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ElCheapo
Guest
SUPERCASTER said:ElCheapo wrote: "Most online listening is to streams of traditional radio stations."
He just made that up to promote short range, defective, destructive, unwanted, unecessary, HD Radio.
According to: http://www.bridgeratings.com/press_071906-digitalprojectionsupdwradio.htm
All forms of Internet Radio's total cume, incuding cell streaming from the internet, and podcasting by 2010 will equal:
Internet Radio 187.33 million
Wireless Internet 159.23 "
Mobile Phone Streaming (from internet) 11.81 "
Podcasting 3.95 "
_________
TOTAL INTERNET CUME 362.32 million
While the terrestrial broadcast radio total cume is only: 278.59 million
Internet cume beating terrestrial cume by 83.73 million by 2010.
That is only about 3 years from now!
HDradio will only be at a miserable 8.84 million cume. Not enough to sustain thousands of HD stations.
Evidence that HD Radio is just another dead end system, similar to several others that have gone before, and disappeared.
Gee - does anyone wonder why Bridge Ratings isn't accredited by the Media Rating Council?
Check out the "methodology" they used at the bottom of the page.
Methodology: Random digit phone dialing, mall intercepts What?
How do you project "digital media growth" over the next 13 years by surveying people on the phone and at the mall?
Excuse me sir... Do you think you'll be listening to internet radio ten years from now?
What a load of BS!
I think this excerpt from their website pretty much says it all: http://www.bridgeratings.com/faq.htm
Question 2 - Does Bridge Ratings Predict the Future?
Answer -No serious futurist deals with "predictions". These are left for television oracles and newspaper astrologers. No one even faintly familiar with the complexities of forecasting lays claim to absolute knowledge of tomorrow. This means that every statement about the future ought to be accompanied by a string of qualifiers - ifs, ands, buts, and on-the-other-hands.
The estimates researched and published by Bridge Ratings should be taken with this consideration. As a company that deals in maybes and future behaviors we trust that our clients and readers of our reports will understand that the word "will" should always be read as though it were preceded by "probably" or "in our estimate". It should also be understood that between today and that far distant future consumer behavior may and in all likelihood be changed by any number of things including consumer "free will" and technologies that have not been heretofore introduced into the public psyche.
In other words, we kinda think this might happen but we're not really sure. Really, we don't have a clue.
Their predictions make absolutely no sense either. The predict internet radio will have cume of 226 million by 2020, yet regular terrestrial radio will still have cume of 235 million - compared with 282 million today.
That scenario absolutely can not happen. If internet radio were to pick up that much cume, terrestrial radio would loose much more than 56 million listeners - even accounting for population growth. If internet radio were that popular and that widespread, traditional radio would suffer significant cume loss. There's no way around it.
So the question is - why would they freely give this information away on their website? They are a ratings company after all - they trade in data, and this should be valuable data they would want to sell.
The answer is simple: It's marketing - NOT RESEARCH - and they're trying to work both sides of the fence. They don't want to post a dire prediction about terrestrial radio because they want our money. They also want to paint a rosy picture for internet radio because they want their money.
It's baloney - and they say as much in their own FAQ.
Good stuff Supercaster. I needed a good laugh!