I agree, one predictor of who goes where likely is political affiliation, but there are probably many other predictors including level of education, type of occupation etc. There are always exceptions, but NPR probably has more PhDs in its audience than Rush does.
I agree completely. Which may be why a liberal version of Rush/Beck/Hannity doesn't do well among liberal listeners. The better educated listener seems to prefer the more thoughtful, well presented in an "educational/professorial" manner discussion of the issues without the hype, ranting, hate speech, etc, that is what much of right wing talk radio has become. I believe the statistics show that liberal audiences are generally better educated, I didn't say SMARTER, than conservative listeners. That's not a shot at conservative listeners, but if you're targeting a certain demo to your station, then you would want to know what appeals to THAT specific group.
My point earlier was that spoken word formated stations ARE in competition (for folks who don't want to listen to music on the radio, but want a spoken word format such as talk, news, business/stock info, sports, sports/talk, news/talk, religious programming, lifestyle programming, etc,etc; as Rock Stations are in competition with each other vs Urban stations are with each other, etc. So it appears that in the Philly market that there is a larger audience that prefers NPR style spoken word programming than right wing conservative talk. Sports/talk scores higher on WIP-FM than conservative talk on WPHT.
Now you can sub divide the spoken word format and say that in the right wing talk format, WPHT does better than WNTP. In that case WHYY-FM wouldn't be considered as it isn't carrying a right wing talk format. So as it appears that the right wing talk listeners in Philly are divided between WNTP and WPHT, will the new WWIQ take listeners away from 990 and 1210 or bring in new listeners.
My guess is, a little of both. Those in Philly who want Rush/Beck/Hannity and have had to listen to an out of town station on WABC in New York, WILM in Wilmington, or WHP in Harrisburg will probably switch to 106.9 WWIQ. There may be those who can't get Rush on any of those stations including 1210, but will now be able to get him on FM 106.9 who will make the switch. There will be others in Wilmington who listen to WILM, but will prefer the FM sound and also jump ship to 106.9.
My guess is,WPHT is hoping to do what both WDEL in Wilmington and WBAL in Baltimore did a number of years ago, by going all live and local during the day parts and those two stations have done quite well against their Rush/Beck/Hannity competition in their respective markets as both have better ratings (Smirconish is a national show with heavy Philly roots). WDEL has better ratings than WILM. WDEL has far more local spots than WILM. So Philly's WPHT could be the winner in the right wing political talk battle as they may pull in listeners who want that sort of political talk, but frankly don't want the ranting of the big 3 and WPHT could be the real winner in billing far more local spots than either WNTP or WWIQ.
So the future PPM results for Philly's conservative talk stations will be interesting to watch.
I may view this differently than most, but I lump all spoken word formats into one group and then sub divide for more specifics as I just did above. Sorry for any confusion.