Ultra-niche may be the norm...but how will that happen on terrestrial radio? It won't happen with the current station landscape of 8-12 full power stations, a similar number of lower-power cram-ins, and some rimshots. Everybody, from CC on down to the mom-and-pop operations, will be going after the money with the money formats (see above). Generic may be generic, but it brings in the listeners (and consequently the advertisers), even if by default. Rich hobbyists who don't need the money (like Joe Weber) are the exception (and he's on AM, not FM). The only niche format on a major signal in ATL is Dave, and they have a 2 share to show for it. Dave's days are numbered unless they can get some more share.DashRiprock said:...These are baby steps toward the future of radio. I believe that ultra niche and on-demand will be the norm and big corporations broadcasting a few generic formats for the masses will decline.
It’s true that right now you need a certain amount of geek skills, but new gadgets make it easier every day. It’s gonna be cool…Now, where’s that flying car they promised me in the 60’s?
It could happen if each signal can spawn, say, 5 HD subchannels (not the current 1 or 2) that could be targeted towards particular niches, and if IBiquity gets off its butt and sells some radios.
It's always fun to forecast the future. Everybody predicted flying cars, but nobody predicted being able to put an entire movie on a palm-sized disk read by a laser beam, or being able to cook food in minutes with radio waves, or being able to put your entire record collection in your pocket (and your friend's record collection, and your friend's friend's record collection...
In Back To The Future II, set in 2015, fax machines were everywhere and everyone still primarily used telephone landlines. Nobody expected the Internet/WWW (except Algore ;D )--and there's little excuse for that considering that Internet email and Usenet (but not the WWW) were alive and well in certain circles on college campuses in the 80s.
We finally got the Picture Phone (via webcams), but nobody wants to use it, even for free.