Okay, the first wave (after the experiments and all that) was lavish live network radio shows featuring drama, comedy, variety shows with live orchestras, etc.
Then when everybody wrote off radio because those kinds of shows had moved to TV, there was suddenly a second wave, the DJ. Radio had a resurgence of relevance to listeners.
Listeners decided that they'd rather hear continuous music than DJs, so automation came on the scene and put radio in direct competition with XM, Sirius, DMX, Much Music, Pandora, etc.
I think the third wave will be background music for retail. The way the performance licensing has been since the Sonny Bono law, the only options for small businesses that want to have music are these: They can subscribe to a service such as Muzak, DMX, etc., play their own music but then take out licenses with ASCAP and BMI and maybe SESAC.
Or they can play the radio (provided that the square footage of the establishment isn't more than X number of square feet, etc.)
Thus, KOIT, KDFC, and KOSF 103.7 appear to be the stations of choice for small retailers and restaurants. At this point KOIT has it hands above everyone else. It's hard to visit any retailer with music that doesn't employ KOIT. And guess what? KOIT is consistently the #1 music station in town.
So, maybe in the midst of all the hand-wringing over the fate of radio, we're seeing its third wave right before us but we're not even realizing it. Radio's third wave is as retail background music.
--dk
Then when everybody wrote off radio because those kinds of shows had moved to TV, there was suddenly a second wave, the DJ. Radio had a resurgence of relevance to listeners.
Listeners decided that they'd rather hear continuous music than DJs, so automation came on the scene and put radio in direct competition with XM, Sirius, DMX, Much Music, Pandora, etc.
I think the third wave will be background music for retail. The way the performance licensing has been since the Sonny Bono law, the only options for small businesses that want to have music are these: They can subscribe to a service such as Muzak, DMX, etc., play their own music but then take out licenses with ASCAP and BMI and maybe SESAC.
Or they can play the radio (provided that the square footage of the establishment isn't more than X number of square feet, etc.)
Thus, KOIT, KDFC, and KOSF 103.7 appear to be the stations of choice for small retailers and restaurants. At this point KOIT has it hands above everyone else. It's hard to visit any retailer with music that doesn't employ KOIT. And guess what? KOIT is consistently the #1 music station in town.
So, maybe in the midst of all the hand-wringing over the fate of radio, we're seeing its third wave right before us but we're not even realizing it. Radio's third wave is as retail background music.
--dk