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Spring Arbs Part One Predictions

> They're out on Friday..
>
> OK, let 'er rip...
>
Here's the newsflash.

No interesting changes...at all.
 
It is only a trend. My predictions stand for the
entire book, you may see some early signs in the
monthly extrap:

1. JACK...no impact yet. It was only on a few
days if that in this trend.

2. KOMO going up

3. KJR-FM, KBSG and KMPS hurt due to JACK, but you
won't see it in this trend. (Yes I know JACK shouldn't
affect these formats, but it will. That is why I am
a radio predicting GOD)

4. KPLZ, KLSY actually flat or up for the book with
JACK in play. (Yes, I know JACK should kill these two,
but that is why I am a radio predicting GOD!)

5. KNDD and KBKS up with the demise of KRQI. Okay,
danadee could have figured that one out.

PEACE OUT>
 
> It is only a trend. My predictions stand for the
> entire book, you may see some early signs in the
> monthly extrap:
>
> 1. JACK...no impact yet. It was only on a few
> days if that in this trend.

If JACK doesn't get rid of those annoying voicers and quit the canned radio sound, I don't see very much happening.
>
> 2. KOMO going up

Mariners.....a no-brainer.
>
> 3. KJR-FM, KBSG and KMPS hurt due to JACK, but you
> won't see it in this trend. (Yes I know JACK shouldn't
> affect these formats, but it will. That is why I am
> a radio predicting GOD)

When JACK begins having "Young Country Flashback Thursdays", then KMPS may suffer. In that case, somebody's head is going to roll at Infinity for cannibalizing their #1 baby.
>
> 4. KPLZ, KLSY actually flat or up for the book with
> JACK in play. (Yes, I know JACK should kill these two,
> but that is why I am a radio predicting GOD!)

One of these two is going to hurt, that much is clear. But it will take another book or two to confirm that with the bigwigs, so don't get your hopes up too high just yet. Change in Seattle radio moves at glacial speed.
>
> 5. KNDD and KBKS up with the demise of KRQI. Okay,
> danadee could have figured that one out.

KNDD perhaps, but KBKS? KRQI never played Jay-Z/Linkin Park or Kelly Clarkson so I don't know how KBKS is going to go up on the demise of K-Rock....
>
> PEACE OUT>
>
<P ID="signature">______________
"Never keep up with the Jones's. Drag them down to your level" - Quentin Crisp

[email protected]


</P>
 
> > It is only a trend. My predictions stand for the
> > entire book, you may see some early signs in the
> > monthly extrap:
> >
> > 1. JACK...no impact yet. It was only on a few
> > days if that in this trend.

I'll tell you this: All of my friends are switching to that station. Granted this is anecdotal, but iknowitall is right. This thing is going to make a big jump in the full book.
> >
> > 2. KOMO going up
>
> Mariners.....a no-brainer.
KOMO won't be up as much as you think. The M's are dying a slow death and KOMO is going to be hurt badly...I don't think their ROI is going to be very good on this deal
> > PEACE OUT>
Peace out O.Larry. You rock buddy...one of my favorite posters on this board.
 
> > > It is only a trend. My predictions stand for the
> > > entire book, you may see some early signs in the
> > > monthly extrap:
> > >
> > > 1. JACK...no impact yet. It was only on a few
> > > days if that in this trend.
>
> I'll tell you this: All of my friends are switching to that
> station. Granted this is anecdotal, but iknowitall is
> right. This thing is going to make a big jump in the full
> book.

Well, musically speaking, they could have a shot. But for how long?

Living in an area with THREE JACK stations (96.9 Vancouver, 103.1 Victoria and 96.5 Seattle), JACK is wearing on a lot of folks here. It isn't the music really, it's still pretty good and still does throw out a few surprises. It's that annoying voice-over on every JACK station that drives everybody as well as myself up a wall. I guess in Northwest WA/Lower Mainland-Vancouver Island, BC, we've put up with it a couple years longer than those folks down in Seattle/Tacoma, so it was that much more irritating for us when K-ROCK went to JACK. But JACK does need to use more creativity in it's voicers (and maybe even CHANGE the voice-over guy now and then.)
> > >
> > > 2. KOMO going up
> >
> > Mariners.....a no-brainer.
> KOMO won't be up as much as you think. The M's are dying a
> slow death and KOMO is going to be hurt badly...I don't
> think their ROI is going to be very good on this deal

You have a point. But there are thousands of die-hard fans who will religiously listen to any M's game no matter how bad they suck. I'm just not one of them. I usually listen/watch and see in person Sonics games (Luke Ridenour RULES!) And I still haven't been to a Seahawks game in 7 years. When they finally get a season that at least brings them even CLOSE to a Super Bowl, then I'll consider shucking out a wad for tickets. Right now, I don't even bother with them.

