans weekly and radio bends their ear 12.3 hours a week.

For the record, in 2005 Radio Advertising Revenue was about $20 billion dollars. Adjusted for inflation, that would be approximately $27 billion. In 2019, Radio Advertising Revenue was $12 billion dollars. There are about 15,330 radio stations.
 
That’s quite a headline. The big question is why.

There are two obvious answers: The loss of several major advertisers that once spent a lot on radio, and the rise of new media that has syphoned off dollars from all traditional media.

I looked back at a list of clients from 15 years ago, and there are a few that stand out: Sears, WalMart, Levis, and GM among a few that no longer appear.

New media is cheaper than radio. By a large amount. In order to be competitive, radio companies have been forced to cut spot price.

I'll add a third point: In 2005, it wasn't unusual to have 18 minutes of spots per hour. That average is now down to 15.

All of those things have nothing to do with content, formats, local talent, staffing, or size of audience. Those are mainly external factors that radio can't control. But radio stations have to adjust their costs to reflect the decline in revenue.
 
In 2019, Radio Advertising Revenue was $12 billion dollars. There are about 15,330 radio stations.

I probably should know this, but when you give that figure, does that include non-broadcast revenue? Because there are radio companies that have invested in podcasting and other areas that provide revenue, but aren't part of radio. That's where the growth is now. My view is radio needs to create more platforms for advertising, because it can't raise rates and can't increase traditional inventory. There are some radio owners who've looked to outdoor advertising, cable radio advertising, and even selling sponsorships for non-commercial radio stations. They're doing those things IN ADDITION to spots & dots. From where I'm sitting, that's what people should be thinking about. Because the discussion about value was something we all did when things started to drop 15 years ago. We need a new conversation.
 
Radio is free or minimal in production fees. How much does it cost to revamp a website, change an ad with an online service and how quickly can your message change when needed?

One of the things that radio really should do better is convincing customers to spend a few bucks for better commercial production. One of the big things my employer struggles with is separating voices on the logs, because we only have so many staff doing ad production. One way to be sure your ad does NOT stand out is to choose the lowest cost option, and as a result the same voice is found on three ads in a row.

Hiring an outside voiceover is still inexpensive, compared to the cost of the ad flight.

By the way, the only cost for changing your creative online is getting the new creative made. Could be as simple as selecting a stock photo. And the new ad can be running same-day.
 
I'm not sure what the figures include. It was simply "Radio Revenue". I presume those dollars are those earned by any broadcast station that includes non-traditional revenue.

In my market, a small market station, my cost per thousand is the cheapest of all options or very close to it. I'm sure that can vary greatly by market.

I totally agree, a station only thinking spots loses much when the local business sees such value in online presence.

Using outside voices is a good idea for a good commitment or where the client believes in radio. I like to at least have a line voiced by the client or their designated person. I find a business owner hearing their voice on their spot is perceived as successful and they hate to cancel themselves. Anyway, their friends mention hearing them on the spot which bolsters their faith in radio.

I can't tell you how many rush turnarounds I have done on copy (ie: get the change at 9:30 and it's on air and approved by noon). Just a few weeks back for July 4th, among the price and item for a grocery store account, I had to pull the beef brisket for $1.99 a pound because the store sold out 70 cases in under 6 hours. It was a quick edit and paste we got done in less than half an hour. That ain't happening with the newspaper, TV and likely any other advertising medium.
 
I'll add a third point: In 2005, it wasn't unusual to have 18 minutes of spots per hour. That average is now down to 15.

In small markets, maybe. But in major markets like LA, NYC, Chicago the stations I was involved with tried to stay around 12 minutes. Now, it is more like 16 minutes on many.

And a third point: in the PPM markets, which represent a huge portion of all radio revenue (just the top 10 account for nearly 30% of all radio revenues) the new metered measurement showed Persons Using Radio to be off by about 30%. Obviously, transactional advertisers buy based on listener delivery, so rates decline proportionally.
 
That’s quite a headline. The big question is why. It’s not that radio listening has fallen off a cliff or that radio’s reach has diminished. In fact 92% of Americans listen to radio on average 12.3 hours a week..

In PPM markets, radio's reach is down to around 88% based on pre-pandemic months.

More revealing is to look at Persons Using Radio or PUR. The average percentage of listeners is now down between 6% and 8% in the PPM markets.... in 2000 it was around 18%.

The reduction is more extreme among Millennial, of course.

As several have commented, radio is "one to many" in a world that is more and more "one to one".

I've been in radio for over 60 years. Yet today, I don't have a single working radio in the home. I have 4 Amazon devices where a little lady named Alexa lives, a home audio system driven by voice commands that accesses my music collection, and various other music sources. Radio is not among them because the market I am in does not have the level of radio I would be attracted to.
 
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