Maybe KIRO was smart to get rid of the M's. Things just haven't been the same since Lou Pinella left (tough as he was, he really whipped those guys into professional shape and it showed.) It's really irritating now to watch commercials selling videos of their playoff victories in September 1995 when they haven't done as good since (1997 maybe, but nothing really big since.) They can only live off the fame and hope of their 1995 season for only so much longer at this rate without giving us something now that justifies a run on M's memorabilia and tickets.

We gave 'em a new stadium at taxpayer expense. We also pay huge ticket prices and insane prices for souvenirs, food and drink costs at Safeco Field to pad the players wallets while they give us one sucky year after another recently. They better not suck again this year like they did last year or KOMO (and everybody else) is probably going to want their money back.

BRING BACK LOU PINELLA!!

> > > PEACE OUT>
> Peace out O.Larry. You rock buddy...one of my favorite
> posters on this board.

(TAKING BOW) Thank you!....thank you!....
>
<P ID="signature">______________
"Never keep up with the Jones's. Drag them down to your level" - Quentin Crisp

[email protected]


</P>
 
IKnowitall, YOU'RE WAAAAY OFF!

Better dust off that crystal meth,,,er I mean "BALL" of yours...:)
 
Once again, here's hoping The End keeps going up. The Morning Alternative keeps getting better. NoName and Jennifer White have had great interviews lately.

> > 5. KNDD and KBKS up with the demise of KRQI. Okay,
> > danadee could have figured that one out.
>
> KNDD perhaps, but KBKS? KRQI never played Jay-Z/Linkin Park
> or Kelly Clarkson so I don't know how KBKS is going to go up
> on the demise of K-Rock....
> >
> > PEACE OUT>
> >
>
 
Re: IKnowitall, YOU'RE WAAAAY OFF!

> Better dust off that crystal meth,,,er I mean "BALL" of
> yours...:)

He has a better idea about what's going on in radio and relying on Bill Virgin as a source of "news."

Relax, take a laxative. This is a internet posting board for cryin' out loud. It's so funny on how people get so worked up on rather obvious "predictions."
 
> One of these two is going to hurt, that much is clear.

Probably.


But
> it will take another book or two to confirm that with the
> bigwigs

It's not just the 'bigwigs' that was to wait to see if things are real, it's the entire radio community.



> Change in Seattle radio moves at glacial speed.

Like when KUBE trounced KPLZ over the winter of 1992/1993 and has never looked back?
 
> Like when KUBE trounced KPLZ over the winter of 1992/1993
> and has never looked back?

YEAH! That's it!

I can't remember that without feeling like Father Time......
>
<P ID="signature">______________
"Never keep up with the Jones's. Drag them down to your level" - Quentin Crisp

[email protected]


</P>
 
Re: Derby, YOU'RE A PUTZ...

> Relax, take a laxative...

Derby Werby, take a big huge sheet...
 
Re: Derby, YOU'RE A PUTZ...

Hey DialTwisty.

First off, I usually agree with most of what you have to say, and always find your posts to be pretty good...But.

What is the problem? Your post here, quoted below, quotes a line from a post by AQH, not me. Forgive me if I'm wrong, but I'M the only person with the name Derby that I've seen on this board...If you click AQH's profile, he doesn't even list a name. So, if you're thinking AQH and I are the same person, we're not. 90% of the time, I think AQH comes off pretty obnoxious, actually.

I'm not trying to start trouble on the board, just figured I should defend my name. If you know something about AQH that I don't, and you weren't referring to me, I apologize...Just wanted to straighten this out.

Wes

> > Relax, take a laxative...
>
> Derby Werby, take a big huge sheet...
>
 
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